Football · Italy Serie C Group A · 25/10, 12:30

Prediction: Trento vs Juventus U23

Team pages: Trento · Juventus U23

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.44Total

Trento1.66

Juventus U230.78

1X2

58% 26% 17%

Trento Draw Juventus U23

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 53% Both teams to score 50%

Most likely score

1-0 13%

Recent form · 10 last

Trento 5-5-0 (W-D-L)

WDWDDWDDWW

Juventus U23 2-4-4 (W-D-L)

WDDLLLDLDW

Head-to-head

Trento 1–1–2 Juventus U23 (4 last)

Trento2-1Juventus U23
Juventus U232-0Trento
Trento1-1Juventus U23
Juventus U232-1Trento

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Trento 1537 · Juventus U23 1471

	Trento	Draw	Juventus U23
Our model	57%	26%	16%
Market	58%	25%	17%

Estimated total (ours) 2.44 goals · Bet365 line 2.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 51%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Trento (rating 1537 vs 1471).
H2H favours Juventus U23: 2-1-1.
High corners: 10.6 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 7.7 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Trento	Juventus U23
Goals for / against (FT)	1.5 / 0.5	1 / 1.6
Goals for / against (HT)	0.8 / 0.3	0.3 / 0.9
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/70/0%	10/40/50%
Corners (HT / FT)	2 / 5.1	2.2 / 5.5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.8 / 0.1	3.9 / 0.5

Odds Bet365

11.55

X3.60

25.25

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-1)2.00

2 (+1)1.80

Line ⓘ

Over 2.51.93

Under 2.51.88

Diff.: 0.2 · xG: 2.3

Market movement

Match winner · 3 moves · last 23:21

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.61 → 1.55▼	Bet365 1.55
X	3.50 → 3.60▲	Bet365 3.60
2	4.75 → 5.25▲	Bet365 5.25

See the full journey (3)

Bet365 margin 11.3%

Time*	1	X	2
16:17 +8’	1.61	3.50	4.75
17:14 +13’	1.48▼	3.75▲	6.00▲
23:18 +4’	1.55▲	3.60▼	5.25▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Other markets

Both teams to score

Go premium to see every market's movement

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Trento 1–1–2 Juventus U23

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Date	Home	Score	Away
23/12/22 Italy Serie C Group A	Trento	2-1 HT 1-0	Juventus U23
03/09/22 Italy Serie C Group A	Juventus U23	2-0 HT 1-0	Trento
16/04/22 Italy Serie C Group A	Trento	1-1 HT 0-1	Juventus U23
12/12/21 Italy Serie C Group A	Juventus U23	2-1 HT 0-1	Trento

Standings · Italy Serie C Group A

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Cittadella	10	9	0	1	17	4	27
2	Trento	10	5	5	0	15	5	20
3	Union Brescia	10	5	4	1	17	8	19
4	A.C. Ospitaletto	10	5	3	2	17	9	18
5	ASD Union Arzignanochiampo	10	5	2	3	14	11	17
6	Treviso	10	4	4	2	10	7	16
7	Alcione Milano	10	3	6	1	17	15	15
8	US Pergolettese	10	3	5	2	8	8	14
9	Lecco	10	3	4	3	12	9	13
10	Albinoleffe	10	3	4	3	16	15	13
11	Desenzano	10	3	4	3	9	11	13
12	Lumezzane	10	3	3	4	11	14	12
13	Novara	10	2	4	4	10	14	10
14	AC Dolomiti Bellunesi	10	2	4	4	7	12	10
15	Juventus U23	10	2	4	4	10	16	10
16	Pro Vercelli	10	2	3	5	8	18	9
17	AC Carpi	10	2	3	5	14	20	9
18	Giana Erminio	10	1	5	4	10	13	8
19	US Folgore Caratese	10	1	3	6	9	15	6
20	Renate	10	0	4	6	9	16	4

Common opponents 2 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Trento	Juventus U23
US Pergolettese	0-0 D	0-0 D
Desenzano	0-0 D	0-0 D
Record vs common	0 W 2 D 0 L	0 W 2 D 0 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Trento

WDWDDWDDWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
19/10	AC Dolomiti Bellunesi Italy Serie C Group A	2-0	3-0	4	4	W
11/10	US Folgore Caratese Italy Serie C Group A	0-0	1-0	7	4	W
04/10	Alcione Milano Italy Serie C Group A	1-1	2-2	9	5	D
26/09	US Pergolettese Italy Serie C Group A	0-0	0-0	5	1	D
21/09	Pro Vercelli Italy Serie C Group A	2-0	4-0	7	3	W
17/09	Giana Erminio Italy Serie C Group A	2-1	2-2	5	6	D
13/09	Union Brescia Italy Serie C Group A	0-0	0-0	3	5	D
07/09	Lecco Italy Serie C Group A	0-0	1-0	3	2	W
31/08	Desenzano Italy Serie C Group A	0-0	0-0	5	3	D
23/08	Treviso Italy Serie C Group A	1-1	2-1	3	6	W

Juventus U23

WDDLLLDLDW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
19/10	Renate Italy Serie C Group A	1-1	2-1	2	9	W
13/10	Lumezzane Italy Serie C Group A	0-0	0-0	6	6	D
10/10	ASD Union Arzignanochiampo Italy Serie C Group A	0-1	1-2	6	6	L
26/09	Desenzano Italy Serie C Group A	0-0	0-0	9	2	D
20/09	Albinoleffe Italy Serie C Group A	0-3	3-5	8	2	L
17/09	Cittadella Italy Serie C Group A	0-1	0-2	6	2	L
13/09	A.C. Ospitaletto Italy Serie C Group A	0-1	0-3	7	3	L
06/09	US Pergolettese Italy Serie C Group A	0-0	0-0	4	5	D
30/08	AC Carpi Italy Serie C Group A	1-2	3-3	4	4	D
22/08	Novara Italy Serie C Group A	1-0	1-0	3	5	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Trento vs Juventus U23?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Trento win (58%). Probabilities: Trento 58%, draw 26%, Juventus U23 17%.

How many goals are expected in Trento vs Juventus U23?

The model expects 2.44 goals (Trento 1.66 · Juventus U23 0.78), with a 53% chance of under 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Trento vs Juventus U23?

The model gives a 50% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-0.