Football · Italy Serie C Group A · 18/10, 17:30

Prediction: A.C. Ospitaletto vs US Pergolettese

Team pages: A.C. Ospitaletto · US Pergolettese

Prediction summary
Expected goals
1.85Total
A.C. Ospitaletto1.23
US Pergolettese0.62
1X2
51% 30% 19%
A.C. Ospitaletto Draw US Pergolettese
Markets
Over 1.5 goals 56% Not both to score 55%
Most likely score
1-0 18%
Recent form · 10 last
A.C. Ospitaletto 5-3-2 (W-D-L)
LWDWWDLWDW
US Pergolettese 3-5-2 (W-D-L)
WLLDWDDDDW
Head-to-head
A.C. Ospitaletto 0–1–2 US Pergolettese (3 last)
  • US Pergolettese1-0A.C. Ospitaletto
  • A.C. Ospitaletto1-2US Pergolettese
  • US Pergolettese0-0A.C. Ospitaletto
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · A.C. Ospitaletto 1541 · US Pergolettese 1520
A.C. OspitalettoDrawUS Pergolettese
Our model50%33%17%
Market53%28%20%
Estimated total (ours) 1.85 goals · Bet365 line 2.25 · -0.4

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 65%model estimate

Match keys

  • H2H favours US Pergolettese: 2-1-0.
  • Cards-heavy: 7.7 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

A.C. OspitalettoUS Pergolettese
Goals for / against (FT)1.5 / 0.80.8 / 0.6
Goals for / against (HT)0.6 / 0.50.5 / 0.3
Half-time result (W/D/L)40/40/20%30/50/20%
Corners (HT / FT)2.1 / 4.81.2 / 3.3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)4.4 / 03.3 / 0.4

Head-to-head (H2H) · A.C. Ospitaletto 0–1–2 US Pergolettese

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DateHomeScoreAway
25/01/26
Italy Serie C Group A
US Pergolettese1-0
HT 1-0
A.C. Ospitaletto
12/09/25
Italy Serie C Group A
A.C. Ospitaletto1-2
HT 1-1
US Pergolettese
02/08/25
Europe Friendlies
US Pergolettese0-0
HT 0-0
A.C. Ospitaletto

Standings · Italy Serie C Group A

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Cittadella 9801 16424
2 Union Brescia 9540 16619
3 A.C. Ospitaletto 9531 15618
4 Trento 9450 12517
5 ASD Union Arzignanochiampo 9522 141017
6 Treviso 10442 10716
7 Lecco 10343 12913
8 Desenzano 9342 8713
9 Albinoleffe 9333 141312
10 Alcione Milano 9261 131412
11 Lumezzane 10334 111412
12 US Pergolettese 9252 5611
13 AC Dolomiti Bellunesi 9243 7910
14 Novara 9234 8129
15 AC Carpi 10235 14209
16 Pro Vercelli 10235 8189
17 Juventus U23 9144 8157
18 US Folgore Caratese 10136 9156
19 Giana Erminio 9054 8125
20 Renate 9045 8144

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentA.C. OspitalettoUS Pergolettese
Novara 2-0 W 1-0 W
Cittadella 0-1 L 0-2 L
AC Carpi 2-2 D 2-1 W
Juventus U23 3-0 W 0-0 D
ASD Union Arzignanochiampo 3-1 W 2-2 D
Record vs common 3 W 1 D 1 L 2 W 2 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: A.C. Ospitaletto (4 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

A.C. Ospitaletto

LWDWWDLWDW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
11/10 Treviso
Italy Serie C Group A
1-0 1-0 37 W
03/10 Renate
Italy Serie C Group A
1-0 1-1 44 D
26/09 Novara
Italy Serie C Group A
1-0 2-0 28 W
20/09 Cittadella
Italy Serie C Group A
0-0 0-1 44 L
17/09 AC Carpi
Italy Serie C Group A
1-2 2-2 37 D
13/09 Juventus U23
Italy Serie C Group A
1-0 3-0 73 W
06/09 ASD Union Arzignanochiampo
Italy Serie C Group A
1-1 3-1 42 W
31/08 Albinoleffe
Italy Serie C Group A
0-0 1-1 82 D
22/08 Lumezzane
Italy Serie C Group A
0-0 2-0 64 W
25/04 Novara
Italy Serie C Group A
0-2 0-2 73 L

US Pergolettese

WLLDWDDDDW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
10/10 AC Carpi
Italy Serie C Group A
2-0 2-1 44 W
03/10 ASD Union Arzignanochiampo
Italy Serie C Group A
0-2 2-2 104 D
26/09 Trento
Italy Serie C Group A
0-0 0-0 31 D
20/09 Lecco
Italy Serie C Group A
0-0 0-0 53 D
17/09 US Folgore Caratese
Italy Serie C Group A
0-0 0-0 25 D
13/09 Novara
Italy Serie C Group A
1-0 1-0 25 W
06/09 Juventus U23
Italy Serie C Group A
0-0 0-0 25 D
30/08 Union Brescia
Italy Serie C Group A
0-0 0-1 04 L
22/08 Cittadella
Italy Serie C Group A
0-1 0-2 24 L
25/04 Lecco
Italy Serie C Group A
2-0 3-0 32 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in A.C. Ospitaletto vs US Pergolettese?

According to our model, the most likely result is a A.C. Ospitaletto win (51%). Probabilities: A.C. Ospitaletto 51%, draw 30%, US Pergolettese 19%.

How many goals are expected in A.C. Ospitaletto vs US Pergolettese?

The model expects 1.85 goals (A.C. Ospitaletto 1.23 · US Pergolettese 0.62), with a 58% chance of under 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in A.C. Ospitaletto vs US Pergolettese?

The model gives a 55% chance that not both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-0.