Prediction: A.C. Ospitaletto vs US Pergolettese
Team pages: A.C. Ospitaletto · US Pergolettese
- US Pergolettese1-0A.C. Ospitaletto
- A.C. Ospitaletto1-2US Pergolettese
- US Pergolettese0-0A.C. Ospitaletto
| A.C. Ospitaletto | Draw | US Pergolettese | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 50% | 33% | 17% |
| Market | 53% | 28% | 20% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- H2H favours US Pergolettese: 2-1-0.
- Cards-heavy: 7.7 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| A.C. Ospitaletto | US Pergolettese | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.5 / 0.8 | 0.8 / 0.6 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.6 / 0.5 | 0.5 / 0.3 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/40/20% | 30/50/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.1 / 4.8 | 1.2 / 3.3 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.4 / 0 | 3.3 / 0.4 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · A.C. Ospitaletto 0–1–2 US Pergolettese
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 25/01/26 Italy Serie C Group A | US Pergolettese | 1-0 HT 1-0 | A.C. Ospitaletto |
| 12/09/25 Italy Serie C Group A | A.C. Ospitaletto | 1-2 HT 1-1 | US Pergolettese |
| 02/08/25 Europe Friendlies | US Pergolettese | 0-0 HT 0-0 | A.C. Ospitaletto |
Standings · Italy Serie C Group A
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Cittadella | 9 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 4 | 24 |
| 2 | Union Brescia | 9 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 16 | 6 | 19 |
| 3 | A.C. Ospitaletto | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 15 | 6 | 18 |
| 4 | Trento | 9 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 12 | 5 | 17 |
| 5 | ASD Union Arzignanochiampo | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 14 | 10 | 17 |
| 6 | Treviso | 10 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 10 | 7 | 16 |
| 7 | Lecco | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 12 | 9 | 13 |
| 8 | Desenzano | 9 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 8 | 7 | 13 |
| 9 | Albinoleffe | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 14 | 13 | 12 |
| 10 | Alcione Milano | 9 | 2 | 6 | 1 | 13 | 14 | 12 |
| 11 | Lumezzane | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 11 | 14 | 12 |
| 12 | US Pergolettese | 9 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 11 |
| 13 | AC Dolomiti Bellunesi | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 9 | 10 |
| 14 | Novara | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 12 | 9 |
| 15 | AC Carpi | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 14 | 20 | 9 |
| 16 | Pro Vercelli | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 18 | 9 |
| 17 | Juventus U23 | 9 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 15 | 7 |
| 18 | US Folgore Caratese | 10 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 9 | 15 | 6 |
| 19 | Giana Erminio | 9 | 0 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 12 | 5 |
| 20 | Renate | 9 | 0 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 14 | 4 |
Common opponents 5 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | A.C. Ospitaletto | US Pergolettese |
|---|---|---|
| Novara | 2-0 W | 1-0 W |
| Cittadella | 0-1 L | 0-2 L |
| AC Carpi | 2-2 D | 2-1 W |
| Juventus U23 | 3-0 W | 0-0 D |
| ASD Union Arzignanochiampo | 3-1 W | 2-2 D |
| Record vs common | 3 W 1 D 1 L | 2 W 2 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: A.C. Ospitaletto (4 of 5 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
A.C. Ospitaletto
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/10 | Treviso Italy Serie C Group A |
1-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 7 | W |
| 03/10 | Renate Italy Serie C Group A |
1-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 4 | D |
| 26/09 | Novara Italy Serie C Group A |
1-0 | 2-0 | 2 | 8 | W |
| 20/09 | Cittadella Italy Serie C Group A |
0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 4 | L |
| 17/09 | AC Carpi Italy Serie C Group A |
1-2 | 2-2 | 3 | 7 | D |
| 13/09 | Juventus U23 Italy Serie C Group A |
1-0 | 3-0 | 7 | 3 | W |
| 06/09 | ASD Union Arzignanochiampo Italy Serie C Group A |
1-1 | 3-1 | 4 | 2 | W |
| 31/08 | Albinoleffe Italy Serie C Group A |
0-0 | 1-1 | 8 | 2 | D |
| 22/08 | Lumezzane Italy Serie C Group A |
0-0 | 2-0 | 6 | 4 | W |
| 25/04 | Novara Italy Serie C Group A |
0-2 | 0-2 | 7 | 3 | L |
US Pergolettese
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/10 | AC Carpi Italy Serie C Group A |
2-0 | 2-1 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 03/10 | ASD Union Arzignanochiampo Italy Serie C Group A |
0-2 | 2-2 | 10 | 4 | D |
| 26/09 | Trento Italy Serie C Group A |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | D |
| 20/09 | Lecco Italy Serie C Group A |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | D |
| 17/09 | US Folgore Caratese Italy Serie C Group A |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 5 | D |
| 13/09 | Novara Italy Serie C Group A |
1-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 5 | W |
| 06/09 | Juventus U23 Italy Serie C Group A |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 5 | D |
| 30/08 | Union Brescia Italy Serie C Group A |
0-0 | 0-1 | 0 | 4 | L |
| 22/08 | Cittadella Italy Serie C Group A |
0-1 | 0-2 | 2 | 4 | L |
| 25/04 | Lecco Italy Serie C Group A |
2-0 | 3-0 | 3 | 2 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in A.C. Ospitaletto vs US Pergolettese?
According to our model, the most likely result is a A.C. Ospitaletto win (51%). Probabilities: A.C. Ospitaletto 51%, draw 30%, US Pergolettese 19%.
How many goals are expected in A.C. Ospitaletto vs US Pergolettese?
The model expects 1.85 goals (A.C. Ospitaletto 1.23 · US Pergolettese 0.62), with a 58% chance of under 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in A.C. Ospitaletto vs US Pergolettese?
The model gives a 55% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-0.

