Football · Italy Serie C Group A · 01/11, 14:30

Prediction: AC Dolomiti Bellunesi vs Lecco

Team pages: AC Dolomiti Bellunesi · Lecco

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.56Total

AC Dolomiti Bellunesi1.15

Lecco1.4

1X2

30% 29% 41%

AC Dolomiti Bellunesi Draw Lecco

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 53% Both teams to score 53%

Most likely score

1-1 14%

Recent form · 10 last

AC Dolomiti Bellunesi 1-4-5 (W-D-L)

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Lecco 3-4-3 (W-D-L)

LLWWDLDDWD

Head-to-head

AC Dolomiti Bellunesi 0–2 Lecco (2 last)

AC Dolomiti Bellunesi1-4Lecco
Lecco3-0AC Dolomiti Bellunesi

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · AC Dolomiti Bellunesi 1433 · Lecco 1526

	AC Dolomiti Bellunesi	Draw	Lecco
Our model	30%	29%	41%
Market	30%	29%	41%

Estimated total (ours) 2.56 goals · Bet365 line 2.25 · +0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 55%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Lecco (rating 1433 vs 1526).
H2H favours Lecco: 2-0-0.
Cards-heavy: 6.8 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	AC Dolomiti Bellunesi	Lecco
Goals for / against (FT)	0.6 / 1.3	1.4 / 1.1
Goals for / against (HT)	0.2 / 0.5	0.7 / 0.2
Half-time result (W/D/L)	10/60/30%	40/50/10%
Corners (HT / FT)	0.7 / 1.2	2 / 4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.8 / 0.1	4 / 0

Odds Bet365

13.00

X3.10

22.15

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.25)1.85

2 (-0.25)1.95

Line ⓘ

Over 2.251.82

Under 2.251.98

Diff.: 0.05 · xG: 2.2

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 13:31

	Bet365	Best now
1	3.00 → 3.00	Bet365 3.00
X	3.10 → 3.10	Bet365 3.10
2	2.15 → 2.15	Bet365 2.15

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 12.1%

Time*	1	X	2
13:29 +2’	3.00	3.10	2.15

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · AC Dolomiti Bellunesi 0–0–2 Lecco

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Date	Home	Score	Away
17/01/26 Italy Serie C Group A	AC Dolomiti Bellunesi	1-4 HT 0-3	Lecco
07/09/25 Italy Serie C Group A	Lecco	3-0 HT 2-0	AC Dolomiti Bellunesi

Standings · Italy Serie C Group A

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Cittadella	11	9	0	2	18	6	27
2	Trento	11	6	5	0	17	6	23
3	Union Brescia	11	6	4	1	19	9	22
4	ASD Union Arzignanochiampo	11	6	2	3	16	11	20
5	Treviso	11	5	4	2	12	8	19
6	A.C. Ospitaletto	11	5	3	3	18	11	18
7	US Pergolettese	11	4	5	2	10	9	17
8	Alcione Milano	11	3	6	2	18	17	15
9	Lecco	11	3	5	3	14	11	14
10	Albinoleffe	11	3	5	3	16	15	14
11	Desenzano	11	3	4	4	10	13	13
12	Lumezzane	11	3	3	5	12	16	12
13	AC Carpi	11	3	3	5	16	21	12
14	Pro Vercelli	11	3	3	5	10	19	12
15	Giana Erminio	11	2	5	4	12	14	11
16	Novara	11	2	4	5	10	16	10
17	AC Dolomiti Bellunesi	11	2	4	5	8	14	10
18	Juventus U23	11	2	4	5	11	18	10
19	US Folgore Caratese	11	1	4	6	11	17	7
20	Renate	11	0	5	6	9	16	5

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	AC Dolomiti Bellunesi	Lecco
Treviso	1-2 L	0-1 L
Trento	0-3 L	0-1 L
Desenzano	0-2 L	3-1 W
Union Brescia	1-1 D	2-2 D
Giana Erminio	2-1 W	1-0 W
Alcione Milano	0-0 D	1-1 D
Record vs common	1 W 2 D 3 L	2 W 2 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Lecco (2 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

AC Dolomiti Bellunesi

DWDDLDLLLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
24/10	Treviso Italy Serie C Group A	0-1	1-2	2	4	L
19/10	Trento Italy Serie C Group A	0-2	0-3	0	4	L
10/10	Desenzano Italy Serie C Group A	0-1	0-2	0	4	L
04/10	Novara Italy Serie C Group A	1-0	1-2	1	3	L
27/09	Union Brescia Italy Serie C Group A	0-0	1-1	2	2	D
21/09	Lumezzane Italy Serie C Group A	1-1	1-2	2	3	L
17/09	Renate Italy Serie C Group A	0-0	0-0	1	0	D
13/09	Albinoleffe Italy Serie C Group A	0-0	0-0	2	1	D
06/09	Giana Erminio Italy Serie C Group A	0-0	2-1	1	4	W
30/08	Alcione Milano Italy Serie C Group A	0-0	0-0	1	4	D

Lecco

LLWWDLDDWD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
25/10	US Folgore Caratese Italy Serie C Group A	1-1	2-2	5	1	D
16/10	Pro Vercelli Italy Serie C Group A	2-0	5-0	5	5	W
11/10	Alcione Milano Italy Serie C Group A	0-1	1-1	7	4	D
04/10	Union Brescia Italy Serie C Group A	1-0	2-2	2	7	D
26/09	Cittadella Italy Serie C Group A	0-0	0-3	4	4	L
20/09	US Pergolettese Italy Serie C Group A	0-0	0-0	4	3	D
17/09	Desenzano Italy Serie C Group A	2-0	3-1	7	4	W
13/09	Giana Erminio Italy Serie C Group A	1-0	1-0	3	4	W
07/09	Trento Italy Serie C Group A	0-0	0-1	0	2	L
31/08	Treviso Italy Serie C Group A	0-0	0-1	3	6	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in AC Dolomiti Bellunesi vs Lecco?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Lecco win (41%). Probabilities: AC Dolomiti Bellunesi 30%, draw 29%, Lecco 41%.

How many goals are expected in AC Dolomiti Bellunesi vs Lecco?

The model expects 2.56 goals (AC Dolomiti Bellunesi 1.15 · Lecco 1.4), with a 54% chance of over 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in AC Dolomiti Bellunesi vs Lecco?

The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.