Football · Italy Serie C Group A · 02/11, 20:30

Prediction: Juventus U23 vs Pro Vercelli

Team pages: Juventus U23 · Pro Vercelli

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.64Total

Juventus U231.63

Pro Vercelli1.01

1X2

51% 27% 23%

Juventus U23 Draw Pro Vercelli

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 51% Both teams to score 53%

Most likely score

1-1 13%

Recent form · 10 last

Juventus U23 1-4-5 (W-D-L)

DDLLLDLDWL

Pro Vercelli 3-2-5 (W-D-L)

LWLDLDWLLW

Head-to-head

Juventus U23 5–1 Pro Vercelli (6 last)

Pro Vercelli1-5Juventus U23
Pro Vercelli2-7Juventus U23
Pro Vercelli0-1Juventus U23
Juventus U231-0Pro Vercelli
Pro Vercelli0-1Juventus U23
Pro Vercelli2-0Juventus U23

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Juventus U23 1455 · Pro Vercelli 1474

	Juventus U23	Draw	Pro Vercelli
Our model	50%	27%	22%
Market	51%	26%	23%

Estimated total (ours) 2.64 goals · Bet365 line 2.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 55%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Juventus U23: 5-0-1.
Cards-heavy: 7.6 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Juventus U23	Pro Vercelli
Goals for / against (FT)	1 / 1.8	0.9 / 1.8
Goals for / against (HT)	0.3 / 0.9	0.3 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)	10/40/50%	30/30/40%
Corners (HT / FT)	2 / 5.4	2.4 / 4.1
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.7 / 0.6	3.9 / 0.4

Odds Bet365

11.75

X3.40

23.90

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.5)1.80

2 (+0.5)2.00

Line ⓘ

Over 2.51.82

Under 2.51.98

Diff.: 0.25 · xG: 2.75

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 13:40

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.75 → 1.75	Bet365 1.75
X	3.40 → 3.40	Bet365 3.40
2	3.90 → 3.90	Bet365 3.90

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 12.2%

Time*	1	X	2
13:31 +8’	1.75	3.40	3.90

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Juventus U23 5–0–1 Pro Vercelli

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Date	Home	Score	Away
04/10/23 Italy Serie C Cup	Pro Vercelli	1-5 HT 1-2	Juventus U23
13/08/23 Europe Friendlies	Pro Vercelli	2-7 HT 2-4	Juventus U23
15/03/23 Italy Serie C Group A	Pro Vercelli	0-1 HT 0-0	Juventus U23
12/11/22 Italy Serie C Group A	Juventus U23	1-0 HT 1-0	Pro Vercelli
04/05/22 Italy Serie C Play-Offs	Pro Vercelli	0-1 HT 0-0	Juventus U23
23/01/22 Italy Serie C Group A	Pro Vercelli	2-0 HT 2-0	Juventus U23

Standings · Italy Serie C Group A

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Cittadella	11	9	0	2	18	6	27
2	Trento	11	6	5	0	17	6	23
3	Union Brescia	11	6	4	1	19	9	22
4	ASD Union Arzignanochiampo	11	6	2	3	16	11	20
5	Treviso	11	5	4	2	12	8	19
6	A.C. Ospitaletto	11	5	3	3	18	11	18
7	US Pergolettese	11	4	5	2	10	9	17
8	Alcione Milano	11	3	6	2	18	17	15
9	Lecco	11	3	5	3	14	11	14
10	Albinoleffe	11	3	5	3	16	15	14
11	Desenzano	11	3	4	4	10	13	13
12	Lumezzane	11	3	3	5	12	16	12
13	AC Carpi	11	3	3	5	16	21	12
14	Pro Vercelli	11	3	3	5	10	19	12
15	Giana Erminio	11	2	5	4	12	14	11
16	Novara	11	2	4	5	10	16	10
17	AC Dolomiti Bellunesi	11	2	4	5	8	14	10
18	Juventus U23	11	2	4	5	11	18	10
19	US Folgore Caratese	11	1	4	6	11	17	7
20	Renate	11	0	5	6	9	16	5

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Juventus U23	Pro Vercelli
Trento	1-2 L	0-4 L
ASD Union Arzignanochiampo	1-2 L	0-1 L
A.C. Ospitaletto	0-3 L	2-1 W
AC Carpi	3-3 D	2-0 W
Record vs common	0 W 1 D 3 L	2 W 0 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Pro Vercelli (2 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Juventus U23

DDLLLDLDWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
25/10	Trento Italy Serie C Group A	1-0	1-2	2	4	L
19/10	Renate Italy Serie C Group A	1-1	2-1	2	9	W
13/10	Lumezzane Italy Serie C Group A	0-0	0-0	6	6	D
10/10	ASD Union Arzignanochiampo Italy Serie C Group A	0-1	1-2	6	6	L
26/09	Desenzano Italy Serie C Group A	0-0	0-0	9	2	D
20/09	Albinoleffe Italy Serie C Group A	0-3	3-5	8	2	L
17/09	Cittadella Italy Serie C Group A	0-1	0-2	6	2	L
13/09	A.C. Ospitaletto Italy Serie C Group A	0-1	0-3	7	3	L
06/09	US Pergolettese Italy Serie C Group A	0-0	0-0	4	5	D
30/08	AC Carpi Italy Serie C Group A	1-2	3-3	4	4	D

Pro Vercelli

LWLDLDWLLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
25/10	A.C. Ospitaletto Italy Serie C Group A	0-0	2-1	5	2	W
16/10	Lecco Italy Serie C Group A	0-2	0-5	3	5	L
09/10	Union Brescia Italy Serie C Group A	0-1	0-2	6	5	L
03/10	AC Carpi Italy Serie C Group A	1-0	2-0	3	5	W
26/09	Giana Erminio Italy Serie C Group A	0-0	1-1	4	7	D
21/09	Trento Italy Serie C Group A	0-2	0-4	4	3	L
17/09	Alcione Milano Italy Serie C Group A	1-0	2-2	5	3	D
13/09	Treviso Italy Serie C Group A	0-1	1-2	2	7	L
07/09	US Folgore Caratese Italy Serie C Group A	1-0	1-0	6	4	W
30/08	ASD Union Arzignanochiampo Italy Serie C Group A	0-0	0-1	3	2	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Juventus U23 vs Pro Vercelli?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Juventus U23 win (51%). Probabilities: Juventus U23 51%, draw 27%, Pro Vercelli 23%.

How many goals are expected in Juventus U23 vs Pro Vercelli?

The model expects 2.64 goals (Juventus U23 1.63 · Pro Vercelli 1.01), with a 51% chance of over 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Juventus U23 vs Pro Vercelli?

The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.