Prediction: AC Carpi vs Renate
| AC Carpi | Draw | Renate | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 38% | 27% | 34% |
| Market | 38% | 28% | 34% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours AC Carpi (rating 1491 vs 1430).
- Cards-heavy: 7.5 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| AC Carpi | Renate | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.5 / 1.8 | 0.8 / 1.3 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.8 / 1 | 0.3 / 0.4 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/20/40% | 10/70/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.4 / 3 | 2.8 / 5.4 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.5 / 0.3 | 4 / 0.3 |
Standings · Italy Serie C Group A
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Cittadella | 11 | 9 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 6 | 27 |
| 2 | Trento | 11 | 6 | 5 | 0 | 17 | 6 | 23 |
| 3 | Union Brescia | 11 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 19 | 9 | 22 |
| 4 | ASD Union Arzignanochiampo | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 16 | 11 | 20 |
| 5 | Treviso | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 12 | 8 | 19 |
| 6 | A.C. Ospitaletto | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 18 | 11 | 18 |
| 7 | US Pergolettese | 11 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 10 | 9 | 17 |
| 8 | Alcione Milano | 11 | 3 | 6 | 2 | 18 | 17 | 15 |
| 9 | Lecco | 11 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 14 | 11 | 14 |
| 10 | Albinoleffe | 11 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 16 | 15 | 14 |
| 11 | Desenzano | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 10 | 13 | 13 |
| 12 | Lumezzane | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 12 | 16 | 12 |
| 13 | AC Carpi | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 16 | 21 | 12 |
| 14 | Pro Vercelli | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 10 | 19 | 12 |
| 15 | Giana Erminio | 11 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 12 | 14 | 11 |
| 16 | Novara | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 10 | 16 | 10 |
| 17 | AC Dolomiti Bellunesi | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 14 | 10 |
| 18 | Juventus U23 | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 11 | 18 | 10 |
| 19 | US Folgore Caratese | 11 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 11 | 17 | 7 |
| 20 | Renate | 11 | 0 | 5 | 6 | 9 | 16 | 5 |
Common opponents 7 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | AC Carpi | Renate |
|---|---|---|
| Lumezzane | 3-1 W | 2-2 D |
| ASD Union Arzignanochiampo | 0-3 L | 1-2 L |
| Novara | 2-2 D | 1-2 L |
| A.C. Ospitaletto | 2-2 D | 1-1 D |
| Cittadella | 1-2 L | 0-1 L |
| Albinoleffe | 1-0 W | 0-0 D |
| Juventus U23 | 3-3 D | 1-2 L |
| Record vs common | 2 W 3 D 2 L | 0 W 3 D 4 L |
Better against common opponents: AC Carpi (4 of 7 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
AC Carpi
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/10 | Alcione Milano Italy Serie C Group A |
1-1 | 2-1 | 3 | 1 | W |
| 17/10 | Lumezzane Italy Serie C Group A |
0-1 | 3-1 | 5 | 1 | W |
| 10/10 | US Pergolettese Italy Serie C Group A |
0-2 | 1-2 | 2 | 4 | L |
| 03/10 | Pro Vercelli Italy Serie C Group A |
0-1 | 0-2 | 4 | 5 | L |
| 27/09 | ASD Union Arzignanochiampo Italy Serie C Group A |
0-2 | 0-3 | 6 | 6 | L |
| 20/09 | Novara Italy Serie C Group A |
1-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 3 | D |
| 17/09 | A.C. Ospitaletto Italy Serie C Group A |
2-1 | 2-2 | 0 | 7 | D |
| 13/09 | Cittadella Italy Serie C Group A |
1-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 3 | L |
| 06/09 | Albinoleffe Italy Serie C Group A |
1-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 4 | W |
| 30/08 | Juventus U23 Italy Serie C Group A |
2-1 | 3-3 | 5 | 4 | D |
Renate
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/10 | Albinoleffe Italy Serie C Group A |
0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 3 | D |
| 19/10 | Juventus U23 Italy Serie C Group A |
1-1 | 1-2 | 5 | 9 | L |
| 11/10 | Giana Erminio Italy Serie C Group A |
1-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 3 | D |
| 03/10 | A.C. Ospitaletto Italy Serie C Group A |
0-1 | 1-1 | 6 | 4 | D |
| 27/09 | Treviso Italy Serie C Group A |
0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 7 | L |
| 20/09 | ASD Union Arzignanochiampo Italy Serie C Group A |
0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 4 | L |
| 17/09 | AC Dolomiti Bellunesi Italy Serie C Group A |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | D |
| 13/09 | Lumezzane Italy Serie C Group A |
1-1 | 2-2 | 5 | 7 | D |
| 07/09 | Novara Italy Serie C Group A |
0-0 | 1-2 | 6 | 4 | L |
| 31/08 | Cittadella Italy Serie C Group A |
0-1 | 0-1 | 9 | 2 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in AC Carpi vs Renate?
According to our model, the most likely result is a AC Carpi win (38%). Probabilities: AC Carpi 38%, draw 28%, Renate 34%.
How many goals are expected in AC Carpi vs Renate?
The model expects 2.83 goals (AC Carpi 1.45 · Renate 1.37), with a 52% chance of over 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in AC Carpi vs Renate?
The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.