Football · Italy Serie C Group A · 08/11, 17:30

Prediction: US Folgore Caratese vs AC Carpi

Team pages: US Folgore Caratese · AC Carpi

Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.72Total
US Folgore Caratese1.5
AC Carpi1.22
1X2
42% 28% 30%
US Folgore Caratese Draw AC Carpi
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 51% Both teams to score 54%
Most likely score
1-1 13%
Recent form · 10 last
US Folgore Caratese 1-3-6 (W-D-L)
LLDDWLLLDL
AC Carpi 3-2-5 (W-D-L)
WLDDLLLWWL
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · US Folgore Caratese 1434 · AC Carpi 1465
US Folgore CarateseDrawAC Carpi
Our model42%28%30%
Market42%28%30%
Estimated total (ours) 2.72 goals · Bet365 line 2.25 · +0.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 60%model estimate

Match keys

  • Cards-heavy: 7.7 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

US Folgore CarateseAC Carpi
Goals for / against (FT)0.8 / 1.71.2 / 2
Goals for / against (HT)0.5 / 0.80.6 / 1.2
Half-time result (W/D/L)20/40/40%30/20/50%
Corners (HT / FT)1.9 / 5.21 / 2.7
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)4 / 0.33.7 / 0.3

Standings · Italy Serie C Group A

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Cittadella 121002 19630
2 Union Brescia 13841 261128
3 Trento 13760 19727
4 ASD Union Arzignanochiampo 13634 191521
5 A.C. Ospitaletto 12543 181119
6 Treviso 12543 12919
7 Alcione Milano 13463 211918
8 Lecco 12453 181117
9 Albinoleffe 13454 201917
10 US Pergolettese 13454 141517
11 Lumezzane 13445 141716
12 Pro Vercelli 13445 152216
13 Novara 12345 111613
14 Desenzano 12345 101413
15 AC Carpi 12336 162612
16 Renate 13256 171811
17 Giana Erminio 12255 131711
18 Juventus U23 12255 121911
19 AC Dolomiti Bellunesi 13247 102210
20 US Folgore Caratese 12147 11217

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentUS Folgore CarateseAC Carpi
Lumezzane 2-1 W 3-1 W
US Pergolettese 0-0 D 1-2 L
Alcione Milano 2-3 L 2-1 W
Pro Vercelli 0-1 L 0-2 L
Record vs common 1 W 1 D 2 L 2 W 0 D 2 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

US Folgore Caratese

LLDDWLLLDL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
01/11 Union Brescia
Italy Serie C Group A
0-2 0-4 44 L
25/10 Lecco
Italy Serie C Group A
1-1 2-2 31 D
17/10 Treviso
Italy Serie C Group A
0-1 0-2 64 L
11/10 Trento
Italy Serie C Group A
0-0 0-1 44 L
03/10 Desenzano
Italy Serie C Group A
1-1 1-2 65 L
26/09 Lumezzane
Italy Serie C Group A
2-1 2-1 36 W
20/09 Giana Erminio
Italy Serie C Group A
1-0 1-1 76 D
17/09 US Pergolettese
Italy Serie C Group A
0-0 0-0 65 D
13/09 Alcione Milano
Italy Serie C Group A
0-1 2-3 64 L
07/09 Pro Vercelli
Italy Serie C Group A
0-1 0-1 74 L

AC Carpi

WLDDLLLWWL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
01/11 Renate
Italy Serie C Group A
0-3 0-5 26 L
24/10 Alcione Milano
Italy Serie C Group A
1-1 2-1 31 W
17/10 Lumezzane
Italy Serie C Group A
0-1 3-1 51 W
10/10 US Pergolettese
Italy Serie C Group A
0-2 1-2 24 L
03/10 Pro Vercelli
Italy Serie C Group A
0-1 0-2 45 L
27/09 ASD Union Arzignanochiampo
Italy Serie C Group A
0-2 0-3 66 L
20/09 Novara
Italy Serie C Group A
1-1 2-2 13 D
17/09 A.C. Ospitaletto
Italy Serie C Group A
2-1 2-2 07 D
13/09 Cittadella
Italy Serie C Group A
1-0 1-2 23 L
06/09 Albinoleffe
Italy Serie C Group A
1-0 1-0 24 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in US Folgore Caratese vs AC Carpi?

According to our model, the most likely result is a US Folgore Caratese win (42%). Probabilities: US Folgore Caratese 42%, draw 28%, AC Carpi 30%.

How many goals are expected in US Folgore Caratese vs AC Carpi?

The model expects 2.72 goals (US Folgore Caratese 1.5 · AC Carpi 1.22), with a 54% chance of over 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in US Folgore Caratese vs AC Carpi?

The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.