Football · Italy Serie C Group A · 07/11, 17:30
Prediction: Trento vs Albinoleffe
Team pages: Trento · Albinoleffe
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.58Total
Trento1.66
Albinoleffe0.92
1X2
Trento
Draw
Albinoleffe
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 51%
Both teams to score 52%
Most likely score
1-1 13%
Recent form · 10 last
Trento
5-5-0 (W-D-L)
Albinoleffe
3-4-3 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Trento
2–3–1
Albinoleffe
(6 last)
- Albinoleffe1-2Trento
- Trento2-2Albinoleffe
- Trento5-1Albinoleffe
- Albinoleffe0-0Trento
- Albinoleffe2-2Trento
- Trento1-2Albinoleffe
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Trento 1571 · Albinoleffe 1495
| Trento | Draw | Albinoleffe | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 54% | 27% | 20% |
| Market | 54% | 26% | 20% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.58 goals · Bet365 line 2.5
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 51%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Trento (rating 1571 vs 1495).
- H2H favours Trento: 2-3-1.
- Cards-heavy: 6.8 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Trento | Albinoleffe | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.5 / 0.5 | 1.6 / 1.5 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.7 / 0.3 | 0.9 / 0.5 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/60/10% | 40/30/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.2 / 5.3 | 1 / 2.8 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.8 / 0.1 | 3 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Trento 2–3–1 Albinoleffe
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 24/01/26 Italy Serie C Group A | Albinoleffe | 1-2 HT 0-0 | Trento |
| 14/09/25 Italy Serie C Group A | Trento | 2-2 HT 0-2 | Albinoleffe |
| 30/03/25 Italy Serie C Group A | Trento | 5-1 HT 0-1 | Albinoleffe |
| 16/11/24 Italy Serie C Group A | Albinoleffe | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Trento |
| 30/03/24 Italy Serie C Group A | Albinoleffe | 2-2 HT 0-1 | Trento |
| 24/11/23 Italy Serie C Group A | Trento | 1-2 HT 0-1 | Albinoleffe |
Standings · Italy Serie C Group A
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Cittadella | 12 | 10 | 0 | 2 | 19 | 6 | 30 |
| 2 | Union Brescia | 12 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 23 | 9 | 25 |
| 3 | Trento | 12 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 17 | 6 | 24 |
| 4 | ASD Union Arzignanochiampo | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 17 | 12 | 21 |
| 5 | A.C. Ospitaletto | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 18 | 11 | 19 |
| 6 | Treviso | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 12 | 9 | 19 |
| 7 | Alcione Milano | 12 | 4 | 6 | 2 | 21 | 18 | 18 |
| 8 | Lecco | 12 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 18 | 11 | 17 |
| 9 | Albinoleffe | 12 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 19 | 17 | 17 |
| 10 | US Pergolettese | 12 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 12 | 12 | 17 |
| 11 | Lumezzane | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 13 | 17 | 13 |
| 12 | Desenzano | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 10 | 14 | 13 |
| 13 | Novara | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 11 | 16 | 13 |
| 14 | Pro Vercelli | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 11 | 20 | 13 |
| 15 | AC Carpi | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 16 | 26 | 12 |
| 16 | Giana Erminio | 12 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 13 | 17 | 11 |
| 17 | Juventus U23 | 12 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 12 | 19 | 11 |
| 18 | AC Dolomiti Bellunesi | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 18 | 10 |
| 19 | Renate | 12 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 14 | 16 | 8 |
| 20 | US Folgore Caratese | 12 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 11 | 21 | 7 |
Common opponents 4 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Trento | Albinoleffe |
|---|---|---|
| Juventus U23 | 2-1 W | 5-3 W |
| AC Dolomiti Bellunesi | 3-0 W | 0-0 D |
| Alcione Milano | 2-2 D | 1-1 D |
| US Pergolettese | 0-0 D | 3-2 W |
| Record vs common | 2 W 2 D 0 L | 2 W 2 D 0 L |
Better against common opponents: Albinoleffe (2 of 4 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Trento
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/10 | A.C. Ospitaletto Italy Serie C Group A |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 5 | D |
| 25/10 | Juventus U23 Italy Serie C Group A |
0-1 | 2-1 | 8 | 4 | W |
| 19/10 | AC Dolomiti Bellunesi Italy Serie C Group A |
2-0 | 3-0 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 11/10 | US Folgore Caratese Italy Serie C Group A |
0-0 | 1-0 | 7 | 4 | W |
| 04/10 | Alcione Milano Italy Serie C Group A |
1-1 | 2-2 | 9 | 5 | D |
| 26/09 | US Pergolettese Italy Serie C Group A |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | D |
| 21/09 | Pro Vercelli Italy Serie C Group A |
2-0 | 4-0 | 7 | 3 | W |
| 17/09 | Giana Erminio Italy Serie C Group A |
2-1 | 2-2 | 5 | 6 | D |
| 13/09 | Union Brescia Italy Serie C Group A |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 5 | D |
| 07/09 | Lecco Italy Serie C Group A |
0-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 2 | W |
Albinoleffe
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/10 | US Pergolettese Italy Serie C Group A |
2-1 | 3-2 | 2 | 2 | W |
| 25/10 | Renate Italy Serie C Group A |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | D |
| 18/10 | Novara Italy Serie C Group A |
0-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 6 | D |
| 10/10 | Lumezzane Italy Serie C Group A |
1-2 | 2-3 | 4 | 6 | L |
| 03/10 | Cittadella Italy Serie C Group A |
2-0 | 2-1 | 1 | 4 | W |
| 27/09 | Alcione Milano Italy Serie C Group A |
0-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 2 | D |
| 20/09 | Juventus U23 Italy Serie C Group A |
3-0 | 5-3 | 1 | 2 | W |
| 17/09 | ASD Union Arzignanochiampo Italy Serie C Group A |
1-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 2 | L |
| 13/09 | AC Dolomiti Bellunesi Italy Serie C Group A |
0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | D |
| 06/09 | AC Carpi Italy Serie C Group A |
0-1 | 0-1 | 4 | 4 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Trento vs Albinoleffe?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Trento win (54%). Probabilities: Trento 54%, draw 26%, Albinoleffe 20%.
How many goals are expected in Trento vs Albinoleffe?
The model expects 2.58 goals (Trento 1.66 · Albinoleffe 0.92), with a 51% chance of under 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Trento vs Albinoleffe?
The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.