Prediction: Treviso vs Novara
| Treviso | Draw | Novara | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 52% | 30% | 18% |
| Market | 54% | 26% | 20% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Cards-heavy: 9.2 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Treviso | Novara | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1 / 0.7 | 0.9 / 1.3 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.4 / 0.1 | 0.3 / 0.6 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/50/10% | 20/30/50% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.5 / 5.6 | 1.3 / 3.9 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.8 / 0.2 | 4.4 / 0.2 |
Standings · Italy Serie C Group A
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Cittadella | 12 | 10 | 0 | 2 | 19 | 6 | 30 |
| 2 | Union Brescia | 13 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 26 | 11 | 28 |
| 3 | Trento | 13 | 7 | 6 | 0 | 19 | 7 | 27 |
| 4 | ASD Union Arzignanochiampo | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 19 | 15 | 21 |
| 5 | A.C. Ospitaletto | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 18 | 11 | 19 |
| 6 | Treviso | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 12 | 9 | 19 |
| 7 | Alcione Milano | 13 | 4 | 6 | 3 | 21 | 19 | 18 |
| 8 | Lecco | 12 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 18 | 11 | 17 |
| 9 | Albinoleffe | 13 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 20 | 19 | 17 |
| 10 | US Pergolettese | 13 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 14 | 15 | 17 |
| 11 | Lumezzane | 13 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 14 | 17 | 16 |
| 12 | Pro Vercelli | 13 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 15 | 22 | 16 |
| 13 | Novara | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 11 | 16 | 13 |
| 14 | Desenzano | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 10 | 14 | 13 |
| 15 | AC Carpi | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 16 | 26 | 12 |
| 16 | Renate | 13 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 17 | 18 | 11 |
| 17 | Giana Erminio | 12 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 13 | 17 | 11 |
| 18 | Juventus U23 | 12 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 12 | 19 | 11 |
| 19 | AC Dolomiti Bellunesi | 13 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 10 | 22 | 10 |
| 20 | US Folgore Caratese | 12 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 11 | 21 | 7 |
Common opponents 5 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Treviso | Novara |
|---|---|---|
| Cittadella | 0-1 L | 0-2 L |
| AC Dolomiti Bellunesi | 2-1 W | 2-1 W |
| A.C. Ospitaletto | 0-1 L | 0-2 L |
| Renate | 1-0 W | 2-1 W |
| Desenzano | 0-0 D | 1-0 W |
| Record vs common | 2 W 1 D 2 L | 3 W 0 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: Treviso (2 of 5 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Treviso
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/11 | Cittadella Italy Serie C Group A |
0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 3 | L |
| 24/10 | AC Dolomiti Bellunesi Italy Serie C Group A |
1-0 | 2-1 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 17/10 | US Folgore Caratese Italy Serie C Group A |
1-0 | 2-0 | 2 | 4 | W |
| 11/10 | A.C. Ospitaletto Italy Serie C Group A |
0-1 | 0-1 | 11 | 7 | L |
| 04/10 | Giana Erminio Italy Serie C Group A |
0-0 | 0-0 | 11 | 4 | D |
| 27/09 | Renate Italy Serie C Group A |
0-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 7 | W |
| 21/09 | Desenzano Italy Serie C Group A |
0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 6 | D |
| 17/09 | Union Brescia Italy Serie C Group A |
1-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 2 | D |
| 13/09 | Pro Vercelli Italy Serie C Group A |
1-0 | 2-1 | 5 | 7 | W |
| 07/09 | Alcione Milano Italy Serie C Group A |
0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 6 | D |
Novara
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/11 | Desenzano Italy Serie C Group A |
1-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 5 | W |
| 25/10 | ASD Union Arzignanochiampo Italy Serie C Group A |
0-1 | 0-2 | 6 | 6 | L |
| 18/10 | Albinoleffe Italy Serie C Group A |
1-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 6 | D |
| 10/10 | Cittadella Italy Serie C Group A |
0-1 | 0-2 | 1 | 2 | L |
| 04/10 | AC Dolomiti Bellunesi Italy Serie C Group A |
0-1 | 2-1 | 5 | 3 | W |
| 26/09 | A.C. Ospitaletto Italy Serie C Group A |
0-1 | 0-2 | 4 | 8 | L |
| 20/09 | AC Carpi Italy Serie C Group A |
1-1 | 2-2 | 5 | 3 | D |
| 17/09 | Lumezzane Italy Serie C Group A |
0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 4 | D |
| 13/09 | US Pergolettese Italy Serie C Group A |
0-1 | 0-1 | 3 | 5 | L |
| 07/09 | Renate Italy Serie C Group A |
0-0 | 2-1 | 4 | 4 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Treviso vs Novara?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Treviso win (53%). Probabilities: Treviso 53%, draw 28%, Novara 19%.
How many goals are expected in Treviso vs Novara?
The model expects 2.09 goals (Treviso 1.38 · Novara 0.71), with a 52% chance of under 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Treviso vs Novara?
The model gives a 53% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-0.