Football · Italy Serie C Group A · 08/11, 14:30
Prediction: Giana Erminio vs Cittadella
Team pages: Giana Erminio · Cittadella
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.44Total
Giana Erminio0.91
Cittadella1.53
1X2
Giana Erminio
Draw
Cittadella
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 53%
Both teams to score 51%
Most likely score
1-1 13%
Recent form · 10 last
Giana Erminio
2-5-3 (W-D-L)
Cittadella
8-0-2 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Giana Erminio
1–3
Cittadella
(4 last)
- Cittadella0-2Giana Erminio
- Giana Erminio0-2Cittadella
- Giana Erminio0-1Cittadella
- Cittadella1-0Giana Erminio
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Giana Erminio 1490 · Cittadella 1579
| Giana Erminio | Draw | Cittadella | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 21% | 28% | 51% |
| Market | 22% | 26% | 52% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.44 goals · Bet365 line 2.5
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 52%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Cittadella (rating 1490 vs 1579).
- H2H favours Cittadella: 3-0-1.
- High corners: 10.8 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 7.4 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Giana Erminio | Cittadella | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.2 / 1.4 | 1.6 / 0.6 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.4 / 0.8 | 0.5 / 0.5 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/30/50% | 30/50/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.1 / 4.9 | 2.8 / 5.9 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.1 / 0.2 | 3.3 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Giana Erminio 1–0–3 Cittadella
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 25/04/26 Italy Serie C Group A | Cittadella | 0-2 HT 0-0 | Giana Erminio |
| 21/12/25 Italy Serie C Group A | Giana Erminio | 0-2 HT 0-0 | Cittadella |
| 28/02/16 Italy Serie C Group A | Giana Erminio | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Cittadella |
| 18/10/15 Italy Serie C Group A | Cittadella | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Giana Erminio |
Standings · Italy Serie C Group A
Swipe the table sideways →
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Cittadella | 12 | 10 | 0 | 2 | 19 | 6 | 30 |
| 2 | Union Brescia | 13 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 26 | 11 | 28 |
| 3 | Trento | 13 | 7 | 6 | 0 | 19 | 7 | 27 |
| 4 | ASD Union Arzignanochiampo | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 19 | 15 | 21 |
| 5 | A.C. Ospitaletto | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 18 | 11 | 19 |
| 6 | Treviso | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 12 | 9 | 19 |
| 7 | Alcione Milano | 13 | 4 | 6 | 3 | 21 | 19 | 18 |
| 8 | Lecco | 12 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 18 | 11 | 17 |
| 9 | Albinoleffe | 13 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 20 | 19 | 17 |
| 10 | US Pergolettese | 13 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 14 | 15 | 17 |
| 11 | Lumezzane | 13 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 14 | 17 | 16 |
| 12 | Pro Vercelli | 13 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 15 | 22 | 16 |
| 13 | Novara | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 11 | 16 | 13 |
| 14 | Desenzano | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 10 | 14 | 13 |
| 15 | AC Carpi | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 16 | 26 | 12 |
| 16 | Renate | 13 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 17 | 18 | 11 |
| 17 | Giana Erminio | 12 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 13 | 17 | 11 |
| 18 | Juventus U23 | 12 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 12 | 19 | 11 |
| 19 | AC Dolomiti Bellunesi | 13 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 10 | 22 | 10 |
| 20 | US Folgore Caratese | 12 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 11 | 21 | 7 |
Common opponents 3 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Giana Erminio | Cittadella |
|---|---|---|
| Union Brescia | 2-1 W | 1-2 L |
| Treviso | 0-0 D | 1-0 W |
| Lecco | 0-1 L | 3-0 W |
| Record vs common | 1 W 1 D 1 L | 2 W 0 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: Cittadella (2 of 3 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Giana Erminio
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/10 | Alcione Milano Italy Serie C Group A |
1-3 | 1-3 | 7 | 1 | L |
| 25/10 | Desenzano Italy Serie C Group A |
1-0 | 2-1 | 2 | 3 | W |
| 19/10 | Union Brescia Italy Serie C Group A |
1-0 | 2-1 | 3 | 5 | W |
| 11/10 | Renate Italy Serie C Group A |
0-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 3 | D |
| 04/10 | Treviso Italy Serie C Group A |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | D |
| 26/09 | Pro Vercelli Italy Serie C Group A |
0-0 | 1-1 | 7 | 7 | D |
| 20/09 | US Folgore Caratese Italy Serie C Group A |
0-1 | 1-1 | 6 | 6 | D |
| 17/09 | Trento Italy Serie C Group A |
1-2 | 2-2 | 3 | 6 | D |
| 13/09 | Lecco Italy Serie C Group A |
0-1 | 0-1 | 5 | 4 | L |
| 06/09 | AC Dolomiti Bellunesi Italy Serie C Group A |
0-0 | 1-2 | 10 | 4 | L |
Cittadella
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/11 | Treviso Italy Serie C Group A |
0-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 24/10 | Union Brescia Italy Serie C Group A |
1-1 | 1-2 | 6 | 6 | L |
| 19/10 | ASD Union Arzignanochiampo Italy Serie C Group A |
0-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 2 | W |
| 10/10 | Novara Italy Serie C Group A |
1-0 | 2-0 | 6 | 2 | W |
| 03/10 | Albinoleffe Italy Serie C Group A |
0-2 | 1-2 | 11 | 4 | L |
| 26/09 | Lecco Italy Serie C Group A |
0-0 | 3-0 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 20/09 | A.C. Ospitaletto Italy Serie C Group A |
0-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 17/09 | Juventus U23 Italy Serie C Group A |
1-0 | 2-0 | 6 | 2 | W |
| 13/09 | AC Carpi Italy Serie C Group A |
0-1 | 2-1 | 7 | 3 | W |
| 06/09 | Lumezzane Italy Serie C Group A |
2-1 | 2-1 | 4 | 5 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Giana Erminio vs Cittadella?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Cittadella win (51%). Probabilities: Giana Erminio 22%, draw 27%, Cittadella 51%.
How many goals are expected in Giana Erminio vs Cittadella?
The model expects 2.44 goals (Giana Erminio 0.91 · Cittadella 1.53), with a 53% chance of under 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Giana Erminio vs Cittadella?
The model gives a 51% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.