Prediction: Desenzano vs A.C. Ospitaletto
Team pages: Desenzano · A.C. Ospitaletto
- A.C. Ospitaletto2-1Desenzano
- Desenzano2-1A.C. Ospitaletto
| Desenzano | Draw | A.C. Ospitaletto | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 29% | 30% | 41% |
| Market | 30% | 28% | 42% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Cards-heavy: 8.5 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Desenzano | A.C. Ospitaletto | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.9 / 1.3 | 1.5 / 1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.2 / 0.9 | 0.8 / 0.3 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 10/40/50% | 50/40/10% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.9 / 3.9 | 1.2 / 3.7 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4 / 0 | 4.5 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Desenzano 1–0–1 A.C. Ospitaletto
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30/03/25 Italy Serie D | A.C. Ospitaletto | 2-1 HT 0-1 | Desenzano |
| 17/11/24 Italy Serie D | Desenzano | 2-1 HT 2-1 | A.C. Ospitaletto |
Standings · Italy Serie C Group A
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Cittadella | 12 | 10 | 0 | 2 | 19 | 6 | 30 |
| 2 | Union Brescia | 13 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 26 | 11 | 28 |
| 3 | Trento | 13 | 7 | 6 | 0 | 19 | 7 | 27 |
| 4 | ASD Union Arzignanochiampo | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 19 | 15 | 21 |
| 5 | A.C. Ospitaletto | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 18 | 11 | 19 |
| 6 | Treviso | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 12 | 9 | 19 |
| 7 | Alcione Milano | 13 | 4 | 6 | 3 | 21 | 19 | 18 |
| 8 | Lecco | 12 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 18 | 11 | 17 |
| 9 | Albinoleffe | 13 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 20 | 19 | 17 |
| 10 | US Pergolettese | 13 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 14 | 15 | 17 |
| 11 | Lumezzane | 13 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 14 | 17 | 16 |
| 12 | Pro Vercelli | 13 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 15 | 22 | 16 |
| 13 | Novara | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 11 | 16 | 13 |
| 14 | Desenzano | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 10 | 14 | 13 |
| 15 | AC Carpi | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 16 | 26 | 12 |
| 16 | Renate | 13 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 17 | 18 | 11 |
| 17 | Giana Erminio | 12 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 13 | 17 | 11 |
| 18 | Juventus U23 | 12 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 12 | 19 | 11 |
| 19 | AC Dolomiti Bellunesi | 13 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 10 | 22 | 10 |
| 20 | US Folgore Caratese | 12 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 11 | 21 | 7 |
Common opponents 4 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Desenzano | A.C. Ospitaletto |
|---|---|---|
| Novara | 0-1 L | 2-0 W |
| Juventus U23 | 0-0 D | 3-0 W |
| Treviso | 0-0 D | 1-0 W |
| ASD Union Arzignanochiampo | 2-1 W | 3-1 W |
| Record vs common | 1 W 2 D 1 L | 4 W 0 D 0 L |
Better against common opponents: A.C. Ospitaletto (4 of 4 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Desenzano
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/11 | Novara Italy Serie C Group A |
0-1 | 0-1 | 3 | 5 | L |
| 25/10 | Giana Erminio Italy Serie C Group A |
0-1 | 1-2 | 5 | 3 | L |
| 18/10 | Alcione Milano Italy Serie C Group A |
0-3 | 1-4 | 6 | 4 | L |
| 10/10 | AC Dolomiti Bellunesi Italy Serie C Group A |
1-0 | 2-0 | 8 | 4 | W |
| 03/10 | US Folgore Caratese Italy Serie C Group A |
1-1 | 2-1 | 3 | 5 | W |
| 26/09 | Juventus U23 Italy Serie C Group A |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | D |
| 21/09 | Treviso Italy Serie C Group A |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 6 | D |
| 17/09 | Lecco Italy Serie C Group A |
0-2 | 1-3 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 13/09 | ASD Union Arzignanochiampo Italy Serie C Group A |
0-0 | 2-1 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 06/09 | Union Brescia Italy Serie C Group A |
0-1 | 0-1 | 2 | 3 | L |
A.C. Ospitaletto
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/10 | Trento Italy Serie C Group A |
0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 5 | D |
| 25/10 | Pro Vercelli Italy Serie C Group A |
0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 2 | L |
| 18/10 | US Pergolettese Italy Serie C Group A |
2-0 | 2-3 | 7 | 3 | L |
| 11/10 | Treviso Italy Serie C Group A |
1-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 7 | W |
| 03/10 | Renate Italy Serie C Group A |
1-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 4 | D |
| 26/09 | Novara Italy Serie C Group A |
1-0 | 2-0 | 2 | 8 | W |
| 20/09 | Cittadella Italy Serie C Group A |
0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 4 | L |
| 17/09 | AC Carpi Italy Serie C Group A |
1-2 | 2-2 | 3 | 7 | D |
| 13/09 | Juventus U23 Italy Serie C Group A |
1-0 | 3-0 | 7 | 3 | W |
| 06/09 | ASD Union Arzignanochiampo Italy Serie C Group A |
1-1 | 3-1 | 4 | 2 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Desenzano vs A.C. Ospitaletto?
According to our model, the most likely result is an A.C. Ospitaletto win (42%). Probabilities: Desenzano 30%, draw 29%, A.C. Ospitaletto 42%.
How many goals are expected in Desenzano vs A.C. Ospitaletto?
The model expects 2.39 goals (Desenzano 1.07 · A.C. Ospitaletto 1.32), with a 52% chance of over 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Desenzano vs A.C. Ospitaletto?
The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.