Football · Italy Serie C Group A · 08/11, 14:30
Prediction: Lecco vs Juventus U23
Team pages: Lecco · Juventus U23
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.77Total
Lecco1.61
Juventus U231.15
1X2
Lecco
Draw
Juventus U23
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 52%
Both teams to score 54%
Most likely score
1-1 13%
Recent form · 10 last
Lecco
4-4-2 (W-D-L)
Juventus U23
1-4-5 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Lecco
4–2
Juventus U23
(6 last)
- Juventus U230-2Lecco
- Lecco1-0Juventus U23
- Lecco1-3Juventus U23
- Lecco2-1Juventus U23
- Juventus U231-0Lecco
- Lecco4-0Juventus U23
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Lecco 1539 · Juventus U23 1452
| Lecco | Draw | Juventus U23 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 47% | 27% | 26% |
| Market | 47% | 27% | 26% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.77 goals · Bet365 line 2.75
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 50%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Lecco (rating 1539 vs 1452).
- H2H favours Lecco: 4-0-2.
- Cards-heavy: 7 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Lecco | Juventus U23 | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.8 / 1 | 0.8 / 1.6 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.8 / 0.2 | 0.3 / 0.7 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 50/40/10% | 20/40/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.2 / 4 | 2.2 / 6.1 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.6 / 0 | 3.4 / 0.6 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Lecco 4–0–2 Juventus U23
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 19/02/23 Italy Serie C Group A | Juventus U23 | 0-2 HT 0-1 | Lecco |
| 19/10/22 Italy Serie C Group A | Lecco | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Juventus U23 |
| 05/10/22 Italy Serie C Cup | Lecco | 1-3 HT 0-1 | Juventus U23 |
| 16/03/22 Italy Serie C Group A | Lecco | 2-1 HT 1-1 | Juventus U23 |
| 07/11/21 Italy Serie C Group A | Juventus U23 | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Lecco |
| 28/02/21 Italy Serie C Group A | Lecco | 4-0 HT 2-0 | Juventus U23 |
Standings · Italy Serie C Group A
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Cittadella | 12 | 10 | 0 | 2 | 19 | 6 | 30 |
| 2 | Union Brescia | 13 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 26 | 11 | 28 |
| 3 | Trento | 13 | 7 | 6 | 0 | 19 | 7 | 27 |
| 4 | ASD Union Arzignanochiampo | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 19 | 15 | 21 |
| 5 | A.C. Ospitaletto | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 18 | 11 | 19 |
| 6 | Treviso | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 12 | 9 | 19 |
| 7 | Alcione Milano | 13 | 4 | 6 | 3 | 21 | 19 | 18 |
| 8 | Lecco | 12 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 18 | 11 | 17 |
| 9 | Albinoleffe | 13 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 20 | 19 | 17 |
| 10 | US Pergolettese | 13 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 14 | 15 | 17 |
| 11 | Lumezzane | 13 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 14 | 17 | 16 |
| 12 | Pro Vercelli | 13 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 15 | 22 | 16 |
| 13 | Novara | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 11 | 16 | 13 |
| 14 | Desenzano | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 10 | 14 | 13 |
| 15 | AC Carpi | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 16 | 26 | 12 |
| 16 | Renate | 13 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 17 | 18 | 11 |
| 17 | Giana Erminio | 12 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 13 | 17 | 11 |
| 18 | Juventus U23 | 12 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 12 | 19 | 11 |
| 19 | AC Dolomiti Bellunesi | 13 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 10 | 22 | 10 |
| 20 | US Folgore Caratese | 12 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 11 | 21 | 7 |
Common opponents 5 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Lecco | Juventus U23 |
|---|---|---|
| Pro Vercelli | 5-0 W | 1-1 D |
| Cittadella | 0-3 L | 0-2 L |
| US Pergolettese | 0-0 D | 0-0 D |
| Desenzano | 3-1 W | 0-0 D |
| Trento | 0-1 L | 1-2 L |
| Record vs common | 2 W 1 D 2 L | 0 W 3 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: Lecco (2 of 5 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Lecco
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/11 | AC Dolomiti Bellunesi Italy Serie C Group A |
1-0 | 4-0 | 3 | 2 | W |
| 25/10 | US Folgore Caratese Italy Serie C Group A |
1-1 | 2-2 | 5 | 1 | D |
| 16/10 | Pro Vercelli Italy Serie C Group A |
2-0 | 5-0 | 5 | 5 | W |
| 11/10 | Alcione Milano Italy Serie C Group A |
0-1 | 1-1 | 7 | 4 | D |
| 04/10 | Union Brescia Italy Serie C Group A |
1-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 7 | D |
| 26/09 | Cittadella Italy Serie C Group A |
0-0 | 0-3 | 4 | 4 | L |
| 20/09 | US Pergolettese Italy Serie C Group A |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | D |
| 17/09 | Desenzano Italy Serie C Group A |
2-0 | 3-1 | 7 | 4 | W |
| 13/09 | Giana Erminio Italy Serie C Group A |
1-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 4 | W |
| 07/09 | Trento Italy Serie C Group A |
0-0 | 0-1 | 0 | 2 | L |
Juventus U23
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/11 | Pro Vercelli Italy Serie C Group A |
1-0 | 1-1 | 11 | 1 | D |
| 25/10 | Trento Italy Serie C Group A |
1-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 4 | L |
| 19/10 | Renate Italy Serie C Group A |
1-1 | 2-1 | 2 | 9 | W |
| 13/10 | Lumezzane Italy Serie C Group A |
0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 6 | D |
| 10/10 | ASD Union Arzignanochiampo Italy Serie C Group A |
0-1 | 1-2 | 6 | 6 | L |
| 26/09 | Desenzano Italy Serie C Group A |
0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 2 | D |
| 20/09 | Albinoleffe Italy Serie C Group A |
0-3 | 3-5 | 8 | 2 | L |
| 17/09 | Cittadella Italy Serie C Group A |
0-1 | 0-2 | 6 | 2 | L |
| 13/09 | A.C. Ospitaletto Italy Serie C Group A |
0-1 | 0-3 | 7 | 3 | L |
| 06/09 | US Pergolettese Italy Serie C Group A |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 5 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Lecco vs Juventus U23?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Lecco win (47%). Probabilities: Lecco 47%, draw 27%, Juventus U23 26%.
How many goals are expected in Lecco vs Juventus U23?
The model expects 2.77 goals (Lecco 1.61 · Juventus U23 1.15), with a 53% chance of under 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Lecco vs Juventus U23?
The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.