Football · Italy Serie C Group A · 31/10, 14:30

Prediction: A.C. Ospitaletto vs Trento

Team pages: A.C. Ospitaletto · Trento

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.51Total

A.C. Ospitaletto1.15

Trento1.36

1X2

31% 29% 40%

A.C. Ospitaletto Draw Trento

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 54% Both teams to score 53%

Most likely score

1-1 14%

Recent form · 10 last

A.C. Ospitaletto 4-3-3 (W-D-L)

DWWDLWDWLL

Trento 5-5-0 (W-D-L)

DWDDWDDWWW

Head-to-head

A.C. Ospitaletto 1–2 Trento (3 last)

Trento2-1A.C. Ospitaletto
A.C. Ospitaletto3-2Trento
Trento3-1A.C. Ospitaletto

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · A.C. Ospitaletto 1504 · Trento 1546

	A.C. Ospitaletto	Draw	Trento
Our model	30%	29%	40%
Market	31%	29%	41%

Estimated total (ours) 2.51 goals · Bet365 line 2.25 · +0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 51%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Trento (rating 1504 vs 1546).
H2H favours Trento: 2-0-1.
Cards-heavy: 7.8 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	A.C. Ospitaletto	Trento
Goals for / against (FT)	1.6 / 1.1	1.5 / 0.5
Goals for / against (HT)	0.8 / 0.3	0.7 / 0.3
Half-time result (W/D/L)	50/40/10%	30/60/10%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.7 / 4.5	2.4 / 5.6
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.2 / 0	3.6 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

12.90

X3.10

22.20

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.25)1.82

2 (-0.25)1.98

Line ⓘ

Over 2.251.80

Under 2.252.00

Diff.: 0.1 · xG: 2.35

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 13:17

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.90 → 2.90	Bet365 2.90
X	3.10 → 3.10	Bet365 3.10
2	2.20 → 2.20	Bet365 2.20

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 12.2%

Time*	1	X	2
13:10 +7’	2.90	3.10	2.20

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · A.C. Ospitaletto 1–0–2 Trento

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Home	Score	Away
14/08/26 Italy Serie C Cup	Trento	2-1 HT 0-0	A.C. Ospitaletto
14/03/26 Italy Serie C Group A	A.C. Ospitaletto	3-2 HT 3-0	Trento
09/11/25 Italy Serie C Group A	Trento	3-1 HT 2-0	A.C. Ospitaletto

Standings · Italy Serie C Group A

Swipe the table sideways →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Cittadella	11	9	0	2	18	6	27
2	Trento	11	6	5	0	17	6	23
3	Union Brescia	11	6	4	1	19	9	22
4	ASD Union Arzignanochiampo	11	6	2	3	16	11	20
5	Treviso	11	5	4	2	12	8	19
6	A.C. Ospitaletto	11	5	3	3	18	11	18
7	US Pergolettese	11	4	5	2	10	9	17
8	Alcione Milano	11	3	6	2	18	17	15
9	Lecco	11	3	5	3	14	11	14
10	Albinoleffe	11	3	5	3	16	15	14
11	Desenzano	11	3	4	4	10	13	13
12	Lumezzane	11	3	3	5	12	16	12
13	AC Carpi	11	3	3	5	16	21	12
14	Pro Vercelli	11	3	3	5	10	19	12
15	Giana Erminio	11	2	5	4	12	14	11
16	Novara	11	2	4	5	10	16	10
17	AC Dolomiti Bellunesi	11	2	4	5	8	14	10
18	Juventus U23	11	2	4	5	11	18	10
19	US Folgore Caratese	11	1	4	6	11	17	7
20	Renate	11	0	5	6	9	16	5

Common opponents 3 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	A.C. Ospitaletto	Trento
Pro Vercelli	1-2 L	4-0 W
US Pergolettese	2-3 L	0-0 D
Juventus U23	3-0 W	2-1 W
Record vs common	1 W 0 D 2 L	2 W 1 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: Trento (2 of 3 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

A.C. Ospitaletto

DWWDLWDWLL

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
25/10	Pro Vercelli Italy Serie C Group A	0-0	1-2	3	2	L
18/10	US Pergolettese Italy Serie C Group A	2-0	2-3	7	3	L
11/10	Treviso Italy Serie C Group A	1-0	1-0	3	7	W
03/10	Renate Italy Serie C Group A	1-0	1-1	4	4	D
26/09	Novara Italy Serie C Group A	1-0	2-0	2	8	W
20/09	Cittadella Italy Serie C Group A	0-0	0-1	4	4	L
17/09	AC Carpi Italy Serie C Group A	1-2	2-2	3	7	D
13/09	Juventus U23 Italy Serie C Group A	1-0	3-0	7	3	W
06/09	ASD Union Arzignanochiampo Italy Serie C Group A	1-1	3-1	4	2	W
31/08	Albinoleffe Italy Serie C Group A	0-0	1-1	8	2	D

Trento

DWDDWDDWWW

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
25/10	Juventus U23 Italy Serie C Group A	0-1	2-1	8	4	W
19/10	AC Dolomiti Bellunesi Italy Serie C Group A	2-0	3-0	4	4	W
11/10	US Folgore Caratese Italy Serie C Group A	0-0	1-0	7	4	W
04/10	Alcione Milano Italy Serie C Group A	1-1	2-2	9	5	D
26/09	US Pergolettese Italy Serie C Group A	0-0	0-0	5	1	D
21/09	Pro Vercelli Italy Serie C Group A	2-0	4-0	7	3	W
17/09	Giana Erminio Italy Serie C Group A	2-1	2-2	5	6	D
13/09	Union Brescia Italy Serie C Group A	0-0	0-0	3	5	D
07/09	Lecco Italy Serie C Group A	0-0	1-0	3	2	W
31/08	Desenzano Italy Serie C Group A	0-0	0-0	5	3	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in A.C. Ospitaletto vs Trento?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Trento win (40%). Probabilities: A.C. Ospitaletto 31%, draw 29%, Trento 40%.

How many goals are expected in A.C. Ospitaletto vs Trento?

The model expects 2.51 goals (A.C. Ospitaletto 1.15 · Trento 1.36), with a 53% chance of over 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in A.C. Ospitaletto vs Trento?

The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.