Prediction: North District vs Kitchee
Team pages: North District · Kitchee
- North District2-2Kitchee
- North District1-2Kitchee
- Kitchee3-3North District
- Kitchee2-3North District
- Kitchee1-2North District
- Kitchee5-0North District
| North District | Draw | Kitchee | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 28% | 21% | 51% |
| Market | 28% | 22% | 50% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- High corners: 14 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 7.7 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| North District | Kitchee | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.8 / 2.3 | 2.4 / 1.8 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.8 / 1.1 | 1.2 / 1 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/50/30% | 50/10/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.2 / 5.7 | 3.1 / 8.3 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.3 / 0.2 | 4.3 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · North District 2–2–2 Kitchee
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 25/04/26 Hong Kong Premier League | North District | 2-2 HT 0-2 | Kitchee |
| 13/12/25 Hong Kong Premier League | North District | 1-2 HT 0-0 | Kitchee |
| 26/10/25 Hong Kong Premier League | Kitchee | 3-3 HT 1-1 | North District |
| 28/09/25 Hong Kong Senior Shield | Kitchee | 2-3 HT 2-1 | North District |
| 05/04/25 Hong Kong Premier League | Kitchee | 1-2 HT 1-0 | North District |
| 08/03/25 Hong Kong Premier League | Kitchee | 5-0 HT 3-0 | North District |
Standings · Hong Kong Premier League
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| # | Team | P | W | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Lee Man FC | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3 |
| 2 | Shatin | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 3 |
| 3 | North District | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 |
| 4 | Kitchee | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 3 |
| 4 | Southern District | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 3 |
| 6 | Eastern District | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 7 | Hong Kong FC | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 0 |
| 7 | HK Rangers FC | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 0 |
| 9 | Eastern SC | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 | Tai Po | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 | Kowloon City | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 |
Common opponents 4 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | North District | Kitchee |
|---|---|---|
| Tai Po | 2-0 W | 0-3 L |
| Lee Man FC | 2-4 L | 1-4 L |
| Eastern SC | 1-3 L | 4-4 D |
| HK Rangers FC | 2-1 W | 3-2 W |
| Record vs common | 2 W 0 D 2 L | 1 W 1 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: North District (2 of 4 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
North District
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/08 | Tai Po Hong Kong Premier League |
0-0 | 2-0 | 7 | 5 | W |
| 10/05 | Lee Man FC Hong Kong Premier League |
2-2 | 2-4 | 9 | 2 | L |
| 01/05 | Eastern SC Hong Kong Premier League |
1-1 | 1-3 | 3 | 7 | L |
| 25/04 | Kitchee Hong Kong Premier League |
0-2 | 2-2 | – | – | D |
| 18/04 | Tai Po Hong Kong Premier League |
1-1 | 2-3 | 6 | 6 | L |
| 12/04 | Lee Man FC Hong Kong Premier League |
0-1 | 3-3 | 4 | 3 | D |
| 22/03 | Southern District Hong Kong Premier League |
2-1 | 2-2 | 9 | 3 | D |
| 14/03 | HK Rangers FC Hong Kong Premier League |
1-0 | 2-1 | 1 | 1 | W |
| 01/03 | Eastern District Hong Kong Premier League |
1-1 | 2-2 | 6 | 2 | D |
| 14/02 | Eastern SC Hong Kong Premier League |
0-2 | 0-3 | 6 | 3 | L |
Kitchee
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/08 | HK Rangers FC Hong Kong Premier League |
1-0 | 3-2 | 8 | 6 | W |
| 17/05 | Eastern SC Hong Kong Premier League |
2-3 | 4-4 | 6 | 7 | D |
| 02/05 | Tai Po Hong Kong Premier League |
0-2 | 0-3 | 10 | 2 | L |
| 25/04 | North District Hong Kong Premier League |
2-0 | 2-2 | – | – | D |
| 18/04 | Lee Man FC Hong Kong Premier League |
1-3 | 1-4 | 7 | 7 | L |
| 12/04 | HK Rangers FC Hong Kong Premier League |
1-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 21/03 | Eastern SC Hong Kong Premier League |
0-1 | 2-1 | 12 | 5 | W |
| 14/03 | Kowloon City Hong Kong Premier League |
2-0 | 4-0 | 12 | 4 | W |
| 01/03 | Hong Kong FC Hong Kong Premier League |
3-1 | 5-2 | 8 | 2 | W |
| 15/02 | Lee Man FC Hong Kong Premier League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 7 | 2 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in North District vs Kitchee?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Kitchee win (50%). Probabilities: North District 28%, draw 22%, Kitchee 50%.
How many goals are expected in North District vs Kitchee?
The model expects 4.06 goals (North District 1.74 · Kitchee 2.33), with a 56% chance of over 3.25 goals.
Will both teams score in North District vs Kitchee?
The model gives a 62% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-2.