Prediction: Hong Kong FC vs Lee Man FC
Team pages: Hong Kong FC · Lee Man FC
- Hong Kong FC0-4Lee Man FC
- Lee Man FC7-1Hong Kong FC
- Hong Kong FC0-4Lee Man FC
- Lee Man FC3-0Hong Kong FC
- Lee Man FC3-1Hong Kong FC
- Lee Man FC2-0Hong Kong FC
| Hong Kong FC | Draw | Lee Man FC | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 9% | 14% | 77% |
| Market | 7% | 12% | 81% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Lee Man FC (rating 1423 vs 1575).
- H2H favours Lee Man FC: 6-0-0.
- Cards-heavy: 8.9 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Hong Kong FC | Lee Man FC | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.1 / 2.8 | 2.3 / 1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.4 / 1.3 | 1.4 / 0.6 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/10/60% | 50/40/10% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.3 / 3.6 | 2.8 / 5.4 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.1 / 0.1 | 4.8 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Hong Kong FC 0–0–6 Lee Man FC
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 15/03/26 Hong Kong Premier League | Hong Kong FC | 0-4 HT 0-2 | Lee Man FC |
| 01/11/25 Hong Kong Premier League | Lee Man FC | 7-1 HT 2-1 | Hong Kong FC |
| 04/05/25 Hong Kong Premier League | Hong Kong FC | 0-4 HT 0-2 | Lee Man FC |
| 22/02/25 Hong Kong Premier League | Lee Man FC | 3-0 HT 0-0 | Hong Kong FC |
| 22/09/24 Hong Kong Premier League | Lee Man FC | 3-1 HT 1-0 | Hong Kong FC |
| 20/04/24 Hong Kong Premier League | Lee Man FC | 2-0 HT 1-0 | Hong Kong FC |
Standings · Hong Kong Premier League
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Lee Man FC | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 0 | 6 |
| 2 | Southern District | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 6 |
| 3 | North District | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4 |
| 4 | Kitchee | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 4 |
| 5 | Eastern District | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 3 |
| 6 | Tai Po | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 3 |
| 7 | Shatin | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 3 |
| 8 | Hong Kong FC | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 0 |
| 9 | HK Rangers FC | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 | Kowloon City | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 | Eastern SC | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 0 |
Common opponents 5 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Hong Kong FC | Lee Man FC |
|---|---|---|
| Kowloon City | 1-1 D | 3-0 W |
| Eastern District | 2-1 W | 0-0 D |
| Eastern SC | 0-5 L | 0-1 L |
| Kitchee | 2-5 L | 4-1 W |
| Tai Po | 0-2 L | 2-3 L |
| Record vs common | 1 W 1 D 3 L | 2 W 1 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: Lee Man FC (4 of 5 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Hong Kong FC
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/08 | Southern District Hong Kong Premier League |
0-2 | 2-3 | 2 | 4 | L |
| 16/05 | Kowloon City Hong Kong Premier League |
1-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 4 | D |
| 10/05 | HK Rangers FC Hong Kong Premier League |
1-0 | 2-1 | 3 | 5 | W |
| 03/05 | Southern District Hong Kong Premier League |
0-2 | 1-4 | 3 | 5 | L |
| 25/04 | Eastern District Hong Kong Premier League |
0-0 | 2-1 | – | – | W |
| 11/04 | Eastern SC Hong Kong Premier League |
0-3 | 0-5 | 1 | 4 | L |
| 15/03 | Lee Man FC Hong Kong Premier League |
0-2 | 0-4 | 4 | 5 | L |
| 01/03 | Kitchee Hong Kong Premier League |
1-3 | 2-5 | 4 | 2 | L |
| 22/02 | Southern District Hong Kong Premier League |
1-0 | 1-2 | 6 | 9 | L |
| 01/02 | Tai Po Hong Kong Premier League |
0-1 | 0-2 | 6 | 0 | L |
Lee Man FC
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/08 | Shatin Hong Kong Premier League |
2-0 | 3-0 | 3 | 4 | W |
| 23/08 | Kowloon City Hong Kong Premier League |
2-0 | 3-0 | 7 | 4 | W |
| 17/05 | Tai Po Hong Kong Premier League |
2-2 | 2-3 | 5 | 5 | L |
| 10/05 | North District Hong Kong Premier League |
2-2 | 4-2 | 6 | 2 | W |
| 26/04 | Eastern SC Hong Kong Premier League |
0-1 | 0-1 | 6 | 9 | L |
| 18/04 | Kitchee Hong Kong Premier League |
3-1 | 4-1 | 3 | 7 | W |
| 12/04 | North District Hong Kong Premier League |
1-0 | 3-3 | 6 | 3 | D |
| 03/04 | Eastern District Hong Kong Premier League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | D |
| 21/03 | Kowloon City Hong Kong Premier League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 8 | D |
| 15/03 | Hong Kong FC Hong Kong Premier League |
2-0 | 4-0 | 6 | 5 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Hong Kong FC vs Lee Man FC?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Lee Man FC win (79%). Probabilities: Hong Kong FC 8%, draw 13%, Lee Man FC 79%.
How many goals are expected in Hong Kong FC vs Lee Man FC?
The model expects 3.94 goals (Hong Kong FC 0.97 · Lee Man FC 2.97), with a 51% chance of under 3.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Hong Kong FC vs Lee Man FC?
The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 0-2.