Football · Hong Kong Premier League · 30/08, 12:30
Prediction: HK Rangers FC vs Eastern District
Team pages: HK Rangers FC
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.67Total
HK Rangers FC1.29
Eastern District1.39
1X2
HK Rangers FC
Draw
Eastern District
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 50%
Both teams to score 54%
Most likely score
1-1 14%
Recent form · 10 last
HK Rangers FC
1-2-7 (W-D-L)
Eastern District
1-4-5 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
HK Rangers FC
2–1–2
Eastern District
(5 last)
- Eastern District1-1HK Rangers FC
- Eastern District4-0HK Rangers FC
- HK Rangers FC0-1Eastern District
- Eastern District1-2HK Rangers FC
- HK Rangers FC2-0Eastern District
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · HK Rangers FC 1393 · Eastern District 1472
| HK Rangers FC | Draw | Eastern District | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 33% | 28% | 38% |
| Market | 35% | 25% | 40% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.67 goals · Bet365 line 2.75
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 53%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Eastern District (rating 1393 vs 1472).
- Cards-heavy: 7 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| HK Rangers FC | Eastern District | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1 / 1.8 | 1.2 / 1.5 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.3 / 1 | 0.8 / 0.5 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 10/20/70% | 20/60/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3 / 5.6 | 1.6 / 4.4 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.7 / 0 | 3.3 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · HK Rangers FC 2–1–2 Eastern District
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 16/05/26 Hong Kong Premier League | Eastern District | 1-1 HT 1-1 | HK Rangers FC |
| 31/01/26 Hong Kong Premier League | Eastern District | 4-0 HT 4-0 | HK Rangers FC |
| 09/11/25 Hong Kong Premier League | HK Rangers FC | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Eastern District |
| 28/04/19 Hong Kong 1st Division | Eastern District | 1-2 | HK Rangers FC |
| 28/10/18 Hong Kong 1st Division | HK Rangers FC | 2-0 HT 1-0 | Eastern District |
Standings · Hong Kong Premier League
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| # | Team | P | W | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Lee Man FC | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3 |
| 2 | Shatin | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 3 |
| 3 | North District | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 |
| 4 | Kitchee | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 3 |
| 4 | Southern District | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 3 |
| 6 | Eastern District | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 7 | Hong Kong FC | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 0 |
| 7 | HK Rangers FC | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 0 |
| 9 | Eastern SC | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 | Tai Po | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 | Kowloon City | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 |
Common opponents 7 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | HK Rangers FC | Eastern District |
|---|---|---|
| Hong Kong FC | 1-2 L | 1-2 L |
| Kowloon City | 1-2 L | 1-2 L |
| Southern District | 3-1 W | 2-2 D |
| Eastern SC | 1-1 D | 0-1 L |
| Tai Po | 0-2 L | 1-3 L |
| North District | 1-2 L | 2-2 D |
| Lee Man FC | 0-2 L | 0-0 D |
| Record vs common | 1 W 1 D 5 L | 0 W 3 D 4 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
HK Rangers FC
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/08 | Kitchee Hong Kong Premier League |
0-1 | 2-3 | 9 | 6 | L |
| 16/05 | Eastern District Hong Kong Premier League |
1-1 | 1-1 | 8 | 4 | D |
| 10/05 | Hong Kong FC Hong Kong Premier League |
0-1 | 1-2 | 5 | 5 | L |
| 03/05 | Kowloon City Hong Kong Premier League |
1-2 | 1-2 | 5 | 5 | L |
| 19/04 | Southern District Hong Kong Premier League |
1-0 | 3-1 | 5 | 3 | W |
| 12/04 | Kitchee Hong Kong Premier League |
0-1 | 0-2 | 1 | 4 | L |
| 04/04 | Eastern SC Hong Kong Premier League |
0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 4 | D |
| 22/03 | Tai Po Hong Kong Premier League |
0-2 | 0-2 | 9 | 0 | L |
| 14/03 | North District Hong Kong Premier League |
0-1 | 1-2 | 8 | 1 | L |
| 04/03 | Lee Man FC Hong Kong Premier League |
0-1 | 0-2 | 3 | 5 | L |
Eastern District
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/05 | HK Rangers FC Hong Kong Premier League |
1-1 | 1-1 | 3 | 4 | D |
| 09/05 | Southern District Hong Kong Premier League |
2-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 5 | D |
| 25/04 | Hong Kong FC Hong Kong Premier League |
0-0 | 1-2 | – | – | L |
| 19/04 | Kowloon City Hong Kong Premier League |
0-1 | 1-2 | 8 | 5 | L |
| 11/04 | Tai Po Hong Kong Premier League |
0-2 | 1-3 | 8 | 5 | L |
| 03/04 | Lee Man FC Hong Kong Premier League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | D |
| 14/03 | Eastern SC Hong Kong Premier League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 5 | L |
| 01/03 | North District Hong Kong Premier League |
1-1 | 2-2 | 6 | 2 | D |
| 31/01 | HK Rangers FC Hong Kong Premier League |
4-0 | 4-0 | 4 | 1 | W |
| 24/01 | North District Hong Kong Premier League |
0-0 | 0-2 | 3 | 3 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in HK Rangers FC vs Eastern District?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Eastern District win (39%). Probabilities: HK Rangers FC 34%, draw 26%, Eastern District 39%.
How many goals are expected in HK Rangers FC vs Eastern District?
The model expects 2.67 goals (HK Rangers FC 1.29 · Eastern District 1.39), with a 54% chance of under 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in HK Rangers FC vs Eastern District?
The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.