Prediction: Tai Po vs Eastern SC
Team pages: Tai Po · Eastern SC
- Eastern SC2-4Tai Po
- Eastern SC2-1Tai Po
- Tai Po3-1Eastern SC
- Tai Po1-1Eastern SC
- Eastern SC3-3Tai Po
- Tai Po1-3Eastern SC
| Tai Po | Draw | Eastern SC | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 44% | 24% | 32% |
| Market | 45% | 23% | 32% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Tai Po (rating 1593 vs 1489).
- Cards-heavy: 8.7 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Tai Po | Eastern SC | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2.2 / 1.1 | 2 / 1.6 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1.2 / 0.5 | 1.2 / 0.5 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 50/40/10% | 50/50/0% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.5 / 4.1 | 2 / 3.4 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.5 / 0.4 | 5.2 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Tai Po 2–2–2 Eastern SC
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 09/05/26 Hong Kong Premier League | Eastern SC | 2-4 HT 1-1 | Tai Po |
| 14/12/25 Hong Kong Premier League | Eastern SC | 2-1 HT 0-1 | Tai Po |
| 26/10/25 Hong Kong Premier League | Tai Po | 3-1 HT 1-1 | Eastern SC |
| 20/04/25 Hong Kong Cup | Tai Po | 1-1 HT 1-1 | Eastern SC |
| 13/04/25 Hong Kong Premier League | Eastern SC | 3-3 HT 1-2 | Tai Po |
| 16/03/25 Hong Kong Premier League | Tai Po | 1-3 HT 1-0 | Eastern SC |
Standings · Hong Kong Premier League
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| # | Team | P | W | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Lee Man FC | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3 |
| 2 | Shatin | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 3 |
| 3 | North District | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 |
| 4 | Kitchee | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 3 |
| 4 | Southern District | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 3 |
| 6 | Eastern District | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 7 | Hong Kong FC | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 0 |
| 7 | HK Rangers FC | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 0 |
| 9 | Eastern SC | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 | Tai Po | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 | Kowloon City | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Tai Po | Eastern SC |
|---|---|---|
| North District | 0-2 L | 3-1 W |
| Lee Man FC | 3-2 W | 1-0 W |
| Kitchee | 3-0 W | 4-4 D |
| Eastern District | 3-1 W | 1-0 W |
| HK Rangers FC | 2-0 W | 1-1 D |
| Hong Kong FC | 2-0 W | 5-0 W |
| Record vs common | 5 W 0 D 1 L | 4 W 2 D 0 L |
Better against common opponents: Tai Po (3 of 6 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Tai Po
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/08 | North District Hong Kong Premier League |
0-0 | 0-2 | 4 | 5 | L |
| 17/05 | Lee Man FC Hong Kong Premier League |
2-2 | 3-2 | 9 | 5 | W |
| 09/05 | Eastern SC Hong Kong Premier League |
1-1 | 4-2 | 2 | 3 | W |
| 02/05 | Kitchee Hong Kong Premier League |
2-0 | 3-0 | 2 | 2 | W |
| 18/04 | North District Hong Kong Premier League |
1-1 | 3-2 | 5 | 6 | W |
| 11/04 | Eastern District Hong Kong Premier League |
2-0 | 3-1 | 3 | 5 | W |
| 22/03 | HK Rangers FC Hong Kong Premier League |
2-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 0 | W |
| 15/03 | Southern District Hong Kong Premier League |
1-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 10 | W |
| 28/02 | Southern District Hong Kong Premier League |
0-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 01/02 | Hong Kong FC Hong Kong Premier League |
1-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 0 | W |
Eastern SC
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/08 | Shatin Hong Kong Premier League |
1-1 | 1-3 | – | – | L |
| 17/05 | Kitchee Hong Kong Premier League |
3-2 | 4-4 | 3 | 7 | D |
| 09/05 | Tai Po Hong Kong Premier League |
1-1 | 2-4 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 01/05 | North District Hong Kong Premier League |
1-1 | 3-1 | 10 | 7 | W |
| 26/04 | Lee Man FC Hong Kong Premier League |
1-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 9 | W |
| 11/04 | Hong Kong FC Hong Kong Premier League |
3-0 | 5-0 | 3 | 4 | W |
| 04/04 | HK Rangers FC Hong Kong Premier League |
0-0 | 1-1 | 7 | 4 | D |
| 21/03 | Kitchee Hong Kong Premier League |
1-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 5 | L |
| 14/03 | Eastern District Hong Kong Premier League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 1 | 5 | W |
| 28/02 | Lee Man FC Hong Kong Premier League |
1-0 | 1-1 | 0 | 4 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Tai Po vs Eastern SC?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Tai Po win (44%). Probabilities: Tai Po 44%, draw 24%, Eastern SC 32%.
How many goals are expected in Tai Po vs Eastern SC?
The model expects 3.38 goals (Tai Po 1.84 · Eastern SC 1.54), with a 52% chance of under 3.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Tai Po vs Eastern SC?
The model gives a 59% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.