Prediction: Kitchee vs Eastern District
Team pages: Kitchee · Eastern District
- Kitchee1-0Eastern District
- Eastern District0-1Kitchee
| Kitchee | Draw | Eastern District | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 66% | 21% | 13% |
| Market | 67% | 18% | 15% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Kitchee (rating 1536 vs 1475).
- H2H favours Kitchee: 2-0-0.
- High corners: 12.4 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 8 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Kitchee | Eastern District | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2.3 / 1.8 | 1.5 / 1.4 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1.2 / 1 | 0.9 / 0.5 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 50/10/40% | 30/50/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.8 / 8 | 1.8 / 4.4 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.4 / 0 | 3.6 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Kitchee 2–0–0 Eastern District
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 02/12/25 Hong Kong Premier League | Kitchee | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Eastern District |
| 14/09/25 Hong Kong Premier League | Eastern District | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Kitchee |
Standings · Hong Kong Premier League
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Lee Man FC | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 0 | 6 |
| 2 | Southern District | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 6 |
| 3 | North District | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4 |
| 4 | Kitchee | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 4 |
| 5 | Eastern District | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 3 |
| 6 | Tai Po | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 3 |
| 7 | Shatin | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 3 |
| 8 | Hong Kong FC | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 0 |
| 9 | HK Rangers FC | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 | Kowloon City | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 | Eastern SC | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 0 |
Common opponents 7 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Kitchee | Eastern District |
|---|---|---|
| North District | 0-0 D | 2-2 D |
| HK Rangers FC | 3-2 W | 3-1 W |
| Eastern SC | 4-4 D | 0-1 L |
| Tai Po | 0-3 L | 1-3 L |
| Lee Man FC | 1-4 L | 0-0 D |
| Kowloon City | 4-0 W | 1-2 L |
| Hong Kong FC | 5-2 W | 1-2 L |
| Record vs common | 3 W 2 D 2 L | 1 W 2 D 4 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Kitchee
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/08 | North District Hong Kong Premier League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | D |
| 22/08 | HK Rangers FC Hong Kong Premier League |
1-0 | 3-2 | 8 | 6 | W |
| 17/05 | Eastern SC Hong Kong Premier League |
2-3 | 4-4 | 6 | 7 | D |
| 02/05 | Tai Po Hong Kong Premier League |
0-2 | 0-3 | 10 | 2 | L |
| 25/04 | North District Hong Kong Premier League |
2-0 | 2-2 | – | – | D |
| 18/04 | Lee Man FC Hong Kong Premier League |
1-3 | 1-4 | 7 | 7 | L |
| 12/04 | HK Rangers FC Hong Kong Premier League |
1-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 21/03 | Eastern SC Hong Kong Premier League |
0-1 | 2-1 | 12 | 5 | W |
| 14/03 | Kowloon City Hong Kong Premier League |
2-0 | 4-0 | 12 | 4 | W |
| 01/03 | Hong Kong FC Hong Kong Premier League |
3-1 | 5-2 | 8 | 2 | W |
Eastern District
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/08 | HK Rangers FC Hong Kong Premier League |
1-0 | 3-1 | 3 | 5 | W |
| 16/05 | HK Rangers FC Hong Kong Premier League |
1-1 | 1-1 | 3 | 4 | D |
| 09/05 | Southern District Hong Kong Premier League |
2-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 5 | D |
| 25/04 | Hong Kong FC Hong Kong Premier League |
0-0 | 1-2 | – | – | L |
| 19/04 | Kowloon City Hong Kong Premier League |
0-1 | 1-2 | 8 | 5 | L |
| 11/04 | Tai Po Hong Kong Premier League |
0-2 | 1-3 | 8 | 5 | L |
| 03/04 | Lee Man FC Hong Kong Premier League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | D |
| 14/03 | Eastern SC Hong Kong Premier League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 5 | L |
| 01/03 | North District Hong Kong Premier League |
1-1 | 2-2 | 6 | 2 | D |
| 31/01 | HK Rangers FC Hong Kong Premier League |
4-0 | 4-0 | 4 | 1 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Kitchee vs Eastern District?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Kitchee win (66%). Probabilities: Kitchee 66%, draw 19%, Eastern District 14%.
How many goals are expected in Kitchee vs Eastern District?
The model expects 3.09 goals (Kitchee 2.19 · Eastern District 0.91), with a 54% chance of under 3.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Kitchee vs Eastern District?
The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 2-0.