Football · South Korea Cup · 19/08, 12:00

Prediction: Gimpo FC vs Gimcheon Sangmu FC

Team pages: Gimpo FC · Gimcheon Sangmu FC

Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.35Total
Gimpo FC1.04
Gimcheon Sangmu FC1.32
1X2
29% 28% 43%
Gimpo FC Draw Gimcheon Sangmu FC
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 55% Both teams to score 51%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Gimpo FC 3-5-2 (W-D-L)
DLLWDDWDWD
Gimcheon Sangmu FC 3-5-2 (W-D-L)
LDDLDWWWDD
Head-to-head
Gimpo FC 2–1 Gimcheon Sangmu FC (3 last)
  • Gimcheon Sangmu FC2-0Gimpo FC
  • Gimpo FC2-1Gimcheon Sangmu FC
  • Gimcheon Sangmu FC0-2Gimpo FC
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Gimpo FC 1519 · Gimcheon Sangmu FC 1519
Gimpo FCDrawGimcheon Sangmu FC
Our model28%30%42%
Market30%27%43%
Estimated total (ours) 2.35 goals · Bet365 line 2.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 51%model estimate

Match keys

  • H2H favours Gimpo FC: 2-0-1.
  • Cards-heavy: 5.6 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Gimpo FCGimcheon Sangmu FC
Goals for / against (FT)1.2 / 1.11 / 1
Goals for / against (HT)0.6 / 0.60.5 / 0.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)20/50/30%20/70/10%
Corners (HT / FT)2.3 / 5.31.6 / 3.7
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)3.2 / 0.12.4 / 0.4

Head-to-head (H2H) · Gimpo FC 201 Gimcheon Sangmu FC

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DateHomeScoreAway
29/10/23
South Korea K League 2
Gimcheon Sangmu FC2-0
HT 0-0
Gimpo FC
15/07/23
South Korea K League 2
Gimpo FC2-1
HT 1-1
Gimcheon Sangmu FC
30/04/23
South Korea K League 2
Gimcheon Sangmu FC0-2
HT 0-1
Gimpo FC

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Gimpo FC

DLLWDDWDWD

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
16/08 Cheonan City
South Korea K League 2
1-1 1-1 22 D
07/08 Chungbuk Cheongju
South Korea K League 2
2-0 3-0 42 W
02/08 Gyeongnam FC
South Korea K League 2
1-1 1-1 54 D
29/07 Incheon Utd
South Korea Cup
0-0 1-0 52 W
26/07 Yongin FC
South Korea K League 2
0-0 1-1 85 D
18/07 Daegu FC
South Korea K League 2
0-1 1-1 102 D
15/07 Namyangju FC
South Korea Cup
0-1 2-1 42 W
12/07 Busan I Park
South Korea K League 2
0-1 0-2 43 L
05/07 Chungnam Asan FC
South Korea K League 2
0-0 0-2 45 L
07/06 Jeonnam Dragons
South Korea K League 2
2-1 2-2 76 D

Gimcheon Sangmu FC

LDDLDWWWDD

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
16/08 Incheon Utd
South Korea K League 1
0-0 1-1 25 D
08/08 FC Seoul
South Korea K League 1
0-0 0-0 12 D
01/08 Pohang Steelers
South Korea K League 1
0-0 1-0 71 W
29/07 Suwon FC
South Korea Cup
1-0 2-1 21 W
25/07 Daejeon Hana Citizen
South Korea K League 1
2-1 3-2 33 W
22/07 Gwangju FC
South Korea K League 1
1-1 1-1 111 D
18/07 Gangwon FC
South Korea K League 1
0-2 0-2 36 L
11/07 Bucheon
South Korea K League 1
1-1 1-1 42 D
05/07 Jeju United
South Korea K League 1
0-0 1-1 34 D
17/05 Jeonbuk Motors
South Korea K League 1
0-0 0-1 13 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Gimpo FC vs Gimcheon Sangmu FC?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Gimcheon Sangmu FC win (43%). Probabilities: Gimpo FC 29%, draw 28%, Gimcheon Sangmu FC 43%.

How many goals are expected in Gimpo FC vs Gimcheon Sangmu FC?

The model expects 2.35 goals (Gimpo FC 1.04 · Gimcheon Sangmu FC 1.32), with a 55% chance of under 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Gimpo FC vs Gimcheon Sangmu FC?

The model gives a 51% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.