Prediction: Ulsan Citizen FC vs Gwangju FC
Team pages: Ulsan Citizen FC · Gwangju FC
| Ulsan Citizen FC | Draw | Gwangju FC | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 23% | 28% | 48% |
| Market | 25% | 25% | 50% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Ulsan Citizen FC (rating 1517 vs 1446).
- Cards-heavy: 5.1 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Ulsan Citizen FC | Gwangju FC | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.4 / 1 | 0.6 / 1.6 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.8 / 0.3 | 0.3 / 0.6 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 60/30/10% | 10/60/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.7 / 3.1 | 2 / 4.3 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.8 / 0.1 | 2.3 / 0.1 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Ulsan Citizen FC
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/08 | Busan Trans Corp South Korea K3/K4 Championship |
0-0 | 0-1 | 1 | 0 | L |
| 29/07 | Ulsan HD South Korea Cup |
1-0 | 1-0 | 1 | 2 | W |
| 26/07 | Chuncheon FC South Korea K3 League |
0-1 | 1-2 | 5 | 7 | L |
| 15/07 | Seoul E-Land FC South Korea Cup |
2-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 4 | D |
| 10/07 | Yeoju South Korea K3 League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 2 | W |
| 04/07 | Chuncheon FC South Korea Cup |
1-0 | 2-1 | 1 | 2 | W |
| 27/06 | Mokpo City South Korea K3 League |
1-0 | 4-1 | 6 | 1 | W |
| 20/06 | Dangjin Citizen FC South Korea K3 League |
1-1 | 1-1 | 4 | 5 | D |
| 13/06 | Siheung City AC South Korea K3/K4 Championship |
1-0 | 1-0 | 1 | 4 | W |
| 06/06 | Gangneung City South Korea K3 League |
1-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 2 | L |
Gwangju FC
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/08 | Pohang Steelers South Korea K League 1 |
0-1 | 1-2 | 9 | 2 | L |
| 08/08 | Bucheon South Korea K League 1 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 3 | D |
| 02/08 | Daejeon Hana Citizen South Korea K League 1 |
0-0 | 0-2 | 2 | 2 | L |
| 29/07 | Cheonan City South Korea Cup |
1-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 5 | W |
| 26/07 | Jeju United South Korea K League 1 |
1-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 2 | L |
| 22/07 | Gimcheon Sangmu FC South Korea K League 1 |
1-1 | 1-1 | 1 | 1 | D |
| 19/07 | FC Anyang South Korea K League 1 |
0-0 | 1-1 | 7 | 3 | D |
| 11/07 | Pohang Steelers South Korea K League 1 |
0-1 | 0-3 | 7 | 3 | L |
| 05/07 | Ulsan HD South Korea K League 1 |
0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 1 | D |
| 16/05 | Incheon Utd South Korea K League 1 |
0-2 | 0-4 | 1 | 2 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Ulsan Citizen FC vs Gwangju FC?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Gwangju FC win (49%). Probabilities: Ulsan Citizen FC 24%, draw 26%, Gwangju FC 49%.
How many goals are expected in Ulsan Citizen FC vs Gwangju FC?
The model expects 2.51 goals (Ulsan Citizen FC 0.99 · Gwangju FC 1.52), with a 53% chance of under 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Ulsan Citizen FC vs Gwangju FC?
The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.