Football · South Korea Cup · 19/08, 12:30

Prediction: Gangwon FC vs Seongnam FC

Team pages: Gangwon FC · Seongnam FC

Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.4Total
Gangwon FC1.64
Seongnam FC0.76
1X2
59% 24% 18%
Gangwon FC Draw Seongnam FC
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 57% Not both to score 51%
Most likely score
1-0
Recent form · 10 last
Gangwon FC 5-3-2 (W-D-L)
WWWDWDLLDW
Seongnam FC 3-3-4 (W-D-L)
DDLLDWWLWL
Head-to-head
Gangwon FC 5–1 Seongnam FC (6 last)
  • Seongnam FC0-4Gangwon FC
  • Seongnam FC0-2Gangwon FC
  • Gangwon FC2-0Seongnam FC
  • Gangwon FC2-1Seongnam FC
  • Seongnam FC2-0Gangwon FC
  • Seongnam FC1-2Gangwon FC
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Gangwon FC 1546 · Seongnam FC 1492
Gangwon FCDrawSeongnam FC
Our model57%27%16%
Market60%21%19%
Estimated total (ours) 2.4 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · -0.4

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 50%model estimate

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Gangwon FC (rating 1546 vs 1492).
  • H2H favours Gangwon FC: 5-0-1.
  • Cards-heavy: 6.1 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Gangwon FCSeongnam FC
Goals for / against (FT)1.3 / 0.91 / 1.2
Goals for / against (HT)0.8 / 0.50.6 / 0.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)40/40/20%40/40/20%
Corners (HT / FT)3.2 / 61.6 / 4.4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)3.5 / 0.22.6 / 0.2

Head-to-head (H2H) · Gangwon FC 501 Seongnam FC

Swipe the table sideways →

DateHomeScoreAway
10/09/22
South Korea K League 1
Seongnam FC0-4
HT 0-1
Gangwon FC
02/07/22
South Korea K League 1
Seongnam FC0-2
HT 0-0
Gangwon FC
20/02/22
South Korea K League 1
Gangwon FC2-0
HT 0-0
Seongnam FC
04/12/21
South Korea K League 1
Gangwon FC2-1
HT 1-0
Seongnam FC
26/09/21
South Korea K League 1
Seongnam FC2-0
HT 1-0
Gangwon FC
26/06/21
South Korea K League 1
Seongnam FC1-2
HT 0-0
Gangwon FC

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Gangwon FC

WWWDWDLLDW

Swipe the table sideways →

Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
16/08 Ulsan HD
South Korea K League 1
2-1 3-2 73 W
11/08 Gamba Osaka
AFC Champions League Qualification
0-0 0-0 46 D
01/08 Bucheon
South Korea K League 1
0-1 0-3 66 L
26/07 FC Anyang
South Korea K League 1
0-2 1-2 102 L
21/07 Jeju United
South Korea K League 1
1-1 1-1 23 D
18/07 Gimcheon Sangmu FC
South Korea K League 1
2-0 2-0 126 W
12/07 FC Seoul
South Korea K League 1
0-0 0-0 33 D
04/07 Jeonbuk Motors
South Korea K League 1
1-0 2-1 71 W
17/05 Ulsan HD
South Korea K League 1
2-0 2-0 36 W
12/05 Daejeon Hana Citizen
South Korea K League 1
0-0 2-0 61 W

Seongnam FC

DDLLDWWLWL

Swipe the table sideways →

Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
16/08 Paju Frontier FC
South Korea K League 2
1-0 1-2 51 L
08/08 Cheonan City
South Korea K League 2
2-1 3-2 32 W
01/08 Chungnam Asan FC
South Korea K League 2
0-0 0-2 21 L
29/07 Gimhae FC 2008
South Korea Cup
1-0 1-0 31 W
18/07 Busan I Park
South Korea K League 2
1-0 1-0 34 W
15/07 Pocheon Citizen FC
South Korea Cup
0-1 1-1 93 D
11/07 Daegu FC
South Korea K League 2
1-1 2-3 23 L
04/07 Suwon Bluewings
South Korea K League 2
0-1 0-1 64 L
05/06 Gimhae FC 2008
South Korea K League 2
0-0 1-1 54 D
30/05 Suwon FC
South Korea K League 2
0-0 0-0 65 D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Gangwon FC vs Seongnam FC?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Gangwon FC win (59%). Probabilities: Gangwon FC 59%, draw 24%, Seongnam FC 18%.

How many goals are expected in Gangwon FC vs Seongnam FC?

The model expects 2.4 goals (Gangwon FC 1.64 · Seongnam FC 0.76), with a 57% chance of under 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Gangwon FC vs Seongnam FC?

The model gives a 51% chance that not both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-0.