Football · South Korea Cup · 19/08, 12:00

Prediction: Jeonbuk Motors vs Dangjin Citizen FC

Team pages: Jeonbuk Motors · Dangjin Citizen FC

Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.53Total
Jeonbuk Motors1.97
Dangjin Citizen FC0.56
1X2
71% 19% 10%
Jeonbuk Motors Draw Dangjin Citizen FC
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 54% Not both to score 53%
Most likely score
2-0
Recent form · 10 last
Jeonbuk Motors 3-3-4 (W-D-L)
DWLWLDWDLL
Dangjin Citizen FC 6-3-1 (W-D-L)
WLDWDDWWWW
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Jeonbuk Motors 1504 · Dangjin Citizen FC 1564
Jeonbuk MotorsDrawDangjin Citizen FC
Our model70%21%9%
Market72%17%11%
Estimated total (ours) 2.53 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · -0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 54%model estimate

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Dangjin Citizen FC (rating 1504 vs 1564).
  • High corners: 11.3 combined avg.
  • Cards-heavy: 6.4 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Jeonbuk MotorsDangjin Citizen FC
Goals for / against (FT)1 / 12.2 / 0.8
Goals for / against (HT)0.2 / 0.51 / 0.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)20/40/40%50/50/0%
Corners (HT / FT)2.7 / 5.42.5 / 5.9
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)3.3 / 0.13.1 / 0.3

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Jeonbuk Motors

DWLWLDWDLL

Swipe the table sideways →

Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
16/08 Bucheon
South Korea K League 1
0-2 2-3 105 L
08/08 Jeju SK
South Korea K League 1
0-1 1-3 113 L
01/08 FC Seoul
South Korea K League 1
0-0 0-0 44 D
25/07 Pohang Steelers
South Korea K League 1
1-0 2-0 12 W
21/07 Daejeon Hana Citizen
South Korea K League 1
0-0 0-0 52 D
18/07 Incheon Utd
South Korea K League 1
0-1 0-1 41 L
11/07 Ulsan HD
South Korea K League 1
1-0 3-1 55 W
04/07 Gangwon FC
South Korea K League 1
0-1 1-2 11 L
17/05 Gimcheon Sangmu FC
South Korea K League 1
0-0 1-0 63 W
13/05 Bucheon
South Korea K League 1
0-0 0-0 78 D

Dangjin Citizen FC

WLDWDDWWWW

Swipe the table sideways →

Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
29/07 Yeoju
South Korea Cup
0-0 1-0 63 W
25/07 Mokpo City
South Korea K3 League
2-1 6-1 34 W
18/07 Jeonbuk Motors II
South Korea K3 League
1-0 2-0 83 W
15/07 Yongin FC
South Korea Cup
1-0 2-0 43 W
11/07 Pocheon Citizen FC
South Korea K3 League
1-0 1-1 72 D
04/07 Haman
South Korea Cup
0-0 0-0 156 D
28/06 Gangneung City
South Korea K3 League
3-1 5-2 21 W
20/06 Ulsan Citizen FC
South Korea K3 League
1-1 1-1 65 D
06/06 Changwon City
South Korea K3 League
0-0 1-2 21 L
30/05 Yangpyeong FC
South Korea K3 League
1-1 3-1 66 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Jeonbuk Motors vs Dangjin Citizen FC?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Jeonbuk Motors win (71%). Probabilities: Jeonbuk Motors 71%, draw 19%, Dangjin Citizen FC 10%.

How many goals are expected in Jeonbuk Motors vs Dangjin Citizen FC?

The model expects 2.53 goals (Jeonbuk Motors 1.97 · Dangjin Citizen FC 0.56), with a 54% chance of under 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Jeonbuk Motors vs Dangjin Citizen FC?

The model gives a 53% chance that not both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-0.