Prediction: Busan I Park vs Bucheon
Team pages: Busan I Park · Bucheon
- Busan I Park1-2Bucheon
- Busan I Park4-2Bucheon
- Bucheon0-2Busan I Park
- Busan I Park3-1Bucheon
- Busan I Park2-2Bucheon
- Bucheon1-3Busan I Park
| Busan I Park | Draw | Bucheon | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 33% | 28% | 39% |
| Market | 33% | 28% | 39% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Bucheon (rating 1478 vs 1539).
- H2H favours Busan I Park: 4-1-1.
- Cards-heavy: 7.7 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Busan I Park | Bucheon | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.5 / 1.4 | 1.8 / 1.2 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.6 / 0.6 | 0.6 / 0.3 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/50/20% | 30/60/10% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.5 / 3.8 | 1.8 / 3.8 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.3 / 0 | 4.4 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Busan I Park 4–1–1 Bucheon
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12/10/25 South Korea K League 2 | Busan I Park | 1-2 HT 0-0 | Bucheon |
| 26/07/25 South Korea K League 2 | Busan I Park | 4-2 HT 1-0 | Bucheon |
| 08/03/25 South Korea K League 2 | Bucheon | 0-2 HT 0-2 | Busan I Park |
| 09/11/24 South Korea K League 2 | Busan I Park | 3-1 HT 1-0 | Bucheon |
| 06/07/24 South Korea K League 2 | Busan I Park | 2-2 HT 1-1 | Bucheon |
| 20/04/24 South Korea K League 2 | Bucheon | 1-3 HT 1-1 | Busan I Park |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Busan I Park
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/08 | Hwaseong FC South Korea K League 2 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | D |
| 07/08 | Yongin FC South Korea K League 2 |
0-0 | 0-2 | 5 | 2 | L |
| 02/08 | Seoul E-Land FC South Korea K League 2 |
0-0 | 1-2 | 6 | 4 | L |
| 29/07 | FC Seoul South Korea Cup |
1-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 25/07 | Suwon Bluewings South Korea K League 2 |
1-1 | 1-4 | 6 | 5 | L |
| 18/07 | Seongnam FC South Korea K League 2 |
0-1 | 0-1 | 5 | 4 | L |
| 15/07 | Geoje Citizen FC South Korea Cup |
1-0 | 4-0 | 0 | 1 | W |
| 12/07 | Gimpo FC South Korea K League 2 |
1-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 3 | W |
| 05/07 | Jeonnam Dragons South Korea K League 2 |
0-2 | 3-3 | 1 | 4 | D |
| 05/06 | Chungnam Asan FC South Korea K League 2 |
2-2 | 2-2 | 3 | 4 | D |
Bucheon
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/08 | Jeonbuk Motors South Korea K League 1 |
2-0 | 3-2 | 5 | 5 | W |
| 08/08 | Gwangju FC South Korea K League 1 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | D |
| 01/08 | Gangwon FC South Korea K League 1 |
1-0 | 3-0 | 5 | 6 | W |
| 29/07 | Paju Frontier FC South Korea Cup |
0-0 | 3-0 | 3 | 4 | W |
| 26/07 | Incheon Utd South Korea K League 1 |
1-0 | 1-1 | 7 | 6 | D |
| 22/07 | FC Anyang South Korea K League 1 |
1-1 | 2-3 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 19/07 | FC Seoul South Korea K League 1 |
0-1 | 1-3 | 5 | 7 | L |
| 11/07 | Gimcheon Sangmu FC South Korea K League 1 |
1-1 | 1-1 | 4 | 2 | D |
| 04/07 | Daejeon Hana Citizen South Korea K League 1 |
0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 5 | D |
| 17/05 | Pohang Steelers South Korea K League 1 |
0-0 | 2-0 | 2 | 3 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Busan I Park vs Bucheon?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Bucheon win (39%). Probabilities: Busan I Park 33%, draw 28%, Bucheon 39%.
How many goals are expected in Busan I Park vs Bucheon?
The model expects 2.78 goals (Busan I Park 1.33 · Bucheon 1.45), with a 56% chance of over 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Busan I Park vs Bucheon?
The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.