Football · South Korea Cup · 19/08, 12:00

Prediction: Pohang Steelers vs Jinju Citizen FC

Team pages: Pohang Steelers · Jinju Citizen FC

Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.99Total
Pohang Steelers2.17
Jinju Citizen FC0.82
1X2
68% 19% 13%
Pohang Steelers Draw Jinju Citizen FC
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 57% Both teams to score 52%
Most likely score
2-0
Recent form · 10 last
Pohang Steelers 4-0-6 (W-D-L)
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Jinju Citizen FC 6-2-2 (W-D-L)
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Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Pohang Steelers 1477 · Jinju Citizen FC 1555
Pohang SteelersDrawJinju Citizen FC
Our model67%21%12%
Market69%17%14%
Estimated total (ours) 2.99 goals · Bet365 line 3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 59%model estimate

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Jinju Citizen FC (rating 1477 vs 1555).
  • High corners: 10.9 combined avg.
  • Cards-heavy: 5.9 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Pohang SteelersJinju Citizen FC
Goals for / against (FT)1.1 / 1.51.9 / 1.3
Goals for / against (HT)0.5 / 0.30.7 / 0.7
Half-time result (W/D/L)40/40/20%40/20/40%
Corners (HT / FT)1.8 / 3.63.3 / 7.3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)2.4 / 0.33.5 / 0.1

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Pohang Steelers

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
15/08 Gwangju FC
South Korea K League 1
1-0 2-1 12 W
08/08 Ulsan HD
South Korea K League 1
0-0 0-2 12 L
01/08 Gimcheon Sangmu FC
South Korea K League 1
0-0 0-1 31 L
25/07 Jeonbuk Motors
South Korea K League 1
0-1 0-2 72 L
22/07 FC Seoul
South Korea K League 1
0-1 1-3 31 L
18/07 Jeju United
South Korea K League 1
1-0 1-2 74 L
11/07 Gwangju FC
South Korea K League 1
1-0 3-0 23 W
04/07 FC Anyang
South Korea K League 1
1-1 3-2 25 W
17/05 Bucheon
South Korea K League 1
0-0 0-2 63 L
12/05 Incheon Utd
South Korea K League 1
1-0 1-0 44 W

Jinju Citizen FC

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
29/07 Busan Trans Corp
South Korea Cup
0-1 1-1 92 D
26/07 Pyeongtaek Citizen FC
South Korea K4 League
2-0 2-0 56 W
15/07 Ansan Greeners FC
South Korea Cup
1-0 2-0 54 W
04/07 Sejong SA
South Korea Cup
0-1 1-1 156 D
27/06 Seosan Pioneer
South Korea K4 League
0-0 1-0 102 W
21/06 Seoul Jungnang FC
South Korea K4 League
0-0 2-1 82 W
06/06 Jecheon Citizen
South Korea K4 League
1-0 2-0 54 W
31/05 Haman
South Korea K4 League
2-0 4-1 67 W
27/05 Gyeongju HNP
South Korea K3/K4 Championship
0-2 2-3 51 L
23/05 Jincheon HR
South Korea K4 League
1-3 2-6 52 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Pohang Steelers vs Jinju Citizen FC?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Pohang Steelers win (68%). Probabilities: Pohang Steelers 68%, draw 19%, Jinju Citizen FC 13%.

How many goals are expected in Pohang Steelers vs Jinju Citizen FC?

The model expects 2.99 goals (Pohang Steelers 2.17 · Jinju Citizen FC 0.82), with a 51% chance of under 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Pohang Steelers vs Jinju Citizen FC?

The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-0.