Prediction: Pohang Steelers vs Jinju Citizen FC
Team pages: Pohang Steelers · Jinju Citizen FC
| Pohang Steelers | Draw | Jinju Citizen FC | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 67% | 21% | 12% |
| Market | 69% | 17% | 14% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Jinju Citizen FC (rating 1477 vs 1555).
- High corners: 10.9 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 5.9 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Pohang Steelers | Jinju Citizen FC | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.1 / 1.5 | 1.9 / 1.3 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.5 / 0.3 | 0.7 / 0.7 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/40/20% | 40/20/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.8 / 3.6 | 3.3 / 7.3 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.4 / 0.3 | 3.5 / 0.1 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Pohang Steelers
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/08 | Gwangju FC South Korea K League 1 |
1-0 | 2-1 | 1 | 2 | W |
| 08/08 | Ulsan HD South Korea K League 1 |
0-0 | 0-2 | 1 | 2 | L |
| 01/08 | Gimcheon Sangmu FC South Korea K League 1 |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 1 | L |
| 25/07 | Jeonbuk Motors South Korea K League 1 |
0-1 | 0-2 | 7 | 2 | L |
| 22/07 | FC Seoul South Korea K League 1 |
0-1 | 1-3 | 3 | 1 | L |
| 18/07 | Jeju United South Korea K League 1 |
1-0 | 1-2 | 7 | 4 | L |
| 11/07 | Gwangju FC South Korea K League 1 |
1-0 | 3-0 | 2 | 3 | W |
| 04/07 | FC Anyang South Korea K League 1 |
1-1 | 3-2 | 2 | 5 | W |
| 17/05 | Bucheon South Korea K League 1 |
0-0 | 0-2 | 6 | 3 | L |
| 12/05 | Incheon Utd South Korea K League 1 |
1-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 4 | W |
Jinju Citizen FC
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/07 | Busan Trans Corp South Korea Cup |
0-1 | 1-1 | 9 | 2 | D |
| 26/07 | Pyeongtaek Citizen FC South Korea K4 League |
2-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 6 | W |
| 15/07 | Ansan Greeners FC South Korea Cup |
1-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 04/07 | Sejong SA South Korea Cup |
0-1 | 1-1 | 15 | 6 | D |
| 27/06 | Seosan Pioneer South Korea K4 League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 10 | 2 | W |
| 21/06 | Seoul Jungnang FC South Korea K4 League |
0-0 | 2-1 | 8 | 2 | W |
| 06/06 | Jecheon Citizen South Korea K4 League |
1-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 31/05 | Haman South Korea K4 League |
2-0 | 4-1 | 6 | 7 | W |
| 27/05 | Gyeongju HNP South Korea K3/K4 Championship |
0-2 | 2-3 | 5 | 1 | L |
| 23/05 | Jincheon HR South Korea K4 League |
1-3 | 2-6 | 5 | 2 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Pohang Steelers vs Jinju Citizen FC?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Pohang Steelers win (68%). Probabilities: Pohang Steelers 68%, draw 19%, Jinju Citizen FC 13%.
How many goals are expected in Pohang Steelers vs Jinju Citizen FC?
The model expects 2.99 goals (Pohang Steelers 2.17 · Jinju Citizen FC 0.82), with a 51% chance of under 3 goals.
Will both teams score in Pohang Steelers vs Jinju Citizen FC?
The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 2-0.

