Football · Italy Serie C Group A · 24/10, 14:30

Prediction: Treviso vs AC Dolomiti Bellunesi

Team pages: Treviso · AC Dolomiti Bellunesi

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2Total

Treviso1.35

AC Dolomiti Bellunesi0.65

1X2

54% 28% 18%

Treviso Draw AC Dolomiti Bellunesi

Markets

Over 1.5 goals 61% Not both to score 54%

Most likely score

1-0 17%

Recent form · 10 last

Treviso 4-4-2 (W-D-L)

LWDWDDWDLW

AC Dolomiti Bellunesi 2-4-4 (W-D-L)

WDWDDLDLLL

Head-to-head

Treviso 1–2–3 AC Dolomiti Bellunesi (6 last)

AC Dolomiti Bellunesi1-0Treviso
AC Dolomiti Bellunesi1-1Treviso
Treviso2-1AC Dolomiti Bellunesi
Treviso0-0AC Dolomiti Bellunesi
AC Dolomiti Bellunesi3-0Treviso
Treviso0-3AC Dolomiti Bellunesi

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Treviso 1517 · AC Dolomiti Bellunesi 1471

	Treviso	Draw	AC Dolomiti Bellunesi
Our model	52%	31%	17%
Market	55%	26%	19%

Estimated total (ours) 2 goals · Bet365 line 2.25 · -0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 71%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Treviso (rating 1517 vs 1471).
H2H favours AC Dolomiti Bellunesi: 3-2-1.
Cards-heavy: 8 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Treviso	AC Dolomiti Bellunesi
Goals for / against (FT)	1 / 0.7	0.7 / 1.2
Goals for / against (HT)	0.4 / 0.2	0.2 / 0.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/60/10%	10/70/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.6 / 5.9	1 / 1.4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	5.2 / 0.3	2.8 / 0.3

Odds Bet365

11.65

X3.40

24.75

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.75)1.90

2 (+0.75)1.90

Line ⓘ

Over 2.251.93

Under 2.251.88

Diff.: 0.45 · xG: 1.8

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 16:17

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.65 → 1.65	Bet365 1.65
X	3.40 → 3.40	Bet365 3.40
2	4.75 → 4.75	Bet365 4.75

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.1%

Time*	1	X	2
15:15 +61’	1.65	3.40	4.75

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Treviso 1–2–3 AC Dolomiti Bellunesi

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Date	Home	Score	Away
16/08/26 Italy Serie C Cup	AC Dolomiti Bellunesi	1-0 HT 1-0	Treviso
17/04/25 Italy Serie D	AC Dolomiti Bellunesi	1-1	Treviso
08/12/24 Italy Serie D	Treviso	2-1	AC Dolomiti Bellunesi
01/09/24 Italy Serie D Cup	Treviso	0-0 HT 0-0	AC Dolomiti Bellunesi
30/03/24 Italy Serie D	AC Dolomiti Bellunesi	3-0 HT 1-0	Treviso
19/11/23 Italy Serie D	Treviso	0-3 HT 0-2	AC Dolomiti Bellunesi

Standings · Italy Serie C Group A

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Cittadella	10	9	0	1	17	4	27
2	Trento	10	5	5	0	15	5	20
3	Union Brescia	10	5	4	1	17	8	19
4	A.C. Ospitaletto	10	5	3	2	17	9	18
5	ASD Union Arzignanochiampo	10	5	2	3	14	11	17
6	Treviso	10	4	4	2	10	7	16
7	Alcione Milano	10	3	6	1	17	15	15
8	US Pergolettese	10	3	5	2	8	8	14
9	Lecco	10	3	4	3	12	9	13
10	Albinoleffe	10	3	4	3	16	15	13
11	Desenzano	10	3	4	3	9	11	13
12	Lumezzane	10	3	3	4	11	14	12
13	Novara	10	2	4	4	10	14	10
14	AC Dolomiti Bellunesi	10	2	4	4	7	12	10
15	Juventus U23	10	2	4	4	10	16	10
16	Pro Vercelli	10	2	3	5	8	18	9
17	AC Carpi	10	2	3	5	14	20	9
18	Giana Erminio	10	1	5	4	10	13	8
19	US Folgore Caratese	10	1	3	6	9	15	6
20	Renate	10	0	4	6	9	16	4

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Treviso	AC Dolomiti Bellunesi
US Folgore Caratese	2-0 W	2-1 W
Giana Erminio	0-0 D	2-1 W
Renate	1-0 W	0-0 D
Desenzano	0-0 D	0-2 L
Union Brescia	2-2 D	1-1 D
Alcione Milano	1-1 D	0-0 D
Trento	1-2 L	0-3 L
Record vs common	2 W 4 D 1 L	2 W 3 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Treviso (4 of 7 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Treviso

LWDWDDWDLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
17/10	US Folgore Caratese Italy Serie C Group A	1-0	2-0	2	4	W
11/10	A.C. Ospitaletto Italy Serie C Group A	0-1	0-1	11	7	L
04/10	Giana Erminio Italy Serie C Group A	0-0	0-0	11	4	D
27/09	Renate Italy Serie C Group A	0-0	1-0	5	7	W
21/09	Desenzano Italy Serie C Group A	0-0	0-0	9	6	D
17/09	Union Brescia Italy Serie C Group A	1-0	2-2	4	2	D
13/09	Pro Vercelli Italy Serie C Group A	1-0	2-1	5	7	W
07/09	Alcione Milano Italy Serie C Group A	0-0	1-1	3	6	D
31/08	Lecco Italy Serie C Group A	0-0	1-0	6	6	W
23/08	Trento Italy Serie C Group A	1-1	1-2	3	6	L

AC Dolomiti Bellunesi

WDWDDLDLLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
19/10	Trento Italy Serie C Group A	0-2	0-3	0	4	L
10/10	Desenzano Italy Serie C Group A	0-1	0-2	0	4	L
04/10	Novara Italy Serie C Group A	1-0	1-2	1	3	L
27/09	Union Brescia Italy Serie C Group A	0-0	1-1	2	2	D
21/09	Lumezzane Italy Serie C Group A	1-1	1-2	2	3	L
17/09	Renate Italy Serie C Group A	0-0	0-0	1	0	D
13/09	Albinoleffe Italy Serie C Group A	0-0	0-0	2	1	D
06/09	Giana Erminio Italy Serie C Group A	0-0	2-1	1	4	W
30/08	Alcione Milano Italy Serie C Group A	0-0	0-0	1	4	D
24/08	US Folgore Caratese Italy Serie C Group A	0-0	2-1	4	6	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Treviso vs AC Dolomiti Bellunesi?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Treviso win (54%). Probabilities: Treviso 54%, draw 28%, AC Dolomiti Bellunesi 18%.

How many goals are expected in Treviso vs AC Dolomiti Bellunesi?

The model expects 2 goals (Treviso 1.35 · AC Dolomiti Bellunesi 0.65), with a 55% chance of under 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Treviso vs AC Dolomiti Bellunesi?

The model gives a 54% chance that not both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-0.