Football · Italy Serie C Group A · 22/08, 21:00
Prediction: Giana Erminio vs Albinoleffe
Team pages: Giana Erminio · Albinoleffe
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.21Total
Giana Erminio1.12
Albinoleffe1.09
1X2
Giana Erminio
Draw
Albinoleffe
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 62%
Both teams to score 50%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Giana Erminio
5-2-3 (W-D-L)
Albinoleffe
5-1-4 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Giana Erminio
2–3–1
Albinoleffe
(6 last)
- Albinoleffe0-1Giana Erminio
- Giana Erminio1-1Albinoleffe
- Albinoleffe0-3Giana Erminio
- Giana Erminio0-2Albinoleffe
- Albinoleffe0-0Giana Erminio
- Giana Erminio0-0Albinoleffe
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Giana Erminio 1508 · Albinoleffe 1532
| Giana Erminio | Draw | Albinoleffe | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 35% | 32% | 33% |
| Market | 35% | 31% | 33% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.21 goals · Bet365 line 2 · +0.2
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 66%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours Giana Erminio: 2-3-1.
- Cards-heavy: 6.1 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Giana Erminio | Albinoleffe | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.3 / 1 | 1.3 / 0.9 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.5 / 0.4 | 0.3 / 0.3 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/50/20% | 20/60/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.8 / 3.5 | 2.3 / 5.1 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.7 / 0.1 | 3.4 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Giana Erminio 2–3–1 Albinoleffe
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 14/03/26 Italy Serie C Group A | Albinoleffe | 0-1 HT 0-1 | Giana Erminio |
| 09/11/25 Italy Serie C Group A | Giana Erminio | 1-1 HT 0-0 | Albinoleffe |
| 26/01/25 Italy Serie C Group A | Albinoleffe | 0-3 HT 0-2 | Giana Erminio |
| 20/09/24 Italy Serie C Group A | Giana Erminio | 0-2 HT 0-2 | Albinoleffe |
| 01/03/24 Italy Serie C Group A | Albinoleffe | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Giana Erminio |
| 24/10/23 Italy Serie C Group A | Giana Erminio | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Albinoleffe |
Standings · Italy Serie C Group A
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| # | Team | P | W | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Alcione Milano | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 3 |
| 1 | Union Brescia | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 3 |
| 3 | Trento | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | A.C. Ospitaletto | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Cittadella | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Giana Erminio | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Desenzano | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Lecco | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | AC Dolomiti Bellunesi | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | ASD Union Arzignanochiampo | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Lumezzane | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Juventus U23 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Novara | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Pro Vercelli | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Treviso | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Albinoleffe | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | US Folgore Caratese | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | US Pergolettese | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 | AC Carpi | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 | Renate | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Giana Erminio | Albinoleffe |
|---|---|---|
| Inter Milan U23 | 2-0 W | 1-0 W |
| Triestina | 0-2 L | 3-0 W |
| A.C. Ospitaletto | 2-3 L | 0-3 L |
| US Pergolettese | 2-0 W | 3-0 W |
| Vicenza | 1-3 L | 0-1 L |
| Alcione Milano | 1-1 D | 1-2 L |
| Record vs common | 2 W 1 D 3 L | 3 W 0 D 3 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Giana Erminio
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/04 | Cittadella Italy Serie C Group A |
0-0 | 2-0 | 2 | 2 | W |
| 19/04 | Inter Milan U23 Italy Serie C Group A |
1-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 6 | W |
| 11/04 | Triestina Italy Serie C Group A |
0-1 | 0-2 | 6 | 4 | L |
| 06/04 | AC Dolomiti Bellunesi Italy Serie C Group A |
1-1 | 1-1 | 9 | 2 | D |
| 28/03 | A.C. Ospitaletto Italy Serie C Group A |
1-1 | 2-3 | 2 | 1 | L |
| 21/03 | US Pergolettese Italy Serie C Group A |
1-0 | 2-0 | 0 | 4 | W |
| 14/03 | Albinoleffe Italy Serie C Group A |
1-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 2 | W |
| 07/03 | Vicenza Italy Serie C Group A |
0-1 | 1-3 | 0 | 0 | L |
| 03/03 | Alcione Milano Italy Serie C Group A |
0-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 3 | D |
| 27/02 | Pro Vercelli Italy Serie C Group A |
0-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 4 | W |
Albinoleffe
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/04 | Alcione Milano Italy Serie C Group A |
0-1 | 1-2 | 6 | 9 | L |
| 19/04 | Triestina Italy Serie C Group A |
0-0 | 3-0 | 8 | 3 | W |
| 12/04 | A.C. Ospitaletto Italy Serie C Group A |
0-0 | 0-3 | 10 | 2 | L |
| 06/04 | US Pergolettese Italy Serie C Group A |
1-0 | 3-0 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 28/03 | Lumezzane Italy Serie C Group A |
0-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 4 | D |
| 20/03 | Virtus Verona Italy Serie C Group A |
2-1 | 3-1 | 2 | 3 | W |
| 14/03 | Giana Erminio Italy Serie C Group A |
0-1 | 0-1 | 3 | 2 | L |
| 07/03 | Inter Milan U23 Italy Serie C Group A |
0-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 03/03 | Union Brescia Italy Serie C Group A |
0-0 | 1-0 | 7 | 3 | W |
| 28/02 | Vicenza Italy Serie C Group A |
0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 2 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Giana Erminio vs Albinoleffe?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Giana Erminio win (35%). Probabilities: Giana Erminio 35%, draw 32%, Albinoleffe 33%.
How many goals are expected in Giana Erminio vs Albinoleffe?
The model expects 2.21 goals (Giana Erminio 1.12 · Albinoleffe 1.09), with a 52% chance of over 2 goals.
Will both teams score in Giana Erminio vs Albinoleffe?
The model gives a 50% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.