Prediction: Cittadella vs US Pergolettese
Team pages: Cittadella · US Pergolettese
- Cittadella3-3US Pergolettese
- US Pergolettese3-1Cittadella
| Cittadella | Draw | US Pergolettese | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 58% | 27% | 15% |
| Market | 58% | 26% | 16% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Cards-heavy: 5.5 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Cittadella | US Pergolettese | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.1 / 1.2 | 0.9 / 1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.7 / 0.5 | 0.5 / 0.5 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/30/30% | 40/20/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.8 / 4.6 | 1.8 / 3.7 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.3 / 0.1 | 3.2 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Cittadella 0–1–1 US Pergolettese
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 17/01/26 Italy Serie C Group A | Cittadella | 3-3 HT 0-1 | US Pergolettese |
| 06/09/25 Italy Serie C Group A | US Pergolettese | 3-1 HT 2-1 | Cittadella |
Standings · Italy Serie C Group A
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| # | Team | P | W | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Alcione Milano | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 3 |
| 1 | Union Brescia | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 3 |
| 3 | Trento | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | A.C. Ospitaletto | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Cittadella | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Giana Erminio | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Desenzano | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Lecco | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | AC Dolomiti Bellunesi | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | ASD Union Arzignanochiampo | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Lumezzane | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Juventus U23 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Novara | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Pro Vercelli | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Treviso | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Albinoleffe | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | US Folgore Caratese | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | US Pergolettese | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 | AC Carpi | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 | Renate | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 |
Common opponents 2 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Cittadella | US Pergolettese |
|---|---|---|
| ASD Union Arzignanochiampo | 2-2 D | 0-1 L |
| Giana Erminio | 0-2 L | 0-2 L |
| Record vs common | 0 W 1 D 1 L | 0 W 0 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: Cittadella (1 of 2 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Cittadella
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/08 | Atalanta U23 Italy Serie C Cup |
1-2 | 2-2 | 8 | 2 | D |
| 08/08 | Luparense FC Europe Friendlies |
0-0 | 1-0 | 10 | 0 | W |
| 01/08 | Padova Europe Friendlies |
0-2 | 0-2 | 3 | 1 | L |
| 29/07 | Cremonese Europe Friendlies |
0-1 | 1-1 | 2 | 0 | D |
| 25/07 | Torino Europe Friendlies |
0-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 0 | W |
| 13/05 | Ravenna Italy Serie C Play-Offs |
1-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 9 | D |
| 10/05 | Ravenna Italy Serie C Play-Offs |
2-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 5 | D |
| 06/05 | Lumezzane Italy Serie C Play-Offs |
1-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 2 | W |
| 03/05 | ASD Union Arzignanochiampo Italy Serie C Play-Offs |
2-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 3 | D |
| 25/04 | Giana Erminio Italy Serie C Group A |
0-0 | 0-2 | 4 | 2 | L |
US Pergolettese
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/08 | Pro Vercelli Italy Serie C Cup |
1-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 1 | D |
| 09/08 | Inter Milan U23 Europe Friendlies |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | D |
| 06/08 | Club Milano Europe Friendlies |
1-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 0 | W |
| 25/04 | Lecco Italy Serie C Group A |
2-0 | 3-0 | 3 | 2 | W |
| 19/04 | Vicenza Italy Serie C Group A |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 6 | D |
| 11/04 | Virtus Verona Italy Serie C Group A |
0-2 | 2-2 | 2 | 3 | D |
| 06/04 | Albinoleffe Italy Serie C Group A |
0-1 | 0-3 | 6 | 4 | L |
| 28/03 | Pro Patria Italy Serie C Group A |
1-0 | 2-1 | 4 | 6 | W |
| 21/03 | Giana Erminio Italy Serie C Group A |
0-1 | 0-2 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 14/03 | ASD Union Arzignanochiampo Italy Serie C Group A |
0-1 | 0-1 | 5 | 7 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Cittadella vs US Pergolettese?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Cittadella win (58%). Probabilities: Cittadella 58%, draw 27%, US Pergolettese 15%.
How many goals are expected in Cittadella vs US Pergolettese?
The model expects 2.32 goals (Cittadella 1.6 · US Pergolettese 0.71), with a 51% chance of under 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Cittadella vs US Pergolettese?
The model gives a 51% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-0.