Football · Venezuela Primera Division · 03/08, 00:30

Prediction: Metropolitanos FC vs Academia Puerto Cabello

Prediction summary

Expected goals

1.86Total

Metropolitanos FC0.96

Academia Puerto Cabello0.91

1X2

35% 33% 32%

Metropolitanos FC Draw Academia Puerto Cabello

Markets

Over 1.5 goals 57% Not both to score 53%

Most likely score

0-0

Recent form · 10 last

Metropolitanos FC 4-3-3 (W-D-L)

LDWWDWDLWL

Academia Puerto Cabello 4-2-4 (W-D-L)

DWLWLDWLWL

Head-to-head

Metropolitanos FC 1–4–1 Academia Puerto Cabello (6 last)

Academia Puerto Cabello1-1Metropolitanos FC
Academia Puerto Cabello2-2Metropolitanos FC
Academia Puerto Cabello1-1Metropolitanos FC
Metropolitanos FC1-1Academia Puerto Cabello
Academia Puerto Cabello3-0Metropolitanos FC
Metropolitanos FC2-1Academia Puerto Cabello

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Metropolitanos FC 1525 · Academia Puerto Cabello 1516

	Metropolitanos FC	Draw	Academia Puerto Cabello
Our model	34%	35%	31%
Market	36%	31%	33%

Estimated total (ours) 1.86 goals · Bet365 line 2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 73%model estimate

Match keys

Cards-heavy: 12.2 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Metropolitanos FC	Academia Puerto Cabello
Goals for / against (FT)	0.8 / 0.8	1.3 / 1.1
Goals for / against (HT)	0.3 / 0.1	0.6 / 0.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/60/10%	30/60/10%
Corners (HT / FT)	2 / 3.8	2.3 / 4.1
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	6.4 / 0.3	5.8 / 0

Odds Bet365

12.50

X2.90

22.70

Handicap ⓘ

1 (0)1.85

2 (0)1.95

Line ⓘ

Over 21.77

Under 22.02

Diff.: 0 · xG: 2

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 16:39

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.50 → 2.50	Pinn 2.62 ★
X	2.90 → 2.90	Bet365 2.90
2	2.70 → 2.70	Pinn 2.80

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.5% Pinnacle margin 9.1%

Time*	1	X	2
16:33 +7’	2.50	2.90	2.70

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
19:27 +1’	2.59	2.89	2.78
21:23	2.62▲	2.84▼	2.80▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Metropolitanos FC 1–4–1 Academia Puerto Cabello

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Home	Score	Away
31/01/26 Venezuela Primera Division	Academia Puerto Cabello	1-1 HT 1-0	Metropolitanos FC
04/07/25 Venezuela Primera Division	Academia Puerto Cabello	2-2 HT 1-0	Metropolitanos FC
23/05/25 Venezuela Primera Division	Academia Puerto Cabello	1-1 HT 0-0	Metropolitanos FC
18/05/25 Venezuela Primera Division	Metropolitanos FC	1-1 HT 1-1	Academia Puerto Cabello
05/03/25 Copa Sudamericana	Academia Puerto Cabello	3-0 HT 0-0	Metropolitanos FC
24/01/25 Venezuela Primera Division	Metropolitanos FC	2-1 HT 1-1	Academia Puerto Cabello

Standings · Venezuela Primera Division · Primera Division 2026, Clausura

Swipe the table sideways →

#	Team	P	W	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Portuguesa	1	1	0	1	0	3
2	Academia Anzoategui FC	0	0	0	0	0	0
2	Academia Puerto Cabello	0	0	0	0	0	0
2	Caracas	0	0	0	0	0	0
2	Deportivo La Guaira	0	0	0	0	0	0
2	Deportivo Rayo Zuliano	0	0	0	0	0	0
2	Deportivo Tachira	0	0	0	0	0	0
2	Estudiantes Merida	0	0	0	0	0	0
2	Metropolitanos FC	0	0	0	0	0	0
2	Monagas	0	0	0	0	0	0
2	Trujillanos	0	0	0	0	0	0
2	UCV	0	0	0	0	0	0
2	Zamora	0	0	0	0	0	0
14	Carabobo	1	0	1	0	1	0

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

League

Metropolitanos FC

LDWWDWDLWL

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
31/05	Carabobo Venezuela Primera Division	0-0	1-5	3	10	L
24/05	Estudiantes Merida Venezuela Primera Division	1-0	1-0	4	9	W
18/05	Deportivo Tachira Venezuela Primera Division	0-1	0-1	3	2	L
13/05	Deportivo Tachira Venezuela Primera Division	0-0	1-1	4	5	D
09/05	Estudiantes Merida Venezuela Primera Division	0-0	2-0	3	5	W
04/05	Carabobo Venezuela Primera Division	0-0	0-0	4	9	D
27/04	Estudiantes Merida Venezuela Primera Division	1-0	2-0	4	8	W
18/04	Deportivo Rayo Zuliano Venezuela Primera Division	1-0	1-0	2	6	W
12/04	Zamora Venezuela Primera Division	0-0	0-0	3	7	D
04/04	Caracas Venezuela Primera Division	0-0	0-1	8	6	L

Academia Puerto Cabello

DWLWLDWLWL

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
08/06	Carabobo Venezuela Primera Division	0-1	1-2	5	7	L
31/05	Deportivo La Guaira Venezuela Primera Division	1-0	2-0	6	8	W
28/05	Atletico Mineiro Copa Sudamericana	0-0	0-1	1	6	L
24/05	UCV Venezuela Primera Division	0-0	2-1	7	5	W
22/05	Juventud De Las Piedras Copa Sudamericana	1-1	1-1	3	1	D
17/05	Portuguesa Venezuela Primera Division	0-0	0-1	4	6	L
14/05	Portuguesa Venezuela Primera Division	2-1	2-1	2	7	W
10/05	UCV Venezuela Primera Division	1-1	1-3	5	7	L
06/05	Cienciano Copa Sudamericana	1-0	3-0	4	4	W
03/05	Deportivo La Guaira Venezuela Primera Division	0-0	1-1	4	7	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Metropolitanos FC vs Academia Puerto Cabello?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Metropolitanos FC win (35%). Probabilities: Metropolitanos FC 35%, draw 33%, Academia Puerto Cabello 32%.

How many goals are expected in Metropolitanos FC vs Academia Puerto Cabello?

The model expects 1.86 goals (Metropolitanos FC 0.96 · Academia Puerto Cabello 0.91), with a 53% chance of under 2 goals.

Will both teams score in Metropolitanos FC vs Academia Puerto Cabello?

The model gives a 53% chance that not both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 0-0.