Prediction: Gazalkent vs FK Orol Nukus

Team pages: Gazalkent · FK Orol Nukus

Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.07Total
Gazalkent1.3
FK Orol Nukus1.77
1X2
27% 26% 47%
Gazalkent Draw FK Orol Nukus
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 63% Both teams to score 56%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Gazalkent 6-1-3 (W-D-L)
LWLWWLWDWW
FK Orol Nukus 6-2-2 (W-D-L)
DWDWLLWWWW
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Gazalkent 1545 · FK Orol Nukus 1560
GazalkentDrawFK Orol Nukus
Our model27%25%47%
Market27%26%47%
Estimated total (ours) 3.07 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · +0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 59%model estimate

Match keys

  • Cards-heavy: 8.7 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

GazalkentFK Orol Nukus
Goals for / against (FT)1.5 / 1.52.3 / 1
Goals for / against (HT)0.3 / 0.71.3 / 0.3
Half-time result (W/D/L)20/40/40%67/17/17%
Corners (HT / FT)2.4 / 4.13.3 / 5.8
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)4.9 / 0.33.8 / 0.2

Standings · Uzbekistan 1st Division

Swipe the table sideways →

#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 FK Orol Nukus 11920 27829
2 Shurtan 12822 181226
3 Kattaqorgon 12732 15724
4 FC Lochin 11632 20921
5 Gazalkent 11533 171418
6 Olympic Mobiuz 12534 251418
7 Metallurg Bekabad 11533 251118
8 Fardu Ferghana 11443 152016
9 FC Yaypan Fergana 11416 142213
10 Respublika FA 12336 141412
11 Jayxun 11326 91711
12 BuxDu 11317 92110
13 Pakhtakor Tashkent II 121110 7294
14 PFC Terdu 121110 8254

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentGazalkentFK Orol Nukus
Metallurg Bekabad 3-2 W 1-2 L
Shurtan 2-0 W 3-1 W
Jayxun 0-0 D 4-1 W
Pakhtakor Tashkent II 2-1 W 3-0 W
FC Lochin 1-0 W 2-2 D
PFC Terdu 1-2 L 1-0 W
FC Yaypan Fergana 2-1 W 5-1 W
Record vs common 5 W 1 D 1 L 5 W 1 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: FK Orol Nukus (4 of 7 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Gazalkent

LWLWWLWDWW

Swipe the table sideways →

Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
23/07 Metallurg Bekabad
Uzbekistan 1st Division
0-2 3-2 86 W
10/06 Shurtan
Uzbekistan 1st Division
0-0 2-0 03 W
03/06 Jayxun
Uzbekistan 1st Division
0-0 0-0 64 D
30/05 Pakhtakor Tashkent II
Uzbekistan 1st Division
1-0 2-1 55 W
20/05 Lokomotiv Tashkent
Uzbekistan Cup
0-2 1-5 37 L
15/05 FC Lochin
Uzbekistan Cup
0-0 1-0 16 W
10/05 Dinamo Samarqand
Uzbekistan Cup
1-0 3-2 23 W
06/05 PFC Terdu
Uzbekistan 1st Division
0-1 1-2 44 L
30/04 FC Yaypan Fergana
Uzbekistan 1st Division
1-1 2-1 108 W
26/04 FC Lochin
Uzbekistan 1st Division
0-1 0-2 26 L

FK Orol Nukus

DWDWLLWWWW

Swipe the table sideways →

Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
24/07 Shurtan
Uzbekistan 1st Division
1-0 3-1 38 W
08/06 Jayxun
Uzbekistan 1st Division
3-0 4-1 121 W
03/06 Pakhtakor Tashkent II
Uzbekistan 1st Division
3-0 W
29/05 PFC Terdu
Uzbekistan 1st Division
1-0 W
20/05 AGMK
Uzbekistan Cup
0-2 1-2 55 L
16/05 Metallurg Bekabad
Uzbekistan Cup
0-0 1-2 23 L
06/05 FC Yaypan Fergana
Uzbekistan 1st Division
3-0 5-1 72 W
01/05 FC Lochin
Uzbekistan 1st Division
2-2 D
26/04 Fardu Ferghana
Uzbekistan 1st Division
2-0 W
21/04 Kattaqorgon
Uzbekistan 1st Division
1-0 1-1 65 D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Gazalkent vs FK Orol Nukus?

According to our model, the most likely result is an FK Orol Nukus win (47%). Probabilities: Gazalkent 27%, draw 26%, FK Orol Nukus 47%.

How many goals are expected in Gazalkent vs FK Orol Nukus?

The model expects 3.07 goals (Gazalkent 1.3 · FK Orol Nukus 1.77), with a 51% chance of over 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Gazalkent vs FK Orol Nukus?

The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.