Prediction: Leon (W) vs Atlante (W)
Team pages: Leon (W)
| Leon (W) | Draw | Atlante (W) | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 66% | 22% | 12% |
| Market | 67% | 20% | 13% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Leon (W) (rating 1478 vs 1437).
- Cards-heavy: 7.9 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Leon (W) | Atlante (W) | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.6 / 1.9 | 0.6 / 1.3 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.8 / 0.8 | 0.1 / 0.4 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/50/20% | 10/50/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.8 / 5.9 | 1.5 / 3.4 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.3 / 0.2 | 3.6 / 0.1 |
Standings · Mexico Liga MX Femenil · Group A
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Monterrey (W) | 10 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 39 | 13 | 27 |
| 2 | Tigres UANL (W) | 10 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 32 | 10 | 25 |
| 3 | Toluca (W) | 10 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 25 | 16 | 22 |
| 4 | Juarez FC (W) | 10 | 7 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 7 | 21 |
| 5 | Santos Laguna (W) | 10 | 5 | 0 | 5 | 13 | 20 | 15 |
| 6 | Cruz Azul (W) | 10 | 5 | 0 | 5 | 13 | 21 | 15 |
| 7 | Leon (W) | 9 | 4 | 0 | 5 | 15 | 17 | 12 |
| 8 | Atlante (W) | 10 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 6 | 13 | 7 |
| 9 | Queretaro (W) | 10 | 2 | 0 | 8 | 10 | 22 | 6 |
Common opponents 5 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Leon (W) | Atlante (W) |
|---|---|---|
| Juarez FC (W) | 0-2 L | 0-1 L |
| Toluca (W) | 0-1 L | 1-2 L |
| Monterrey (W) | 3-2 W | 1-3 L |
| Queretaro (W) | 0-1 L | 2-1 W |
| Unam Pumas (W) | 5-2 W | 0-0 D |
| Record vs common | 2 W 0 D 3 L | 1 W 1 D 3 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Leon (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/09 | Club America (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
0-2 | 0-5 | 7 | 6 | L |
| 22/09 | Juarez FC (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
0-0 | 0-2 | 4 | 5 | L |
| 15/09 | Pachuca (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
0-0 | 1-0 | 9 | 5 | W |
| 08/09 | Puebla (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
3-1 | 5-2 | 9 | 3 | W |
| 29/08 | Toluca (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
0-0 | 0-1 | 6 | 6 | L |
| 22/08 | Monterrey (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
1-1 | 3-2 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 18/08 | Queretaro (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 5 | L |
| 11/08 | Tigres UANL (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
1-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 5 | L |
| 02/08 | Unam Pumas (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
3-2 | 5-2 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 25/04 | Atletico San Luis (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
0-2 | 1-2 | 6 | 4 | L |
Atlante (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/10 | Tijuana (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
0-1 | 0-1 | 2 | 3 | L |
| 28/09 | Unam Pumas (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | D |
| 21/09 | Queretaro (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
1-0 | 2-1 | 4 | 8 | W |
| 12/09 | Atlas (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
0-0 | 0-1 | 6 | 6 | L |
| 08/09 | Juarez FC (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
0-0 | 0-1 | 0 | 1 | L |
| 01/09 | Santos Laguna (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
0-1 | 0-1 | 2 | 5 | L |
| 24/08 | Toluca (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 1 | L |
| 15/08 | Cruz Azul (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
0-1 | 1-3 | 8 | 4 | L |
| 09/08 | Monterrey (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
0-1 | 1-3 | – | – | L |
| 03/08 | Necaxa (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
0-0 | 1-0 | – | – | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Leon (W) vs Atlante (W)?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Leon (W) win (67%). Probabilities: Leon (W) 67%, draw 21%, Atlante (W) 12%.
How many goals are expected in Leon (W) vs Atlante (W)?
The model expects 2.84 goals (Leon (W) 2.07 · Atlante (W) 0.77), with a 53% chance of under 3 goals.
Will both teams score in Leon (W) vs Atlante (W)?
The model gives a 51% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 2-0.