Football · Mexico Liga MX Femenil · 27/10, 00:00
Prediction: Atlas (W) vs Puebla (W)
Team pages: Atlas (W) · Puebla (W)
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.45Total
Atlas (W)2.34
Puebla (W)1.11
1X2
Atlas (W)
Draw
Puebla (W)
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 55%
Both teams to score 56%
Most likely score
2-1 10%
Recent form · 10 last
Atlas (W)
3-3-4 (W-D-L)
Puebla (W)
1-1-8 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Atlas (W)
4–1–1
Puebla (W)
(6 last)
- Puebla (W)2-1Atlas (W)
- Atlas (W)2-0Puebla (W)
- Puebla (W)0-3Atlas (W)
- Atlas (W)3-0Puebla (W)
- Puebla (W)0-0Atlas (W)
- Atlas (W)2-1Puebla (W)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Atlas (W) 1476 · Puebla (W) 1412
| Atlas (W) | Draw | Puebla (W) | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 64% | 20% | 16% |
| Market | 64% | 21% | 16% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.45 goals · Bet365 line 3.25 · +0.2
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 69%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Atlas (W) (rating 1476 vs 1412).
- H2H favours Atlas (W): 4-1-1.
- Cards-heavy: 7.5 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Atlas (W) | Puebla (W) | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1 / 1.8 | 1.4 / 3.2 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.4 / 1.2 | 0.6 / 1.5 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/40/40% | 10/30/60% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.2 / 2.8 | 1.1 / 3 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.6 / 0.1 | 3.9 / 0.4 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Atlas (W) 4–1–1 Puebla (W)
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10/02/26 Mexico Liga MX Femenil | Puebla (W) | 2-1 HT 0-0 | Atlas (W) |
| 25/07/25 Mexico Liga MX Femenil | Atlas (W) | 2-0 HT 0-0 | Puebla (W) |
| 26/01/25 Mexico Liga MX Femenil | Puebla (W) | 0-3 HT 0-1 | Atlas (W) |
| 18/10/24 Mexico Liga MX Femenil | Atlas (W) | 3-0 HT 1-0 | Puebla (W) |
| 14/03/24 Mexico Liga MX Femenil | Puebla (W) | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Atlas (W) |
| 03/10/23 Mexico Liga MX Femenil | Atlas (W) | 2-1 HT 1-0 | Puebla (W) |
Standings · Mexico Liga MX Femenil · Group B
Swipe the table sideways →
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Club America (W) | 12 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 54 | 12 | 31 |
| 2 | Chivas Guadalajara (W) | 11 | 8 | 0 | 3 | 28 | 11 | 24 |
| 3 | Atletico San Luis (W) | 12 | 6 | 1 | 5 | 24 | 25 | 19 |
| 4 | Unam Pumas (W) | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 20 | 18 | 17 |
| 5 | Pachuca (W) | 12 | 4 | 1 | 7 | 20 | 17 | 13 |
| 6 | Atlas (W) | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 11 | 19 | 13 |
| 7 | Tijuana (W) | 12 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 15 | 26 | 11 |
| 8 | Puebla (W) | 11 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 14 | 40 | 4 |
| 9 | Necaxa (W) | 12 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 3 | 50 | 0 |
Common opponents 7 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Atlas (W) | Puebla (W) |
|---|---|---|
| Leon (W) | 1-1 D | 2-5 L |
| Unam Pumas (W) | 0-1 L | 0-2 L |
| Queretaro (W) | 1-0 W | 2-6 L |
| Club America (W) | 2-2 D | 1-5 L |
| Chivas Guadalajara (W) | 0-4 L | 1-4 L |
| Atletico San Luis (W) | 1-6 L | 2-5 L |
| Tijuana (W) | 2-0 W | 1-1 D |
| Record vs common | 2 W 2 D 3 L | 0 W 1 D 6 L |
Better against common opponents: Atlas (W) (5 of 7 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Atlas (W)
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/10 | Leon (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
0-1 | 1-1 | 6 | 2 | D |
| 18/10 | Unam Pumas (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
0-1 | 0-1 | 4 | 7 | L |
| 26/09 | Queretaro (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
0-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 20/09 | Club America (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
1-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 2 | D |
| 12/09 | Atlante (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
0-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 6 | W |
| 05/09 | Chivas Guadalajara (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
0-2 | 0-4 | 3 | 2 | L |
| 31/08 | Atletico San Luis (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
0-6 | 1-6 | 3 | 5 | L |
| 25/08 | Tijuana (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
1-0 | 2-0 | 1 | 3 | W |
| 18/08 | Toluca (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
1-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 3 | D |
| 01/08 | Cruz Azul (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
1-1 | 1-3 | 2 | 3 | L |
Puebla (W)
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/10 | Tijuana (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
0-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 9 | D |
| 03/10 | Santos Laguna (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
0-0 | 0-1 | 1 | 4 | L |
| 27/09 | Monterrey (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 4 | L |
| 20/09 | Unam Pumas (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
0-1 | 0-2 | 2 | 2 | L |
| 13/09 | Queretaro (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
0-3 | 2-6 | 4 | 4 | L |
| 08/09 | Leon (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
1-3 | 2-5 | 6 | 3 | L |
| 30/08 | Necaxa (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
4-0 | 4-1 | 6 | 6 | W |
| 23/08 | Atletico San Luis (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
0-3 | 2-5 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 15/08 | Club America (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
1-3 | 1-5 | 0 | 6 | L |
| 09/08 | Chivas Guadalajara (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
0-2 | 1-4 | 2 | 2 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Atlas (W) vs Puebla (W)?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Atlas (W) win (64%). Probabilities: Atlas (W) 64%, draw 20%, Puebla (W) 16%.
How many goals are expected in Atlas (W) vs Puebla (W)?
The model expects 3.45 goals (Atlas (W) 2.34 · Puebla (W) 1.11), with a 51% chance of over 3.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Atlas (W) vs Puebla (W)?
The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 2-1.