Prediction: Atlante (W) vs Chivas Guadalajara (W)
Team pages: Atlante (W) · Chivas Guadalajara (W)
| Atlante (W) | Draw | Chivas Guadalajara (W) | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 14% | 22% | 64% |
| Market | 15% | 20% | 65% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Chivas Guadalajara (W) (rating 1420 vs 1547).
- Cards-heavy: 7.1 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Atlante (W) | Chivas Guadalajara (W) | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.5 / 1.5 | 2.5 / 1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.1 / 0.4 | 1.2 / 0.6 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 10/50/40% | 70/10/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.4 / 3.4 | 2.5 / 5.4 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.4 / 0.1 | 3.7 / 0.2 |
Standings · Mexico Liga MX Femenil · Group B
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Club America (W) | 12 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 54 | 12 | 31 |
| 2 | Chivas Guadalajara (W) | 11 | 8 | 0 | 3 | 28 | 11 | 24 |
| 3 | Atletico San Luis (W) | 12 | 6 | 1 | 5 | 24 | 25 | 19 |
| 4 | Unam Pumas (W) | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 20 | 18 | 17 |
| 5 | Pachuca (W) | 12 | 4 | 1 | 7 | 20 | 17 | 13 |
| 6 | Atlas (W) | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 11 | 19 | 13 |
| 7 | Tijuana (W) | 12 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 15 | 26 | 11 |
| 8 | Puebla (W) | 11 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 14 | 40 | 4 |
| 9 | Necaxa (W) | 12 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 3 | 50 | 0 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Atlante (W) | Chivas Guadalajara (W) |
|---|---|---|
| Tijuana (W) | 0-1 L | 2-0 W |
| Unam Pumas (W) | 0-0 D | 0-2 L |
| Atlas (W) | 0-1 L | 4-0 W |
| Juarez FC (W) | 0-1 L | 1-0 W |
| Cruz Azul (W) | 1-3 L | 1-0 W |
| Monterrey (W) | 1-3 L | 2-3 L |
| Record vs common | 0 W 1 D 5 L | 4 W 0 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: Chivas Guadalajara (W) (5 of 6 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Atlante (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/10 | Leon (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
0-0 | 0-2 | 4 | 2 | L |
| 04/10 | Tijuana (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
0-1 | 0-1 | 2 | 3 | L |
| 28/09 | Unam Pumas (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | D |
| 21/09 | Queretaro (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
1-0 | 2-1 | 4 | 8 | W |
| 12/09 | Atlas (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
0-0 | 0-1 | 6 | 6 | L |
| 08/09 | Juarez FC (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
0-0 | 0-1 | 0 | 1 | L |
| 01/09 | Santos Laguna (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
0-1 | 0-1 | 2 | 5 | L |
| 24/08 | Toluca (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 1 | L |
| 15/08 | Cruz Azul (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
0-1 | 1-3 | 8 | 4 | L |
| 09/08 | Monterrey (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
0-1 | 1-3 | – | – | L |
Chivas Guadalajara (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/10 | Necaxa (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
3-0 | 7-0 | 11 | 2 | W |
| 05/10 | Juarez FC (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
0-0 | 1-0 | 0 | 7 | W |
| 26/09 | Cruz Azul (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
1-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 2 | W |
| 20/09 | Tijuana (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
1-0 | 2-0 | 8 | 6 | W |
| 13/09 | Monterrey (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
0-3 | 2-3 | 7 | 6 | L |
| 05/09 | Atlas (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
2-0 | 4-0 | 1 | 2 | W |
| 31/08 | Unam Pumas (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
0-2 | 0-2 | 8 | 5 | L |
| 24/08 | Pachuca (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
1-0 | 1-3 | 3 | 5 | L |
| 17/08 | Atletico San Luis (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
2-1 | 3-1 | 10 | 2 | W |
| 09/08 | Puebla (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
2-0 | 4-1 | 2 | 2 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Atlante (W) vs Chivas Guadalajara (W)?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Chivas Guadalajara (W) win (65%). Probabilities: Atlante (W) 14%, draw 21%, Chivas Guadalajara (W) 65%.
How many goals are expected in Atlante (W) vs Chivas Guadalajara (W)?
The model expects 2.86 goals (Atlante (W) 0.84 · Chivas Guadalajara (W) 2.03), with a 50% chance of over 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Atlante (W) vs Chivas Guadalajara (W)?
The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 0-2.