Football · Mexico Liga MX Femenil · 26/10, 01:06
Prediction: Tigres UANL (W) vs Monterrey (W)
Team pages: Tigres UANL (W) · Monterrey (W)
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.6Total
Tigres UANL (W)1.99
Monterrey (W)1.61
1X2
Tigres UANL (W)
Draw
Monterrey (W)
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 51%
Both teams to score 60%
Most likely score
1-1 10%
Recent form · 10 last
Tigres UANL (W)
8-1-1 (W-D-L)
Monterrey (W)
9-0-1 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Tigres UANL (W)
3–2–1
Monterrey (W)
(6 last)
- Monterrey (W)0-3Tigres UANL (W)
- Tigres UANL (W)4-0Monterrey (W)
- Monterrey (W)1-1Tigres UANL (W)
- Tigres UANL (W)1-1Monterrey (W)
- Monterrey (W)1-5Tigres UANL (W)
- Monterrey (W)3-2Tigres UANL (W)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Tigres UANL (W) 1607 · Monterrey (W) 1588
| Tigres UANL (W) | Draw | Monterrey (W) | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 46% | 23% | 31% |
| Market | 45% | 25% | 30% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.6 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · +0.9
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 69%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours Tigres UANL (W): 3-2-1.
- High corners: 10.7 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 6.8 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Tigres UANL (W) | Monterrey (W) | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2.6 / 1 | 3.8 / 1.2 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1 / 0.6 | 1.7 / 0.4 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 50/20/30% | 70/20/10% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3.3 / 6.4 | 2.4 / 4.3 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.8 / 0.4 | 3 / 0.3 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Tigres UANL (W) 3–2–1 Monterrey (W)
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 25/04/26 Mexico Liga MX Femenil | Monterrey (W) | 0-3 HT 0-0 | Tigres UANL (W) |
| 08/09/25 Mexico Liga MX Femenil | Tigres UANL (W) | 4-0 HT 4-0 | Monterrey (W) |
| 29/04/25 Mexico Liga MX Femenil | Monterrey (W) | 1-1 HT 0-1 | Tigres UANL (W) |
| 26/04/25 Mexico Liga MX Femenil | Tigres UANL (W) | 1-1 HT 1-0 | Monterrey (W) |
| 15/02/25 Mexico Liga MX Femenil | Monterrey (W) | 1-5 HT 1-2 | Tigres UANL (W) |
| 26/11/24 Mexico Liga MX Femenil | Monterrey (W) | 3-2 HT 0-2 | Tigres UANL (W) |
Standings · Mexico Liga MX Femenil · Group A
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Monterrey (W) | 11 | 10 | 0 | 1 | 40 | 13 | 30 |
| 2 | Tigres UANL (W) | 11 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 34 | 10 | 28 |
| 3 | Juarez FC (W) | 11 | 8 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 8 | 24 |
| 4 | Toluca (W) | 11 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 25 | 16 | 23 |
| 5 | Santos Laguna (W) | 11 | 5 | 1 | 5 | 13 | 20 | 16 |
| 6 | Leon (W) | 10 | 5 | 0 | 5 | 17 | 17 | 15 |
| 7 | Cruz Azul (W) | 11 | 5 | 0 | 6 | 13 | 22 | 15 |
| 8 | Atlante (W) | 11 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 6 | 15 | 7 |
| 9 | Queretaro (W) | 11 | 2 | 0 | 9 | 10 | 24 | 6 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Tigres UANL (W) | Monterrey (W) |
|---|---|---|
| Queretaro (W) | 2-0 W | 4-0 W |
| Toluca (W) | 7-2 W | 5-1 W |
| Club America (W) | 2-5 L | 4-3 W |
| Santos Laguna (W) | 3-0 W | 4-1 W |
| Cruz Azul (W) | 3-0 W | 1-0 W |
| Leon (W) | 2-1 W | 2-3 L |
| Record vs common | 5 W 0 D 1 L | 5 W 0 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: Tigres UANL (W) (3 of 6 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Tigres UANL (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/10 | Queretaro (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
1-0 | 2-0 | 6 | 5 | W |
| 03/10 | Unam Pumas (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
2-0 | 3-1 | 7 | 5 | W |
| 28/09 | Atletico San Luis (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
0-1 | 1-1 | 8 | 6 | D |
| 22/09 | Toluca (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
5-1 | 7-2 | 7 | 5 | W |
| 14/09 | Club America (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
0-3 | 2-5 | 4 | 5 | L |
| 07/09 | Santos Laguna (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
1-0 | 3-0 | 6 | 1 | W |
| 30/08 | Pachuca (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
1-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 5 | W |
| 23/08 | Cruz Azul (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
0-0 | 3-0 | 6 | 3 | W |
| 16/08 | Juarez FC (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
0-0 | 1-0 | 8 | 2 | W |
| 11/08 | Leon (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
0-1 | 2-1 | 7 | 5 | W |
Monterrey (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/10 | Cruz Azul (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
1-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 1 | W |
| 03/10 | Club America (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
1-3 | 4-3 | 1 | 3 | W |
| 27/09 | Puebla (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
0-0 | 2-1 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 19/09 | Necaxa (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
2-0 | 10-0 | 6 | 2 | W |
| 13/09 | Chivas Guadalajara (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
3-0 | 3-2 | 4 | 6 | W |
| 06/09 | Toluca (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
3-0 | 5-1 | 3 | 4 | W |
| 30/08 | Queretaro (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
2-0 | 4-0 | 3 | 4 | W |
| 22/08 | Leon (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
1-1 | 2-3 | 6 | 3 | L |
| 18/08 | Santos Laguna (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
3-0 | 4-1 | 7 | 3 | W |
| 09/08 | Atlante (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
1-0 | 3-1 | – | – | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Tigres UANL (W) vs Monterrey (W)?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Tigres UANL (W) win (45%). Probabilities: Tigres UANL (W) 45%, draw 24%, Monterrey (W) 30%.
How many goals are expected in Tigres UANL (W) vs Monterrey (W)?
The model expects 3.6 goals (Tigres UANL (W) 1.99 · Monterrey (W) 1.61), with a 59% chance of over 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Tigres UANL (W) vs Monterrey (W)?
The model gives a 60% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.