Football · Mexico Liga MX Femenil · 25/10, 03:06
Prediction: Juarez FC (W) vs Queretaro (W)
Team pages: Juarez FC (W) · Queretaro (W)
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.04Total
Juarez FC (W)2.4
Queretaro (W)0.65
1X2
Juarez FC (W)
Draw
Queretaro (W)
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 64%
Not both to score 51%
Most likely score
2-0 14%
Recent form · 10 last
Juarez FC (W)
7-0-3 (W-D-L)
Queretaro (W)
2-0-8 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Juarez FC (W)
3–2–1
Queretaro (W)
(6 last)
- Queretaro (W)2-1Juarez FC (W)
- Juarez FC (W)4-0Queretaro (W)
- Juarez FC (W)1-0Queretaro (W)
- Queretaro (W)0-2Juarez FC (W)
- Queretaro (W)1-1Juarez FC (W)
- Juarez FC (W)2-2Queretaro (W)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Juarez FC (W) 1562 · Queretaro (W) 1424
| Juarez FC (W) | Draw | Queretaro (W) | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 76% | 17% | 7% |
| Market | 77% | 13% | 9% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.04 goals · Bet365 line 3.25 · -0.2
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 61%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Juarez FC (W) (rating 1562 vs 1424).
- H2H favours Juarez FC (W): 3-2-1.
- Cards-heavy: 8.3 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Juarez FC (W) | Queretaro (W) | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.5 / 0.8 | 0.9 / 2.1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.7 / 0.1 | 0.4 / 1.1 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/70/0% | 10/40/50% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.5 / 4.9 | 1.6 / 4.3 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.9 / 0.1 | 4.4 / 0.4 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Juarez FC (W) 3–2–1 Queretaro (W)
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30/03/26 Mexico Liga MX Femenil | Queretaro (W) | 2-1 HT 0-0 | Juarez FC (W) |
| 01/11/25 Mexico Liga MX Femenil | Juarez FC (W) | 4-0 HT 2-0 | Queretaro (W) |
| 07/02/25 Mexico Liga MX Femenil | Juarez FC (W) | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Queretaro (W) |
| 27/09/24 Mexico Liga MX Femenil | Queretaro (W) | 0-2 HT 0-0 | Juarez FC (W) |
| 06/01/24 Mexico Liga MX Femenil | Queretaro (W) | 1-1 HT 0-0 | Juarez FC (W) |
| 02/10/23 Mexico Liga MX Femenil | Juarez FC (W) | 2-2 HT 1-0 | Queretaro (W) |
Standings · Mexico Liga MX Femenil · Group A
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Monterrey (W) | 11 | 10 | 0 | 1 | 40 | 13 | 30 |
| 2 | Tigres UANL (W) | 11 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 34 | 10 | 28 |
| 3 | Juarez FC (W) | 11 | 8 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 8 | 24 |
| 4 | Toluca (W) | 11 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 25 | 16 | 23 |
| 5 | Santos Laguna (W) | 11 | 5 | 1 | 5 | 13 | 20 | 16 |
| 6 | Leon (W) | 10 | 5 | 0 | 5 | 17 | 17 | 15 |
| 7 | Cruz Azul (W) | 11 | 5 | 0 | 6 | 13 | 22 | 15 |
| 8 | Atlante (W) | 11 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 6 | 15 | 7 |
| 9 | Queretaro (W) | 11 | 2 | 0 | 9 | 10 | 24 | 6 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Juarez FC (W) | Queretaro (W) |
|---|---|---|
| Atletico San Luis (W) | 2-1 W | 0-1 L |
| Leon (W) | 2-0 W | 1-0 W |
| Atlante (W) | 1-0 W | 1-2 L |
| Cruz Azul (W) | 1-0 W | 0-2 L |
| Santos Laguna (W) | 3-2 W | 1-2 L |
| Tigres UANL (W) | 0-1 L | 0-2 L |
| Record vs common | 5 W 0 D 1 L | 1 W 0 D 5 L |
Better against common opponents: Juarez FC (W) (6 of 6 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Juarez FC (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/10 | Atletico San Luis (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
2-0 | 2-1 | 1 | 6 | W |
| 05/10 | Chivas Guadalajara (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
0-0 | 0-1 | 7 | 7 | L |
| 27/09 | Tijuana (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
3-0 | 5-1 | 2 | 3 | W |
| 22/09 | Leon (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
0-0 | 2-0 | 7 | 5 | W |
| 13/09 | Necaxa (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
0-0 | 1-0 | 9 | 3 | W |
| 08/09 | Atlante (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
0-0 | 1-0 | 8 | 1 | W |
| 30/08 | Cruz Azul (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
0-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 4 | W |
| 23/08 | Santos Laguna (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
2-1 | 3-2 | 8 | 4 | W |
| 16/08 | Tigres UANL (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
0-0 | 0-1 | 1 | 2 | L |
| 11/08 | Toluca (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
0-0 | 0-2 | 3 | 5 | L |
Queretaro (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/10 | Tigres UANL (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
0-1 | 0-2 | 5 | 5 | L |
| 04/10 | Atletico San Luis (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
0-1 | 0-1 | 4 | 5 | L |
| 26/09 | Atlas (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 21/09 | Atlante (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
0-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 8 | L |
| 13/09 | Puebla (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
3-0 | 6-2 | 10 | 4 | W |
| 07/09 | Cruz Azul (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
0-0 | 0-2 | 3 | 2 | L |
| 30/08 | Monterrey (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
0-2 | 0-4 | 6 | 4 | L |
| 22/08 | Unam Pumas (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
0-5 | 0-5 | 2 | 1 | L |
| 18/08 | Leon (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
0-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 5 | W |
| 09/08 | Santos Laguna (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
1-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 10 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Juarez FC (W) vs Queretaro (W)?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Juarez FC (W) win (77%). Probabilities: Juarez FC (W) 77%, draw 15%, Queretaro (W) 8%.
How many goals are expected in Juarez FC (W) vs Queretaro (W)?
The model expects 3.04 goals (Juarez FC (W) 2.4 · Queretaro (W) 0.65), with a 55% chance of under 3.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Juarez FC (W) vs Queretaro (W)?
The model gives a 51% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 2-0.