Prediction: Chaves B vs CD Celoricense
Team pages: Chaves B · CD Celoricense
- Chaves B1-2CD Celoricense
- CD Celoricense3-3Chaves B
| Chaves B | Draw | CD Celoricense | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 35% | 31% | 35% |
| Market | 35% | 30% | 35% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Cards-heavy: 7.2 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Chaves B | CD Celoricense | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.7 / 1.1 | 0.8 / 0.6 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.9 / 1 | 0.6 / 0.2 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 25/38/38% | 44/44/11% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.8 / 3.9 | 2.9 / 4.1 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.6 / 0.3 | 3.7 / 0.3 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Chaves B 0–1–1 CD Celoricense
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 01/03/26 Portugal Campeonato Nacional | Chaves B | 1-2 HT 1-2 | CD Celoricense |
| 26/10/25 Portugal Campeonato Nacional | CD Celoricense | 3-3 HT 2-2 | Chaves B |
Standings · Portugal Campeonato Nacional · Campeonato de Portugal 26/27, Group A
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Limianos | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 4 | 7 |
| 2 | Braganca | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 7 |
| 3 | CD Celoricense | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 7 |
| 4 | FC Tirsense | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 6 |
| 5 | Chaves B | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 6 |
| 6 | Montalegre | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 5 |
| 7 | Braga B | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 5 |
| 8 | Vila Mea | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 4 |
| 9 | Brito SC | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 3 |
| 10 | AD Ponte da Barca | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 3 |
| 11 | Rebordosa | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 3 |
| 12 | SC Maria da Fonte | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 3 |
| 13 | Maia Lidador | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 | Futebol Clube de Vinhais | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 0 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Chaves B
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/09 | Futebol Clube de Vinhais Portugal Campeonato Nacional |
– | 2-1 | – | – | W |
| 23/08 | Rebordosa Portugal Campeonato Nacional |
– | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 16/08 | Limianos Portugal Campeonato Nacional |
1-3 | 1-3 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 18/04 | FC Tirsense Portugal Campeonato Nacional |
0-1 | 1-1 | 2 | 3 | D |
| 12/04 | Braganca Portugal Campeonato Nacional |
0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 3 | D |
| 04/04 | Limianos Portugal Campeonato Nacional |
2-0 | 3-0 | 2 | 5 | W |
| 22/03 | Desportivo Moncao Portugal Campeonato Nacional |
1-1 | 4-1 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 15/03 | SC Mirandela Portugal Campeonato Nacional |
1-1 | 1-2 | 6 | 6 | L |
| 08/03 | CD Ribeira Brava Portugal Campeonato Nacional |
1-0 | 2-0 | – | – | W |
| 01/03 | CD Celoricense Portugal Campeonato Nacional |
1-2 | 1-2 | 7 | 3 | L |
CD Celoricense
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/09 | FC Tirsense Portugal Campeonato Nacional |
1-0 | 2-1 | 1 | 5 | W |
| 23/08 | SC Maria da Fonte Portugal Campeonato Nacional |
– | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 16/08 | Montalegre Portugal Campeonato Nacional |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 6 | D |
| 18/04 | AD Camacha Portugal Campeonato Nacional |
1-0 | 2-1 | 3 | 6 | W |
| 12/04 | AD Machico Portugal Campeonato Nacional |
0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 2 | D |
| 04/04 | Brito SC Portugal Campeonato Nacional |
1-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 5 | W |
| 22/03 | Sao Martinho Portugal Campeonato Nacional |
0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 7 | D |
| 15/03 | SC Vianense Portugal Campeonato Nacional |
0-1 | 0-3 | 3 | 0 | L |
| 08/03 | FC Tirsense Portugal Campeonato Nacional |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | D |
| 01/03 | Chaves B Portugal Campeonato Nacional |
2-1 | 2-1 | 3 | 3 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Chaves B vs CD Celoricense?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Chaves B win (35%). Probabilities: Chaves B 35%, draw 30%, CD Celoricense 35%.
How many goals are expected in Chaves B vs CD Celoricense?
The model expects 2.37 goals (Chaves B 1.18 · CD Celoricense 1.18), with a 52% chance of under 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Chaves B vs CD Celoricense?
The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.

