Prediction: Chaves B vs CD Celoricense

Team pages: Chaves B · CD Celoricense

Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.37Total
Chaves B1.18
CD Celoricense1.18
1X2
35% 30% 35%
Chaves B Draw CD Celoricense
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 58% Both teams to score 52%
Most likely score
1-1 14%
Recent form · 10 last
Chaves B 5-2-3 (W-D-L)
LWLWWDDLWW
CD Celoricense 5-4-1 (W-D-L)
WDLDWDWDWW
Head-to-head
Chaves B 0–1–1 CD Celoricense (2 last)
  • Chaves B1-2CD Celoricense
  • CD Celoricense3-3Chaves B
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Chaves B 1532 · CD Celoricense 1561
Chaves BDrawCD Celoricense
Our model35%31%35%
Market35%30%35%
Estimated total (ours) 2.37 goals · Bet365 line 2.25

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 51%model estimate

Match keys

  • Cards-heavy: 7.2 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Chaves BCD Celoricense
Goals for / against (FT)1.7 / 1.10.8 / 0.6
Goals for / against (HT)0.9 / 10.6 / 0.2
Half-time result (W/D/L)25/38/38%44/44/11%
Corners (HT / FT)1.8 / 3.92.9 / 4.1
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)3.6 / 0.33.7 / 0.3

Head-to-head (H2H) · Chaves B 011 CD Celoricense

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DateHomeScoreAway
01/03/26
Portugal Campeonato Nacional
Chaves B1-2
HT 1-2
CD Celoricense
26/10/25
Portugal Campeonato Nacional
CD Celoricense3-3
HT 2-2
Chaves B

Standings · Portugal Campeonato Nacional · Campeonato de Portugal 26/27, Group A

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Limianos 3210 747
2 Braganca 3210 427
3 CD Celoricense 3210 317
4 FC Tirsense 3201 526
5 Chaves B 3201 446
6 Montalegre 3120 425
7 Braga B 3120 435
8 Vila Mea 3111 334
9 Brito SC 3102 463
10 AD Ponte da Barca 3102 453
11 Rebordosa 3102 123
12 SC Maria da Fonte 3102 233
13 Maia Lidador 3003 140
14 Futebol Clube de Vinhais 3003 160

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Chaves B

LWLWWDDLWW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
06/09 Futebol Clube de Vinhais
Portugal Campeonato Nacional
2-1 W
23/08 Rebordosa
Portugal Campeonato Nacional
1-0 W
16/08 Limianos
Portugal Campeonato Nacional
1-3 1-3 33 L
18/04 FC Tirsense
Portugal Campeonato Nacional
0-1 1-1 23 D
12/04 Braganca
Portugal Campeonato Nacional
0-0 1-1 33 D
04/04 Limianos
Portugal Campeonato Nacional
2-0 3-0 25 W
22/03 Desportivo Moncao
Portugal Campeonato Nacional
1-1 4-1 44 W
15/03 SC Mirandela
Portugal Campeonato Nacional
1-1 1-2 66 L
08/03 CD Ribeira Brava
Portugal Campeonato Nacional
1-0 2-0 W
01/03 CD Celoricense
Portugal Campeonato Nacional
1-2 1-2 73 L

CD Celoricense

WDLDWDWDWW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
06/09 FC Tirsense
Portugal Campeonato Nacional
1-0 2-1 15 W
23/08 SC Maria da Fonte
Portugal Campeonato Nacional
1-0 W
16/08 Montalegre
Portugal Campeonato Nacional
0-0 0-0 46 D
18/04 AD Camacha
Portugal Campeonato Nacional
1-0 2-1 36 W
12/04 AD Machico
Portugal Campeonato Nacional
0-0 0-0 72 D
04/04 Brito SC
Portugal Campeonato Nacional
1-0 1-0 35 W
22/03 Sao Martinho
Portugal Campeonato Nacional
0-0 0-0 87 D
15/03 SC Vianense
Portugal Campeonato Nacional
0-1 0-3 30 L
08/03 FC Tirsense
Portugal Campeonato Nacional
0-0 0-0 52 D
01/03 Chaves B
Portugal Campeonato Nacional
2-1 2-1 33 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Chaves B vs CD Celoricense?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Chaves B win (35%). Probabilities: Chaves B 35%, draw 30%, CD Celoricense 35%.

How many goals are expected in Chaves B vs CD Celoricense?

The model expects 2.37 goals (Chaves B 1.18 · CD Celoricense 1.18), with a 52% chance of under 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Chaves B vs CD Celoricense?

The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.