Prediction: Naval 1893 vs Alverca B
Team pages: Naval 1893 · Alverca B
| Naval 1893 | Draw | Alverca B | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 49% | 30% | 21% |
| Market | 50% | 27% | 23% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Cards-heavy: 7.6 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Naval 1893 | Alverca B | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.5 / 0.8 | 1.8 / 0.8 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.6 / 0.4 | 0.8 / 0.3 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 33/44/22% | 56/22/22% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.7 / 4.8 | 3.7 / 5.4 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4 / 0.2 | 3.6 / 0.3 |
Standings · Portugal Campeonato Nacional · Campeonato de Portugal 26/27, Group C
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mortagua FC | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 2 | 6 |
| 2 | UD da Serra | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 6 |
| 3 | Fatima | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 1 | 4 |
| 4 | O Elvas | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 |
| 5 | Naval 1893 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 3 |
| 6 | Oliveira Hospital | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 3 |
| 7 | Benfica e Castelo Branco | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 3 |
| 8 | CF Os Marialvas | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3 |
| 9 | AD Nogueirense | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 2 |
| 10 | Fazendense | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 1 |
| 11 | Sertanense | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 1 |
| 12 | Alverca B | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 | GD Os Nazarenos | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 | AT Malveira | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 0 |
Common opponents 2 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Naval 1893 | Alverca B |
|---|---|---|
| Benfica e Castelo Branco | 4-1 W | 0-1 L |
| UD da Serra | 1-2 L | 1-2 L |
| Record vs common | 1 W 0 D 1 L | 0 W 0 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: Naval 1893 (1 of 2 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Naval 1893
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/09 | Oliveira Hospital Portugal Campeonato Nacional |
0-0 | 0-1 | 6 | 5 | L |
| 23/08 | Benfica e Castelo Branco Portugal Campeonato Nacional |
– | 4-1 | – | – | W |
| 16/08 | UD da Serra Portugal Campeonato Nacional |
1-2 | 1-2 | 7 | 6 | L |
| 18/04 | GD Vitoria de Sernache Portugal Campeonato Nacional |
1-0 | 2-0 | 2 | 1 | W |
| 12/04 | CF Os Marialvas Portugal Campeonato Nacional |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 5 | D |
| 04/04 | Juventude Desportiva Lajense Portugal Campeonato Nacional |
1-0 | 2-1 | 6 | 2 | W |
| 22/03 | Mortagua FC Portugal Campeonato Nacional |
0-0 | 2-0 | 6 | 0 | W |
| 15/03 | Fatima Portugal Campeonato Nacional |
1-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 8 | W |
| 08/03 | Samora Correia Portugal Campeonato Nacional |
1-1 | 2-1 | 7 | 7 | W |
| 04/03 | AC Marinhense Portugal Campeonato Nacional |
0-1 | 1-2 | 5 | 4 | L |
Alverca B
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/09 | Benfica e Castelo Branco Portugal Campeonato Nacional |
0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 7 | L |
| 23/08 | UD da Serra Portugal Campeonato Nacional |
– | 1-2 | – | – | L |
| 18/04 | Comercio Industria Portugal Campeonato Nacional |
2-0 | 5-0 | 4 | 5 | W |
| 12/04 | Serpa Portugal Campeonato Nacional |
1-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 5 | W |
| 04/04 | Alcochetense Portugal Campeonato Nacional |
0-1 | 0-1 | 5 | 2 | L |
| 29/03 | Portimonense B Portugal Campeonato Nacional |
1-0 | 4-0 | 14 | 0 | W |
| 22/03 | Clube Oriental Lisboa Portugal Campeonato Nacional |
1-0 | 2-1 | 3 | 5 | W |
| 15/03 | GD Lagoa Portugal Campeonato Nacional |
0-1 | 2-1 | 3 | 4 | W |
| 08/03 | O Elvas Portugal Campeonato Nacional |
2-1 | 2-1 | 6 | 4 | W |
| 01/03 | Juventude de Evora Portugal Campeonato Nacional |
0-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 3 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Naval 1893 vs Alverca B?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Naval 1893 win (50%). Probabilities: Naval 1893 50%, draw 28%, Alverca B 22%.
How many goals are expected in Naval 1893 vs Alverca B?
The model expects 2.25 goals (Naval 1893 1.41 · Alverca B 0.85), with a 53% chance of under 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Naval 1893 vs Alverca B?
The model gives a 50% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.