Football · Portugal Campeonato Nacional · 06/09, 18:00
Prediction: Alverca B vs Benfica e Castelo Branco
Team pages: Alverca B · Benfica e Castelo Branco
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.78Total
Alverca B1.7
Benfica e Castelo Branco1.08
1X2
Alverca B
Draw
Benfica e Castelo Branco
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 50%
Both teams to score 54%
Most likely score
1-1 13%
Recent form · 10 last
Alverca B
6-1-3 (W-D-L)
Benfica e Castelo Branco
4-2-4 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Alverca B
2–1–1
Benfica e Castelo Branco
(4 last)
- Alverca B1-2Benfica e Castelo Branco
- Benfica e Castelo Branco1-2Alverca B
- Alverca B1-0Benfica e Castelo Branco
- Benfica e Castelo Branco0-0Alverca B
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 51%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours Alverca B: 2-1-1.
- Cards-heavy: 7.7 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Alverca B | Benfica e Castelo Branco | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.8 / 0.9 | 1.2 / 1.5 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.8 / 0.4 | 0.4 / 0.4 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 56/11/33% | 22/56/22% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3.4 / 5 | 2.9 / 5.1 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.1 / 0.3 | 4.6 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Alverca B 2–1–1 Benfica e Castelo Branco
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12/01/25 Portugal Campeonato Nacional | Alverca B | 1-2 HT 1-1 | Benfica e Castelo Branco |
| 18/08/24 Portugal Campeonato Nacional | Benfica e Castelo Branco | 1-2 HT 1-2 | Alverca B |
| 28/01/24 Portugal Campeonato Nacional | Alverca B | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Benfica e Castelo Branco |
| 17/09/23 Portugal Campeonato Nacional | Benfica e Castelo Branco | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Alverca B |
Standings · Portugal Campeonato Nacional · Campeonato de Portugal 26/27, Group C
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mortagua FC | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 2 | 6 |
| 2 | UD da Serra | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 6 |
| 3 | Fatima | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 1 | 4 |
| 4 | O Elvas | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 |
| 5 | Naval 1893 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 3 |
| 6 | Oliveira Hospital | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 3 |
| 7 | Benfica e Castelo Branco | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 3 |
| 8 | CF Os Marialvas | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3 |
| 9 | AD Nogueirense | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 2 |
| 10 | Fazendense | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 1 |
| 11 | Sertanense | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 1 |
| 12 | Alverca B | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 | GD Os Nazarenos | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 | AT Malveira | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 0 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Alverca B
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/08 | UD da Serra Portugal Campeonato Nacional |
– | 1-2 | – | – | L |
| 18/04 | Comercio Industria Portugal Campeonato Nacional |
2-0 | 5-0 | 4 | 5 | W |
| 12/04 | Serpa Portugal Campeonato Nacional |
1-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 5 | W |
| 04/04 | Alcochetense Portugal Campeonato Nacional |
0-1 | 0-1 | 5 | 2 | L |
| 29/03 | Portimonense B Portugal Campeonato Nacional |
1-0 | 4-0 | 14 | 0 | W |
| 22/03 | Clube Oriental Lisboa Portugal Campeonato Nacional |
1-0 | 2-1 | 3 | 5 | W |
| 15/03 | GD Lagoa Portugal Campeonato Nacional |
0-1 | 2-1 | 3 | 4 | W |
| 08/03 | O Elvas Portugal Campeonato Nacional |
2-1 | 2-1 | 6 | 4 | W |
| 01/03 | Juventude de Evora Portugal Campeonato Nacional |
0-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 3 | D |
| 22/02 | Louletano DC Portugal Campeonato Nacional |
0-1 | 0-2 | 1 | 3 | L |
Benfica e Castelo Branco
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/08 | Naval 1893 Portugal Campeonato Nacional |
– | 1-4 | – | – | L |
| 16/08 | Oliveira Hospital Portugal Campeonato Nacional |
1-1 | 3-2 | 6 | 7 | W |
| 18/04 | Fatima Portugal Campeonato Nacional |
1-1 | 1-4 | 3 | 8 | L |
| 12/04 | Samora Correia Portugal Campeonato Nacional |
0-0 | 1-2 | 9 | 4 | L |
| 04/04 | GD Peniche Portugal Campeonato Nacional |
1-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 2 | W |
| 25/03 | GD Vitoria de Sernache Portugal Campeonato Nacional |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 5 | D |
| 21/03 | Oliveira Hospital Portugal Campeonato Nacional |
0-1 | 1-1 | 4 | 5 | D |
| 15/03 | AC Marinhense Portugal Campeonato Nacional |
0-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 5 | W |
| 08/03 | Lusitania Portugal Campeonato Nacional |
1-0 | 2-0 | 8 | 3 | W |
| 01/03 | UD da Serra Portugal Campeonato Nacional |
0-1 | 0-2 | 2 | 3 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Alverca B vs Benfica e Castelo Branco?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Alverca B win (51%). Probabilities: Alverca B 51%, draw 26%, Benfica e Castelo Branco 23%.
How many goals are expected in Alverca B vs Benfica e Castelo Branco?
The model expects 2.78 goals (Alverca B 1.7 · Benfica e Castelo Branco 1.08), with a 50% chance of over 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Alverca B vs Benfica e Castelo Branco?
The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.