Football · Portugal Campeonato Nacional · 06/09, 18:00

Prediction: Oliveira Hospital vs Naval 1893

Team pages: Oliveira Hospital · Naval 1893

Prediction summary

Expected goals

1.97Total

Oliveira Hospital1.1

Naval 18930.87

1X2

40% 32% 28%

Oliveira Hospital Draw Naval 1893

Markets

Over 1.5 goals 60% Not both to score 52%

Most likely score

0-0 15%

Recent form · 10 last

Oliveira Hospital 4-3-3 (W-D-L)

WWLDWDLDLW

Naval 1893 6-1-3 (W-D-L)

LLWWWWDWLW

Head-to-head

Oliveira Hospital 0–1–1 Naval 1893 (2 last)

Naval 18930-0Oliveira Hospital
Oliveira Hospital0-1Naval 1893

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Oliveira Hospital 1521 · Naval 1893 1553

	Oliveira Hospital	Draw	Naval 1893
Our model	39%	34%	27%
Market	41%	30%	29%

Estimated total (ours) 1.97 goals · Bet365 line 2.25 · -0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 62%model estimate

Match keys

Cards-heavy: 9.4 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Oliveira Hospital	Naval 1893
Goals for / against (FT)	1.5 / 1.1	1.5 / 0.9
Goals for / against (HT)	0.9 / 0.6	0.6 / 0.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)	22/67/11%	33/44/22%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.1 / 4.9	2.9 / 4.8
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	6 / 0.2	3.4 / 0.3

Odds Bet365

12.20

X3.00

23.10

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.25)1.95

2 (+0.25)1.85

Line ⓘ

Over 2.251.98

Under 2.251.82

Diff.: 0.25 · xG: 2.5

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 20:16

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.20 → 2.20	Bet365 2.20
X	3.00 → 3.00	Bet365 3.00
2	3.10 → 3.10	Bet365 3.10

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11%

Time*	1	X	2
20:13 +3’	2.20	3.00	3.10

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Oliveira Hospital 0–1–1 Naval 1893

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Home	Score	Away
22/02/26 Portugal Campeonato Nacional	Naval 1893	0-0 HT 0-0	Oliveira Hospital
05/10/25 Portugal Campeonato Nacional	Oliveira Hospital	0-1 HT 0-1	Naval 1893

Standings · Portugal Campeonato Nacional · Campeonato de Portugal 26/27, Group C

Swipe the table sideways →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Mortagua FC	2	2	0	0	6	2	6
2	UD da Serra	2	2	0	0	4	2	6
3	Fatima	2	1	1	0	6	1	4
4	O Elvas	2	1	1	0	2	1	4
5	Naval 1893	2	1	0	1	5	3	3
6	Oliveira Hospital	2	1	0	1	4	4	3
7	Benfica e Castelo Branco	2	1	0	1	4	6	3
8	CF Os Marialvas	2	1	0	1	2	2	3
9	AD Nogueirense	2	0	2	0	4	4	2
10	Fazendense	1	0	1	0	3	3	1
11	Sertanense	2	0	1	1	2	4	1
12	Alverca B	1	0	0	1	1	2	0
13	GD Os Nazarenos	2	0	0	2	1	4	0
14	AT Malveira	2	0	0	2	0	6	0

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Oliveira Hospital	Naval 1893
CF Os Marialvas	2-1 W	0-0 D
Benfica e Castelo Branco	2-3 L	4-1 W
GD Vitoria de Sernache	0-0 D	2-0 W
AC Marinhense	3-0 W	1-2 L
Record vs common	2 W 1 D 1 L	2 W 1 D 1 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Oliveira Hospital

WWLDWDLDLW

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
23/08	CF Os Marialvas Portugal Campeonato Nacional	–	2-1	–	–	W
16/08	Benfica e Castelo Branco Portugal Campeonato Nacional	1-1	2-3	3	7	L
31/05	AT Malveira Portugal Campeonato Nacional	1-1	1-1	9	7	D
23/05	Louletano DC Portugal Campeonato Nacional	1-1	1-2	4	12	L
17/05	GD Vitoria de Sernache Portugal Campeonato Nacional	0-0	0-0	3	4	D
10/05	AT Malveira Portugal Campeonato Nacional	2-0	2-0	1	10	W
03/05	Louletano DC Portugal Campeonato Nacional	1-1	1-1	4	6	D
26/04	GD Vitoria de Sernache Portugal Campeonato Nacional	0-1	1-2	7	5	L
18/04	AC Marinhense Portugal Campeonato Nacional	0-0	3-0	8	3	W
12/04	Lusitania Portugal Campeonato Nacional	2-0	2-1	5	2	W

Naval 1893

LLWWWWDWLW

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
23/08	Benfica e Castelo Branco Portugal Campeonato Nacional	–	4-1	–	–	W
16/08	UD da Serra Portugal Campeonato Nacional	1-2	1-2	7	6	L
18/04	GD Vitoria de Sernache Portugal Campeonato Nacional	1-0	2-0	2	1	W
12/04	CF Os Marialvas Portugal Campeonato Nacional	0-0	0-0	2	5	D
04/04	Juventude Desportiva Lajense Portugal Campeonato Nacional	1-0	2-1	6	2	W
22/03	Mortagua FC Portugal Campeonato Nacional	0-0	2-0	6	0	W
15/03	Fatima Portugal Campeonato Nacional	1-0	1-0	2	8	W
08/03	Samora Correia Portugal Campeonato Nacional	1-1	2-1	7	7	W
04/03	AC Marinhense Portugal Campeonato Nacional	0-1	1-2	5	4	L
28/02	GD Peniche Portugal Campeonato Nacional	0-0	0-2	6	1	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Oliveira Hospital vs Naval 1893?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Oliveira Hospital win (40%). Probabilities: Oliveira Hospital 40%, draw 32%, Naval 1893 28%.

How many goals are expected in Oliveira Hospital vs Naval 1893?

The model expects 1.97 goals (Oliveira Hospital 1.1 · Naval 1893 0.87), with a 57% chance of under 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Oliveira Hospital vs Naval 1893?

The model gives a 52% chance that not both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 0-0.