Football · Argentina Liga Profesional · 13/09, 22:00
Prediction: Argentinos Jrs vs Gimnasia LP
Team pages: Argentinos Jrs · Gimnasia LP
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.36Total
Argentinos Jrs1.56
Gimnasia LP0.81
1X2
Argentinos Jrs
Draw
Gimnasia LP
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 58%
Both teams to score 50%
Most likely score
1-0 13%
Recent form · 10 last
Argentinos Jrs
5-4-1 (W-D-L)
Gimnasia LP
6-0-4 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Argentinos Jrs
1–1–4
Gimnasia LP
(6 last)
- Gimnasia LP2-0Argentinos Jrs
- Gimnasia LP1-0Argentinos Jrs
- Argentinos Jrs2-0Gimnasia LP
- Gimnasia LP3-2Argentinos Jrs
- Argentinos Jrs2-4Gimnasia LP
- Gimnasia LP0-0Argentinos Jrs
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Argentinos Jrs 1544 · Gimnasia LP 1535
| Argentinos Jrs | Draw | Gimnasia LP | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 54% | 28% | 18% |
| Market | 54% | 28% | 18% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.36 goals · Bet365 line 2.25
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 61%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours Gimnasia LP: 4-1-1.
- Cards-heavy: 10.9 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Argentinos Jrs | Gimnasia LP | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.3 / 0.8 | 1.3 / 1.4 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.4 / 0.4 | 0.4 / 0.5 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/40/30% | 30/40/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.8 / 5.7 | 1.7 / 3.3 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 5.6 / 0.3 | 5.3 / 0.3 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Argentinos Jrs 1–1–4 Gimnasia LP
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 03/05/26 Argentina Liga Profesional | Gimnasia LP | 2-0 HT 1-0 | Argentinos Jrs |
| 02/09/24 Argentina Liga Profesional | Gimnasia LP | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Argentinos Jrs |
| 06/03/24 Argentina Copa de la Liga Profesional | Argentinos Jrs | 2-0 HT 1-0 | Gimnasia LP |
| 19/10/23 Argentina Copa de la Liga Profesional | Gimnasia LP | 3-2 HT 2-1 | Argentinos Jrs |
| 25/04/23 Argentina Liga Profesional | Argentinos Jrs | 2-4 HT 1-2 | Gimnasia LP |
| 17/10/22 Argentina Liga Profesional | Gimnasia LP | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Argentinos Jrs |
Standings · Argentina Liga Profesional · Primera LPF 2026, Clausura, Group B
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Argentinos Jrs | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 12 | 7 | 17 |
| 2 | Sarmiento | 8 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 12 | 15 |
| 3 | Gimnasia LP | 8 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 12 | 15 |
| 4 | Atlético Tucumán | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 6 | 3 | 13 |
| 5 | Belgrano | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 5 | 12 |
| 6 | CA Tigre | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 5 | 12 |
| 7 | Rosario Central | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 8 | 12 |
| 8 | Independiente Rivadavia | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
| 9 | Barracas Central | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 11 |
| 10 | River Plate | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 10 | 9 | 10 |
| 11 | Huracan | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 6 | 10 |
| 12 | Banfield | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 8 | 13 | 7 |
| 13 | Estudiantes Rio Cuarto | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 9 | 6 |
| 14 | CA Aldosivi | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 8 | 12 | 5 |
| 15 | Racing Club | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 7 | 13 | 5 |
Common opponents 3 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Argentinos Jrs | Gimnasia LP |
|---|---|---|
| Barracas Central | 0-0 D | 2-0 W |
| River Plate | 0-2 L | 1-0 W |
| Racing Club | 2-1 W | 1-2 L |
| Record vs common | 1 W 1 D 1 L | 2 W 0 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: Gimnasia LP (2 of 3 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Argentinos Jrs
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/09 | Barracas Central Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 7 | D |
| 30/08 | CA Aldosivi Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-1 | 2-1 | 14 | 6 | W |
| 25/08 | Lanus Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 1 | D |
| 16/08 | River Plate Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-1 | 0-2 | 4 | 4 | L |
| 10/08 | Racing Club Argentina Liga Profesional |
1-1 | 2-1 | 9 | 10 | W |
| 01/08 | Belgrano Argentina Liga Profesional |
1-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 3 | W |
| 29/07 | Estudiantes Rio Cuarto Argentina Liga Profesional |
1-0 | 3-0 | 6 | 1 | W |
| 24/07 | Sarmiento Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-1 | 3-2 | 2 | 9 | W |
| 17/05 | Belgrano Argentina Liga Profesional |
1-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 10 | D |
| 13/05 | Huracan Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 8 | D |
Gimnasia LP
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/09 | CA Tigre Argentina Liga Profesional |
1-0 | 2-1 | 5 | 7 | W |
| 29/08 | Rosario Central Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-0 | 2-1 | 3 | 5 | W |
| 22/08 | Gimnasia Mendoza Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-2 | 2-3 | 6 | 3 | L |
| 15/08 | Estudiantes LP Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-1 | 0-4 | 2 | 8 | L |
| 09/08 | Barracas Central Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-0 | 2-0 | 2 | 7 | W |
| 02/08 | Aldosivi Argentina Liga Profesional |
1-0 | 2-1 | 4 | 6 | W |
| 30/07 | River Plate Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 25/07 | Racing Club Argentina Liga Profesional |
1-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 14/05 | River Plate Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-1 | 0-2 | 5 | 5 | L |
| 11/05 | Velez Sarsfield Argentina Liga Profesional |
1-0 | 1-0 | 0 | 8 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Argentinos Jrs vs Gimnasia LP?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Argentinos Jrs win (54%). Probabilities: Argentinos Jrs 54%, draw 28%, Gimnasia LP 18%.
How many goals are expected in Argentinos Jrs vs Gimnasia LP?
The model expects 2.36 goals (Argentinos Jrs 1.56 · Gimnasia LP 0.81), with a 51% chance of under 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Argentinos Jrs vs Gimnasia LP?
The model gives a 50% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-0.