Football · Argentina Liga Profesional · 13/09, 01:00

Prediction: CA Talleres de Córdoba vs Union Santa Fe

Team pages: CA Talleres de Córdoba · Union Santa Fe

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.55Total

CA Talleres de Córdoba1.46

Union Santa Fe1.09

1X2

44% 30% 26%

CA Talleres de Córdoba Draw Union Santa Fe

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 53% Both teams to score 53%

Most likely score

1-1 14%

Recent form · 10 last

CA Talleres de Córdoba 1-3-6 (W-D-L)

DLLLWLLDDL

Union Santa Fe 4-2-4 (W-D-L)

DWLDLWLLWW

Head-to-head

CA Talleres de Córdoba 2–4–0 Union Santa Fe (6 last)

Union Santa Fe1-1CA Talleres de Córdoba
Union Santa Fe2-3CA Talleres de Córdoba
CA Talleres de Córdoba0-0Union Santa Fe
CA Talleres de Córdoba2-2Union Santa Fe
CA Talleres de Córdoba0-0Union Santa Fe
Union Santa Fe1-2CA Talleres de Córdoba

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · CA Talleres de Córdoba 1425 · Union Santa Fe 1493

	CA Talleres de Córdoba	Draw	Union Santa Fe
Our model	44%	29%	27%
Market	43%	31%	26%

Estimated total (ours) 2.55 goals · Bet365 line 2 · +0.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 60%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Union Santa Fe (rating 1425 vs 1493).
H2H favours CA Talleres de Córdoba: 2-4-0.
Cards-heavy: 9.2 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	CA Talleres de Córdoba	Union Santa Fe
Goals for / against (FT)	0.9 / 1.5	1.5 / 1.4
Goals for / against (HT)	0.4 / 0.3	0.3 / 0.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/60/10%	30/30/40%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.5 / 4.4	2.5 / 4.6
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.9 / 0.7	4.3 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

12.15

X3.00

23.60

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.25)1.82

2 (+0.25)1.98

Line ⓘ

Over 21.77

Under 22.02

Diff.: 0.65 · xG: 2.65

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 01:14

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.15 → 2.15	Bet365 2.15
X	3.00 → 3.00	Bet365 3.00
2	3.60 → 3.60	Bet365 3.60

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 7.6%

Time*	1	X	2
01:09 +5’	2.15	3.00	3.60

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · CA Talleres de Córdoba 2–4–0 Union Santa Fe

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Date	Home	Score	Away
02/05/26 Argentina Liga Profesional	Union Santa Fe	1-1 HT 0-1	CA Talleres de Córdoba
27/11/24 Argentina Liga Profesional	Union Santa Fe	2-3 HT 1-2	CA Talleres de Córdoba
11/07/23 Argentina Liga Profesional	CA Talleres de Córdoba	0-0 HT 0-0	Union Santa Fe
20/10/22 Argentina Liga Profesional	CA Talleres de Córdoba	2-2 HT 2-1	Union Santa Fe
18/02/22 Argentina Liga Profesional	CA Talleres de Córdoba	0-0 HT 0-0	Union Santa Fe
22/08/21 Argentina Liga Profesional	Union Santa Fe	1-2 HT 0-1	CA Talleres de Córdoba

Standings · Argentina Liga Profesional · Primera LPF 2026, Clausura, Group A

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Gimnasia Mendoza	8	5	1	2	14	7	16
2	Velez Sarsfield	8	4	4	0	11	6	16
3	Instituto AC Cordoba	7	5	1	1	6	2	16
4	Defensa y Justicia	7	4	2	1	9	8	14
5	Newell's	7	3	2	2	8	6	11
6	Boca Juniors	8	2	5	1	9	10	11
7	Union Santa Fe	7	3	1	3	12	10	10
8	CA Independiente	7	3	1	3	6	6	10
9	San Lorenzo	8	3	1	4	3	5	10
10	Deportivo Riestra	8	2	3	3	8	7	9
11	Platense	8	2	3	3	8	12	9
12	Lanus	7	2	1	4	7	8	7
12	Estudiantes LP	8	2	1	5	7	8	7
14	Central Cordoba	7	2	1	4	4	7	7
15	CA Talleres de Córdoba	8	1	2	5	8	13	5

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	CA Talleres de Córdoba	Union Santa Fe
San Lorenzo	0-1 L	0-1 L
Central Cordoba	0-0 D	1-2 L
Gimnasia Mendoza	1-3 L	0-2 L
Lanus	0-3 L	2-1 W
Platense	4-0 W	2-2 D
Belgrano	0-1 L	0-2 L
Record vs common	1 W 1 D 4 L	1 W 1 D 4 L

Better against common opponents: CA Talleres de Córdoba (3 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

League

CA Talleres de Córdoba

DLLLWLLDDL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
06/09	San Lorenzo Argentina Liga Profesional	0-0	0-1	4	5	L
30/08	Central Cordoba Argentina Liga Profesional	0-0	0-0	6	3	D
25/08	Rosario Central Argentina Liga Profesional	1-0	2-2	1	8	D
18/08	Gimnasia Mendoza Argentina Liga Profesional	0-2	1-3	3	8	L
12/08	Lanus Argentina Liga Profesional	0-0	0-3	2	4	L
04/08	Platense Argentina Liga Profesional	1-0	4-0	3	5	W
31/07	Velez Sarsfield Argentina Liga Profesional	1-1	1-3	8	3	L
25/07	Newell's Argentina Liga Profesional	0-0	0-1	9	3	L
09/05	Belgrano Argentina Liga Profesional	0-0	0-1	8	9	L
02/05	Union Santa Fe Argentina Liga Profesional	1-0	1-1	0	8	D

Union Santa Fe

DWLDLWLLWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
29/08	Sarmiento Argentina Liga Profesional	1-0	4-1	2	3	W
21/08	Aldosivi Argentina Liga Profesional	0-1	3-1	4	5	W
15/08	San Lorenzo Argentina Liga Profesional	0-0	0-1	1	5	L
11/08	Central Cordoba Argentina Liga Profesional	1-0	1-2	8	6	L
07/08	Lanus TEST Fixtures	0-0	2-1	4	3	W
01/08	Gimnasia Mendoza Argentina Liga Profesional	0-1	0-2	5	2	L
25/07	Platense Argentina Liga Profesional	0-1	2-2	2	5	D
13/05	Belgrano Argentina Liga Profesional	0-0	0-2	7	4	L
10/05	Independiente Rivadavia Argentina Liga Profesional	1-0	2-1	5	3	W
02/05	CA Talleres de Córdoba Argentina Liga Profesional	0-1	1-1	8	8	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in CA Talleres de Córdoba vs Union Santa Fe?

According to our model, the most likely result is a CA Talleres de Córdoba win (44%). Probabilities: CA Talleres de Córdoba 44%, draw 30%, Union Santa Fe 26%.

How many goals are expected in CA Talleres de Córdoba vs Union Santa Fe?

The model expects 2.55 goals (CA Talleres de Córdoba 1.46 · Union Santa Fe 1.09), with a 58% chance of over 2 goals.

Will both teams score in CA Talleres de Córdoba vs Union Santa Fe?

The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.