Football · Mexico Liga MX Femenil · 09/08, 00:00
Prediction: Club America (W) vs Cruz Azul (W)
Team pages: Club America (W) · Cruz Azul (W)
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.75Total
Club America (W)2.88
Cruz Azul (W)0.88
1X2
Club America (W)
Draw
Cruz Azul (W)
Markets
Over 3.5 goals 52%
Both teams to score 54%
Most likely score
2-0
Recent form · 10 last
Club America (W)
7-2-1 (W-D-L)
Cruz Azul (W)
6-2-2 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Club America (W)
5–1
Cruz Azul (W)
(6 last)
- Cruz Azul (W)1-2Club America (W)
- Club America (W)2-1Cruz Azul (W)
- Club America (W)2-1Cruz Azul (W)
- Cruz Azul (W)2-1Club America (W)
- Cruz Azul (W)1-5Club America (W)
- Club America (W)4-0Cruz Azul (W)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Club America (W) 1617 · Cruz Azul (W) 1538
| Club America (W) | Draw | Cruz Azul (W) | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 78% | 14% | 8% |
| Market | 81% | 12% | 7% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.75 goals · Bet365 line 3.75
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 75%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Club America (W) (rating 1617 vs 1538).
- H2H favours Club America (W): 5-0-1.
- High corners: 11.7 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 5.9 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Club America (W) | Cruz Azul (W) | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 3.1 / 1.3 | 2.1 / 1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1.4 / 0.8 | 1.3 / 0.5 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 60/10/30% | 60/10/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3.3 / 5.9 | 2.7 / 5.8 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.1 / 0.1 | 2.8 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Club America (W) 5–0–1 Cruz Azul (W)
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 09/02/26 Mexico Liga MX Femenil | Cruz Azul (W) | 1-2 HT 1-1 | Club America (W) |
| 14/07/25 Mexico Liga MX Femenil | Club America (W) | 2-1 HT 1-0 | Cruz Azul (W) |
| 07/01/25 Mexico Liga MX Femenil | Club America (W) | 2-1 HT 0-1 | Cruz Azul (W) |
| 07/07/24 Mexico Liga MX Femenil | Cruz Azul (W) | 2-1 HT 1-1 | Club America (W) |
| 29/03/24 Mexico Liga MX Femenil | Cruz Azul (W) | 1-5 HT 1-3 | Club America (W) |
| 19/08/23 Mexico Liga MX Femenil | Club America (W) | 4-0 HT 3-0 | Cruz Azul (W) |
Standings · Mexico Liga MX Femenil · Liga MX, Women 26/27, Apertura, Group B
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Club America (W) | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3 |
| 2 | Chivas Guadalajara (W) | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 3 |
| 3 | Pachuca (W) | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
| 4 | Atlas (W) | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 1 |
| 5 | Tijuana (W) | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| 6 | Necaxa (W) | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 7 | Unam Pumas (W) | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 0 |
| 8 | Atletico San Luis (W) | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 0 |
| 9 | Puebla (W) | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 0 |
Common opponents 3 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Club America (W) | Cruz Azul (W) |
|---|---|---|
| Santos Laguna (W) | 3-0 W | 2-0 W |
| Monterrey (W) | 3-0 W | 0-4 L |
| Toluca (W) | 4-3 W | 4-0 W |
| Record vs common | 3 W 0 D 0 L | 2 W 0 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: Club America (W) (2 of 3 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Club America (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/08 | Santos Laguna (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
2-0 | 3-0 | 12 | 5 | W |
| 27/07 | Tigres UANL (W) Mexico Champions of Champions Women |
1-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 5 | D |
| 24/05 | Washington Spirit (W) CONCACAF Women Champions Cup |
2-1 | 5-3 | 3 | 5 | W |
| 21/05 | NJ/NY Gotham FC (W) CONCACAF Women Champions Cup |
1-0 | 4-1 | 6 | 3 | W |
| 17/05 | Monterrey (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
1-0 | 3-0 | 4 | 1 | W |
| 15/05 | Monterrey (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
0-1 | 0-1 | 5 | 4 | L |
| 10/05 | Toluca (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
2-3 | 4-3 | 7 | 1 | W |
| 08/05 | Toluca (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
4-1 | 7-1 | 7 | 1 | W |
| 02/05 | Juarez FC (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
1-1 | 3-2 | 6 | 5 | W |
| 30/04 | Juarez FC (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
0-1 | 1-1 | 6 | 2 | D |
Cruz Azul (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/08 | Atlas (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
1-1 | 3-1 | 5 | 3 | W |
| 03/05 | Monterrey (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
0-1 | 0-4 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 30/04 | Monterrey (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
0-1 | 1-1 | 8 | 3 | D |
| 25/04 | Unam Pumas (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
0-1 | 1-1 | 4 | 2 | D |
| 05/04 | Toluca (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
2-0 | 4-0 | 7 | 4 | W |
| 02/04 | Atletico San Luis (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
2-1 | 2-3 | 5 | 7 | L |
| 28/03 | Puebla (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
3-0 | 4-0 | 9 | 3 | W |
| 21/03 | Mazatlan FC (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
1-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 0 | W |
| 18/03 | Santos Laguna (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
2-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 12/03 | Necaxa (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
2-0 | 3-0 | 5 | 0 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Club America (W) vs Cruz Azul (W)?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Club America (W) win (79%). Probabilities: Club America (W) 79%, draw 13%, Cruz Azul (W) 7%.
How many goals are expected in Club America (W) vs Cruz Azul (W)?
The model expects 3.75 goals (Club America (W) 2.88 · Cruz Azul (W) 0.88), with a 51% chance of under 3.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Club America (W) vs Cruz Azul (W)?
The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 2-0.