Prediction: Toluca (W) vs Atlas (W)
Team pages: Toluca (W) · Atlas (W)
- Toluca (W)2-0Atlas (W)
- Atlas (W)2-2Toluca (W)
- Toluca (W)0-2Atlas (W)
- Atlas (W)1-1Toluca (W)
- Atlas (W)2-2Toluca (W)
- Toluca (W)2-1Atlas (W)
| Toluca (W) | Draw | Atlas (W) | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 77% | 14% | 9% |
| Market | 82% | 12% | 6% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Toluca (W) (rating 1538 vs 1423).
- H2H favours Toluca (W): 2-3-1.
- Cards-heavy: 5.5 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Toluca (W) | Atlas (W) | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2.1 / 2.4 | 1.3 / 2.7 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.6 / 1.5 | 1 / 0.8 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/20/60% | 30/30/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.9 / 5.8 | 1.7 / 3.1 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.5 / 0.2 | 3 / 0.3 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Toluca (W) 2–3–1 Atlas (W)
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 13/01/26 Mexico Liga MX Femenil | Toluca (W) | 2-0 HT 0-0 | Atlas (W) |
| 30/09/25 Mexico Liga MX Femenil | Atlas (W) | 2-2 HT 0-1 | Toluca (W) |
| 06/02/25 Mexico Liga MX Femenil | Toluca (W) | 0-2 HT 0-1 | Atlas (W) |
| 13/09/24 Mexico Liga MX Femenil | Atlas (W) | 1-1 HT 0-1 | Toluca (W) |
| 13/01/24 Mexico Liga MX Femenil | Atlas (W) | 2-2 HT 1-1 | Toluca (W) |
| 13/10/23 Mexico Liga MX Femenil | Toluca (W) | 2-1 HT 1-0 | Atlas (W) |
Standings · Mexico Liga MX Femenil · Group B
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Club America (W) | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 18 | 1 | 9 |
| 2 | Chivas Guadalajara (W) | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 2 | 6 |
| 3 | Pachuca (W) | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 4 |
| 4 | Tijuana (W) | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 5 | 3 |
| 5 | Atletico San Luis (W) | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 3 |
| 6 | Unam Pumas (W) | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 9 | 3 |
| 7 | Atlas (W) | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 1 |
| 8 | Necaxa (W) | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 0 |
| 9 | Puebla (W) | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 17 | 0 |
Common opponents 5 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Toluca (W) | Atlas (W) |
|---|---|---|
| Juarez FC (W) | 2-0 W | 1-2 L |
| Club America (W) | 3-4 L | 0-2 L |
| Chivas Guadalajara (W) | 1-1 D | 2-4 L |
| Cruz Azul (W) | 0-4 L | 1-3 L |
| Leon (W) | 3-3 D | 0-4 L |
| Record vs common | 1 W 2 D 2 L | 0 W 0 D 5 L |
Better against common opponents: Toluca (W) (4 of 5 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Toluca (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/08 | Juarez FC (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
0-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 5 | W |
| 03/08 | Atletico San Luis (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
0-1 | 4-1 | 5 | 3 | W |
| 10/05 | Club America (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
3-2 | 3-4 | 4 | 1 | L |
| 08/05 | Club America (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
1-4 | 1-7 | 5 | 1 | L |
| 04/05 | Tigres UANL (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
1-0 | 2-1 | 7 | 2 | W |
| 01/05 | Tigres UANL (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
0-1 | 2-1 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 25/04 | Chivas Guadalajara (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
0-0 | 1-1 | 8 | 0 | D |
| 05/04 | Cruz Azul (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
0-2 | 0-4 | 6 | 4 | L |
| 01/04 | Leon (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
0-3 | 3-3 | 9 | 4 | D |
| 28/03 | Mazatlan FC (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
1-2 | 3-2 | 6 | 4 | W |
Atlas (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/08 | Cruz Azul (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
1-1 | 1-3 | 2 | 3 | L |
| 25/04 | Juarez FC (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
1-1 | 1-2 | 6 | 3 | L |
| 06/04 | Santos Laguna (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
1-0 | 1-1 | 0 | 0 | D |
| 02/04 | Club America (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
0-1 | 0-2 | 1 | 2 | L |
| 28/03 | Necaxa (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
3-0 | 3-2 | 6 | 4 | W |
| 24/03 | Leon (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
0-1 | 0-4 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 17/03 | Monterrey (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
0-1 | 0-3 | 1 | 5 | L |
| 13/03 | Queretaro (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
0-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 3 | W |
| 21/02 | Cruz Azul (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
2-3 | 4-6 | 3 | 5 | L |
| 17/02 | Chivas Guadalajara (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
2-0 | 2-4 | 3 | 4 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Toluca (W) vs Atlas (W)?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Toluca (W) win (80%). Probabilities: Toluca (W) 80%, draw 13%, Atlas (W) 7%.
How many goals are expected in Toluca (W) vs Atlas (W)?
The model expects 3.92 goals (Toluca (W) 2.96 · Atlas (W) 0.96), with a 51% chance of under 3.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Toluca (W) vs Atlas (W)?
The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 2-0.