Football · Mexico Liga MX Femenil · 16/08, 03:06

Prediction: Tigres UANL (W) vs Juarez FC (W)

Team pages: Tigres UANL (W) · Juarez FC (W)

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.43Total

Tigres UANL (W)1.75

Juarez FC (W)0.68

1X2

63% 23% 14%

Tigres UANL (W) Draw Juarez FC (W)

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 56% Not both to score 52%

Most likely score

1-0

Recent form · 10 last

Tigres UANL (W) 4-2-4 (W-D-L)

LLWDWLLDWW

Juarez FC (W) 4-3-3 (W-D-L)

WLWDDWDLWL

Head-to-head

Tigres UANL (W) 1–3–2 Juarez FC (W) (6 last)

Tigres UANL (W)0-1Juarez FC (W)
Tigres UANL (W)0-0Juarez FC (W)
Juarez FC (W)0-1Tigres UANL (W)
Juarez FC (W)0-0Tigres UANL (W)
Tigres UANL (W)0-0Juarez FC (W)
Juarez FC (W)3-1Tigres UANL (W)

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Tigres UANL (W) 1524 · Juarez FC (W) 1519

	Tigres UANL (W)	Draw	Juarez FC (W)
Our model	62%	25%	13%
Market	64%	21%	15%

Estimated total (ours) 2.43 goals · Bet365 line 3 · -0.6

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 58%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Juarez FC (W): 2-3-1.
Cards-heavy: 6.9 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Tigres UANL (W)	Juarez FC (W)
Goals for / against (FT)	2.1 / 1.1	1.7 / 1.1
Goals for / against (HT)	0.8 / 0.8	0.8 / 0.2
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/20/60%	30/70/0%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.6 / 5.7	2.5 / 4.2
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.1 / 0	3.8 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

11.40

X4.33

26.00

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-1.25)1.90

2 (+1.25)1.90

Line ⓘ

Over 31.93

Under 31.88

Diff.: 0 · xG: 3

Market movement

Match winner · 4 moves · last 18:07

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.40 → 1.30▼	Pinn 1.37
X	4.33 → 5.00▲	Bet365 5.00
2	6.00 → 7.00▲	Pinn 7.50 ★

See the full journey (4)

Bet365 margin 11.2% Pinnacle margin 7.8%

Time*	1	X	2
21:24 +2’	1.40	4.33	6.00
22:42 +2’	1.53▲	4.10▼	4.50▼
03:14 +3’	1.42▼	4.33▲	5.75▲
17:47 +20’	1.30▼	5.00▲	7.00▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
09:16	1.43	4.37	6.48
17:51 +16’	1.37▼	4.70▲	7.50▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Other markets

Both teams to score

Go premium to see every market's movement

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

Our recommendation on this match 1 odds move recorded

Go premium to see the odds journey

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Tigres UANL (W) 1–3–2 Juarez FC (W)

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Date	Home	Score	Away
10/02/26 Mexico Liga MX Femenil	Tigres UANL (W)	0-1 HT 0-1	Juarez FC (W)
10/11/25 Mexico Liga MX Femenil	Tigres UANL (W)	0-0 HT 0-0	Juarez FC (W)
07/11/25 Mexico Liga MX Femenil	Juarez FC (W)	0-1 HT 0-1	Tigres UANL (W)
20/09/25 Mexico Liga MX Femenil	Juarez FC (W)	0-0 HT 0-0	Tigres UANL (W)
31/03/25 Mexico Liga MX Femenil	Tigres UANL (W)	0-0 HT 0-0	Juarez FC (W)
21/10/24 Mexico Liga MX Femenil	Juarez FC (W)	3-1 HT 3-1	Tigres UANL (W)

Standings · Mexico Liga MX Femenil · Group A

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#	Team	P	W	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Tigres UANL (W)	2	2	0	10	1	6
2	Toluca (W)	2	2	0	6	1	6
3	Monterrey (W)	2	2	0	5	2	6
4	Cruz Azul (W)	3	2	1	6	12	6
5	Leon (W)	2	1	1	6	4	3
6	Juarez FC (W)	2	1	1	1	2	3
7	Santos Laguna (W)	2	1	1	2	4	3
8	Atlante (W)	3	1	2	3	6	3
9	Queretaro (W)	2	0	2	2	5	0

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Tigres UANL (W)	Juarez FC (W)
Club America (W)	1-1 D	2-3 L
Toluca (W)	1-2 L	0-2 L
Monterrey (W)	3-0 W	1-1 D
Chivas Guadalajara (W)	2-2 D	1-1 D
Record vs common	1 W 2 D 1 L	0 W 2 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Tigres UANL (W) (3 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

League

Tigres UANL (W)

LLWDWLLDWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
11/08	Leon (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil	0-1	2-1	7	5	W
02/08	Puebla (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil	6-0	8-0	7	0	W
27/07	Club America (W) Mexico Champions of Champions Women	0-1	1-1	2	5	D
04/05	Toluca (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil	0-1	1-2	7	2	L
01/05	Toluca (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil	1-0	1-2	6	3	L
25/04	Monterrey (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil	0-0	3-0	2	0	W
06/04	Chivas Guadalajara (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil	0-2	2-2	6	2	D
03/04	Tijuana (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil	0-0	2-0	6	7	W
28/03	Club America (W) Women’s Friendly	1-2	1-2	–	–	L
26/03	Club America (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil	0-1	0-1	8	4	L

Juarez FC (W)

WLWDDWDLWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
11/08	Toluca (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil	0-0	0-2	3	5	L
02/08	Pachuca (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil	0-0	1-0	4	3	W
02/05	Club America (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil	1-1	2-3	3	5	L
30/04	Club America (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil	1-0	1-1	3	2	D
25/04	Atlas (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil	1-1	2-1	2	3	W
21/04	Chivas Guadalajara (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil	0-0	1-1	1	6	D
06/04	Monterrey (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil	0-0	1-1	7	2	D
02/04	Necaxa (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil	3-0	6-0	5	6	W
30/03	Queretaro (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil	0-0	1-2	11	4	L
22/03	Santos Laguna (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil	2-0	2-0	3	4	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Tigres UANL (W) vs Juarez FC (W)?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Tigres UANL (W) win (63%). Probabilities: Tigres UANL (W) 63%, draw 23%, Juarez FC (W) 14%.

How many goals are expected in Tigres UANL (W) vs Juarez FC (W)?

The model expects 2.43 goals (Tigres UANL (W) 1.75 · Juarez FC (W) 0.68), with a 60% chance of under 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Tigres UANL (W) vs Juarez FC (W)?

The model gives a 52% chance that not both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-0.