Football · Mexico Liga MX Femenil · 18/08, 03:06
Prediction: Santos Laguna (W) vs Monterrey (W)
Team pages: Santos Laguna (W) · Monterrey (W)
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.27Total
Santos Laguna (W)0.81
Monterrey (W)2.46
1X2
Santos Laguna (W)
Draw
Monterrey (W)
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 59%
Both teams to score 52%
Most likely score
0-2
Recent form · 10 last
Santos Laguna (W)
2-1-7 (W-D-L)
Monterrey (W)
6-2-2 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Santos Laguna (W)
0–6
Monterrey (W)
(6 last)
- Santos Laguna (W)1-5Monterrey (W)
- Monterrey (W)3-1Santos Laguna (W)
- Santos Laguna (W)1-3Monterrey (W)
- Monterrey (W)4-1Santos Laguna (W)
- Monterrey (W)6-0Santos Laguna (W)
- Santos Laguna (W)1-3Monterrey (W)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Santos Laguna (W) 1417 · Monterrey (W) 1595
| Santos Laguna (W) | Draw | Monterrey (W) | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 10% | 18% | 73% |
| Market | 11% | 16% | 74% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.27 goals · Bet365 line 3.25
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 68%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Monterrey (W) (rating 1417 vs 1595).
- H2H favours Monterrey (W): 6-0-0.
- Cards-heavy: 5.5 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Santos Laguna (W) | Monterrey (W) | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.9 / 1.8 | 1.9 / 1.1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.5 / 1.3 | 0.8 / 0.3 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/10/70% | 50/40/10% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.5 / 4.5 | 2.5 / 4.9 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.6 / 0.4 | 1.9 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Santos Laguna (W) 0–0–6 Monterrey (W)
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 03/02/26 Mexico Liga MX Femenil | Santos Laguna (W) | 1-5 HT 1-2 | Monterrey (W) |
| 17/08/25 Mexico Liga MX Femenil | Monterrey (W) | 3-1 HT 1-0 | Santos Laguna (W) |
| 19/03/25 Mexico Liga MX Femenil | Santos Laguna (W) | 1-3 HT 0-1 | Monterrey (W) |
| 04/10/24 Mexico Liga MX Femenil | Monterrey (W) | 4-1 HT 2-0 | Santos Laguna (W) |
| 05/03/24 Mexico Liga MX Femenil | Monterrey (W) | 6-0 HT 4-0 | Santos Laguna (W) |
| 11/09/23 Mexico Liga MX Femenil | Santos Laguna (W) | 1-3 HT 1-2 | Monterrey (W) |
Standings · Mexico Liga MX Femenil · Group A
Swipe the table sideways →
| # | Team | P | W | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tigres UANL (W) | 3 | 3 | 0 | 11 | 1 | 9 |
| 2 | Toluca (W) | 2 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 1 | 6 |
| 3 | Monterrey (W) | 2 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 6 |
| 4 | Cruz Azul (W) | 3 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 12 | 6 |
| 5 | Leon (W) | 2 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 4 | 3 |
| 6 | Santos Laguna (W) | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 3 |
| 7 | Juarez FC (W) | 3 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 3 |
| 8 | Atlante (W) | 3 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 3 |
| 9 | Queretaro (W) | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 0 |
Common opponents 5 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Santos Laguna (W) | Monterrey (W) |
|---|---|---|
| Club America (W) | 0-3 L | 0-3 L |
| Pachuca (W) | 1-2 L | 4-1 W |
| Juarez FC (W) | 0-2 L | 1-1 D |
| Cruz Azul (W) | 0-2 L | 4-0 W |
| Tigres UANL (W) | 1-4 L | 0-3 L |
| Record vs common | 0 W 0 D 5 L | 2 W 1 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: Monterrey (W) (3 of 5 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Santos Laguna (W)
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/08 | Queretaro (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
1-1 | 2-1 | 3 | 10 | W |
| 04/08 | Club America (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
0-2 | 0-3 | 1 | 5 | L |
| 26/04 | Queretaro (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
1-0 | 3-0 | 12 | 3 | W |
| 06/04 | Atlas (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
0-1 | 1-1 | 2 | 0 | D |
| 03/04 | Pachuca (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
1-0 | 1-2 | 7 | 1 | L |
| 29/03 | Atletico San Luis (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
1-2 | 1-2 | 5 | 7 | L |
| 22/03 | Juarez FC (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
0-2 | 0-2 | 2 | 4 | L |
| 18/03 | Cruz Azul (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
0-2 | 0-2 | 5 | 4 | L |
| 13/03 | Tigres UANL (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
1-2 | 1-4 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 21/02 | Toluca (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
0-1 | 0-1 | 5 | 2 | L |
Monterrey (W)
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/08 | Atlante (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
1-0 | 3-1 | 6 | 1 | W |
| 02/08 | Tijuana (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
1-1 | 2-1 | 5 | 1 | W |
| 17/05 | Club America (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
0-1 | 0-3 | 5 | 1 | L |
| 15/05 | Club America (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
1-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 4 | W |
| 11/05 | Pachuca (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
1-1 | 4-1 | 5 | 2 | W |
| 03/05 | Cruz Azul (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
1-0 | 4-0 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 30/04 | Cruz Azul (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
1-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 3 | D |
| 25/04 | Tigres UANL (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
0-0 | 0-3 | 7 | 0 | L |
| 06/04 | Juarez FC (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
0-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 2 | D |
| 02/04 | Unam Pumas (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
2-0 | 3-0 | 7 | 2 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Santos Laguna (W) vs Monterrey (W)?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Monterrey (W) win (73%). Probabilities: Santos Laguna (W) 10%, draw 17%, Monterrey (W) 73%.
How many goals are expected in Santos Laguna (W) vs Monterrey (W)?
The model expects 3.27 goals (Santos Laguna (W) 0.81 · Monterrey (W) 2.46), with a 50% chance of over 3.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Santos Laguna (W) vs Monterrey (W)?
The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 0-2.