Prediction: Leon (W) vs Queretaro (W)
Team pages: Leon (W) · Queretaro (W)
- Queretaro (W)2-3Leon (W)
- Leon (W)2-2Queretaro (W)
- Leon (W)0-0Queretaro (W)
- Queretaro (W)2-1Leon (W)
- Queretaro (W)3-2Leon (W)
- Leon (W)2-0Queretaro (W)
| Leon (W) | Draw | Queretaro (W) | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 77% | 14% | 9% |
| Market | 77% | 15% | 8% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Leon (W) (rating 1461 vs 1398).
- Cards-heavy: 8.2 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Leon (W) | Queretaro (W) | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2.3 / 2.5 | 0.6 / 2.5 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1.1 / 1 | 0.3 / 0.8 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 50/10/40% | 0/70/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3 / 5.4 | 1.7 / 4.2 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.2 / 0.1 | 4 / 0.5 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Leon (W) 2–2–2 Queretaro (W)
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 06/02/26 Mexico Liga MX Femenil | Queretaro (W) | 2-3 HT 1-1 | Leon (W) |
| 19/08/25 Mexico Liga MX Femenil | Leon (W) | 2-2 HT 0-1 | Queretaro (W) |
| 11/03/25 Mexico Liga MX Femenil | Leon (W) | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Queretaro (W) |
| 14/09/24 Mexico Liga MX Femenil | Queretaro (W) | 2-1 HT 1-1 | Leon (W) |
| 20/04/24 Mexico Liga MX Femenil | Queretaro (W) | 3-2 HT 0-1 | Leon (W) |
| 01/08/23 Mexico Liga MX Femenil | Leon (W) | 2-0 HT 2-0 | Queretaro (W) |
Standings · Mexico Liga MX Femenil · Group A
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| # | Team | P | W | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tigres UANL (W) | 3 | 3 | 0 | 11 | 1 | 9 |
| 2 | Toluca (W) | 2 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 1 | 6 |
| 3 | Monterrey (W) | 2 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 6 |
| 4 | Cruz Azul (W) | 3 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 12 | 6 |
| 5 | Leon (W) | 2 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 4 | 3 |
| 6 | Santos Laguna (W) | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 3 |
| 7 | Juarez FC (W) | 3 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 3 |
| 8 | Atlante (W) | 3 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 3 |
| 9 | Queretaro (W) | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 0 |
Common opponents 4 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Leon (W) | Queretaro (W) |
|---|---|---|
| Tigres UANL (W) | 1-2 L | 0-6 L |
| Atlas (W) | 4-0 W | 0-1 L |
| Club America (W) | 2-4 L | 1-4 L |
| Tijuana (W) | 1-2 L | 0-3 L |
| Record vs common | 1 W 0 D 3 L | 0 W 0 D 4 L |
Better against common opponents: Leon (W) (4 of 4 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Leon (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/08 | Tigres UANL (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
1-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 5 | L |
| 02/08 | Unam Pumas (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
3-2 | 5-2 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 25/04 | Atletico San Luis (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
0-2 | 1-2 | 6 | 4 | L |
| 06/04 | Pachuca (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
1-3 | 4-5 | 5 | 3 | L |
| 01/04 | Toluca (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
3-0 | 3-3 | 7 | 4 | D |
| 28/03 | Unam Pumas (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
0-0 | 1-2 | 6 | 3 | L |
| 24/03 | Atlas (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
1-0 | 4-0 | 7 | 4 | W |
| 17/03 | Mazatlan FC (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
0-1 | 1-3 | 5 | 4 | L |
| 14/03 | Club America (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
1-2 | 2-4 | 4 | 6 | L |
| 22/02 | Tijuana (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
1-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 7 | L |
Queretaro (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/08 | Santos Laguna (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
1-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 10 | L |
| 03/08 | Chivas Guadalajara (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
0-0 | 1-3 | 2 | 4 | L |
| 26/04 | Santos Laguna (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
0-1 | 0-3 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 05/04 | Club America (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
1-1 | 1-4 | 5 | 6 | L |
| 01/04 | Puebla (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 5 | D |
| 30/03 | Juarez FC (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
0-0 | 2-1 | 8 | 4 | W |
| 22/03 | Tijuana (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
0-1 | 0-3 | 7 | 6 | L |
| 16/03 | Tigres UANL (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
0-3 | 0-6 | 1 | 3 | L |
| 13/03 | Atlas (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 22/02 | Necaxa (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
1-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 1 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Leon (W) vs Queretaro (W)?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Leon (W) win (77%). Probabilities: Leon (W) 77%, draw 15%, Queretaro (W) 8%.
How many goals are expected in Leon (W) vs Queretaro (W)?
The model expects 3.95 goals (Leon (W) 2.98 · Queretaro (W) 0.98), with a 53% chance of over 3.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Leon (W) vs Queretaro (W)?
The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 2-0.