Prediction: Tijuana (W) vs Necaxa (W)
Team pages: Tijuana (W) · Necaxa (W)
- Necaxa (W)1-6Tijuana (W)
- Tijuana (W)1-0Necaxa (W)
- Necaxa (W)1-3Tijuana (W)
- Tijuana (W)3-0Necaxa (W)
- Tijuana (W)3-0Necaxa (W)
- Necaxa (W)1-2Tijuana (W)
| Tijuana (W) | Draw | Necaxa (W) | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 74% | 17% | 10% |
| Market | 75% | 15% | 11% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Tijuana (W) (rating 1515 vs 1389).
- H2H favours Tijuana (W): 6-0-0.
- Cards-heavy: 7.4 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Tijuana (W) | Necaxa (W) | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.8 / 1.2 | 1 / 3.1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.5 / 0.7 | 0.3 / 1.4 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/40/30% | 0/40/60% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.2 / 4.9 | 1.4 / 2.7 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4 / 0.5 | 3.4 / 0.4 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Tijuana (W) 6–0–0 Necaxa (W)
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 06/04/26 Mexico Liga MX Femenil | Necaxa (W) | 1-6 HT 0-1 | Tijuana (W) |
| 31/08/25 Mexico Liga MX Femenil | Tijuana (W) | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Necaxa (W) |
| 14/02/25 Mexico Liga MX Femenil | Necaxa (W) | 1-3 HT 0-3 | Tijuana (W) |
| 25/07/24 Mexico Liga MX Femenil | Tijuana (W) | 3-0 HT 2-0 | Necaxa (W) |
| 16/04/24 Mexico Liga MX Femenil | Tijuana (W) | 3-0 HT 2-0 | Necaxa (W) |
| 25/07/23 Mexico Liga MX Femenil | Necaxa (W) | 1-2 HT 1-2 | Tijuana (W) |
Standings · Mexico Liga MX Femenil · Group B
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Club America (W) | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 0 | 6 |
| 2 | Chivas Guadalajara (W) | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 2 | 6 |
| 3 | Unam Pumas (W) | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 3 |
| 4 | Atletico San Luis (W) | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 3 |
| 5 | Pachuca (W) | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
| 6 | Atlas (W) | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 1 |
| 7 | Tijuana (W) | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 0 |
| 8 | Necaxa (W) | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 0 |
| 9 | Puebla (W) | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 12 | 0 |
Common opponents 3 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Tijuana (W) | Necaxa (W) |
|---|---|---|
| Atletico San Luis (W) | 1-2 L | 1-1 D |
| Queretaro (W) | 3-0 W | 2-1 W |
| Unam Pumas (W) | 2-1 W | 1-2 L |
| Record vs common | 2 W 0 D 1 L | 1 W 1 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: Tijuana (W) (2 of 3 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Tijuana (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/08 | Atletico San Luis (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
0-2 | 1-2 | 9 | 7 | L |
| 02/08 | Monterrey (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
1-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | L |
| 25/04 | Mazatlan FC (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
1-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 0 | W |
| 06/04 | Necaxa (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
1-0 | 6-1 | 8 | 7 | W |
| 03/04 | Tigres UANL (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
0-0 | 0-2 | 6 | 7 | L |
| 30/03 | Chivas Guadalajara (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 2 | D |
| 22/03 | Queretaro (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
1-0 | 3-0 | 5 | 6 | W |
| 18/03 | Unam Pumas (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
1-1 | 2-1 | 2 | 6 | W |
| 13/03 | Pachuca (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
0-2 | 0-2 | 2 | 2 | L |
| 22/02 | Leon (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
0-1 | 2-1 | 7 | 7 | W |
Necaxa (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/08 | Unam Pumas (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
1-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 2 | L |
| 03/08 | Atlante (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
0-0 | 0-1 | – | – | L |
| 25/04 | Puebla (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
1-2 | 2-3 | 3 | 5 | L |
| 06/04 | Tijuana (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
0-1 | 1-6 | 3 | 7 | L |
| 02/04 | Juarez FC (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
0-3 | 0-6 | 1 | 6 | L |
| 28/03 | Atlas (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
0-3 | 2-3 | 2 | 4 | L |
| 21/03 | Toluca (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
0-1 | 1-5 | 1 | 5 | L |
| 15/03 | Atletico San Luis (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
0-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 5 | D |
| 12/03 | Cruz Azul (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
0-2 | 0-3 | 2 | 0 | L |
| 22/02 | Queretaro (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
1-1 | 2-1 | 6 | 1 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Tijuana (W) vs Necaxa (W)?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Tijuana (W) win (74%). Probabilities: Tijuana (W) 74%, draw 16%, Necaxa (W) 10%.
How many goals are expected in Tijuana (W) vs Necaxa (W)?
The model expects 3.51 goals (Tijuana (W) 2.62 · Necaxa (W) 0.89), with a 51% chance of over 3.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Tijuana (W) vs Necaxa (W)?
The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 2-0.