Prediction: Necaxa (W) vs Unam Pumas (W)
Team pages: Unam Pumas (W)
- Necaxa (W)0-1Unam Pumas (W)
- Unam Pumas (W)1-0Necaxa (W)
- Necaxa (W)1-4Unam Pumas (W)
- Unam Pumas (W)1-2Necaxa (W)
- Necaxa (W)0-5Unam Pumas (W)
- Unam Pumas (W)6-0Necaxa (W)
| Necaxa (W) | Draw | Unam Pumas (W) | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 9% | 16% | 75% |
| Market | 9% | 15% | 76% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Unam Pumas (W) (rating 1390 vs 1444).
- H2H favours Unam Pumas (W): 5-0-1.
- Cards-heavy: 6.5 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Necaxa (W) | Unam Pumas (W) | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.9 / 3.1 | 1.2 / 2.3 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.2 / 1.3 | 0.8 / 0.9 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 0/40/60% | 30/40/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.4 / 2.6 | 2.3 / 4.9 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.6 / 0.4 | 2.9 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Necaxa (W) 1–0–5 Unam Pumas (W)
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 22/01/26 Mexico Liga MX Femenil | Necaxa (W) | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Unam Pumas (W) |
| 27/07/25 Mexico Liga MX Femenil | Unam Pumas (W) | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Necaxa (W) |
| 28/01/25 Mexico Liga MX Femenil | Necaxa (W) | 1-4 HT 1-3 | Unam Pumas (W) |
| 02/11/24 Mexico Liga MX Femenil | Unam Pumas (W) | 1-2 HT 0-1 | Necaxa (W) |
| 17/02/24 Mexico Liga MX Femenil | Necaxa (W) | 0-5 HT 0-1 | Unam Pumas (W) |
| 10/10/23 Mexico Liga MX Femenil | Unam Pumas (W) | 6-0 HT 3-0 | Necaxa (W) |
Standings · Mexico Liga MX Femenil · Liga MX, Women 26/27, Apertura, Group B
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Club America (W) | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3 |
| 2 | Chivas Guadalajara (W) | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 3 |
| 3 | Pachuca (W) | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
| 4 | Atlas (W) | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 1 |
| 5 | Tijuana (W) | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| 6 | Necaxa (W) | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 7 | Unam Pumas (W) | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 0 |
| 8 | Atletico San Luis (W) | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 0 |
| 9 | Puebla (W) | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 0 |
Common opponents 5 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Necaxa (W) | Unam Pumas (W) |
|---|---|---|
| Puebla (W) | 2-3 L | 2-2 D |
| Tijuana (W) | 1-6 L | 1-2 L |
| Juarez FC (W) | 0-6 L | 1-1 D |
| Toluca (W) | 1-5 L | 2-4 L |
| Cruz Azul (W) | 0-3 L | 1-1 D |
| Record vs common | 0 W 0 D 5 L | 0 W 3 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: Unam Pumas (W) (5 of 5 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Necaxa (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/08 | Atlante (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
0-0 | 0-1 | – | – | L |
| 25/04 | Puebla (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
1-2 | 2-3 | 3 | 5 | L |
| 06/04 | Tijuana (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
0-1 | 1-6 | 3 | 7 | L |
| 02/04 | Juarez FC (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
0-3 | 0-6 | 1 | 6 | L |
| 28/03 | Atlas (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
0-3 | 2-3 | 2 | 4 | L |
| 21/03 | Toluca (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
0-1 | 1-5 | 1 | 5 | L |
| 15/03 | Atletico San Luis (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
0-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 5 | D |
| 12/03 | Cruz Azul (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
0-2 | 0-3 | 2 | 0 | L |
| 22/02 | Queretaro (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
1-1 | 2-1 | 6 | 1 | W |
| 15/02 | Santos Laguna (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
0-0 | 0-2 | 3 | 3 | L |
Unam Pumas (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/08 | Leon (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
2-3 | 2-5 | 10 | 3 | L |
| 25/04 | Cruz Azul (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
1-0 | 1-1 | 6 | 2 | D |
| 05/04 | Puebla (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
1-1 | 2-2 | 6 | 2 | D |
| 02/04 | Monterrey (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
0-2 | 0-3 | 4 | 2 | L |
| 28/03 | Leon (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
0-0 | 2-1 | 1 | 3 | W |
| 22/03 | Pachuca (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
1-1 | 1-2 | 6 | 1 | L |
| 18/03 | Tijuana (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
1-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 6 | L |
| 13/03 | Toluca (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
1-0 | 2-4 | 5 | 3 | L |
| 21/02 | Tigres UANL (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
0-1 | 0-2 | 5 | 4 | L |
| 14/02 | Juarez FC (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
1-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 4 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Necaxa (W) vs Unam Pumas (W)?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Unam Pumas (W) win (76%). Probabilities: Necaxa (W) 9%, draw 16%, Unam Pumas (W) 76%.
How many goals are expected in Necaxa (W) vs Unam Pumas (W)?
The model expects 3.48 goals (Necaxa (W) 0.83 · Unam Pumas (W) 2.65), with a 51% chance of under 3.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Necaxa (W) vs Unam Pumas (W)?
The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 0-2.