Football · Mexico Liga MX Femenil · 10/08, 00:00
Prediction: Atletico San Luis (W) vs Tijuana (W)
Team pages: Atletico San Luis (W) · Tijuana (W)
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.07Total
Atletico San Luis (W)1.4
Tijuana (W)1.67
1X2
Atletico San Luis (W)
Draw
Tijuana (W)
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 56%
Both teams to score 57%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Atletico San Luis (W)
6-1-3 (W-D-L)
Tijuana (W)
5-2-3 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Atletico San Luis (W)
2–4
Tijuana (W)
(6 last)
- Atletico San Luis (W)2-3Tijuana (W)
- Tijuana (W)1-2Atletico San Luis (W)
- Atletico San Luis (W)2-0Tijuana (W)
- Tijuana (W)6-1Atletico San Luis (W)
- Tijuana (W)3-2Atletico San Luis (W)
- Atletico San Luis (W)0-2Tijuana (W)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Atletico San Luis (W) 1526 · Tijuana (W) 1520
| Atletico San Luis (W) | Draw | Tijuana (W) | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 31% | 26% | 43% |
| Market | 31% | 27% | 42% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.07 goals · Bet365 line 2.5 · +0.6
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 61%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours Tijuana (W): 4-0-2.
- Cards-heavy: 8.7 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Atletico San Luis (W) | Tijuana (W) | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.6 / 1.8 | 1.8 / 1.1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.9 / 1 | 0.5 / 0.5 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/30/30% | 30/50/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3.2 / 5.3 | 2.4 / 4.7 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.8 / 0.6 | 3.9 / 0.4 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Atletico San Luis (W) 2–0–4 Tijuana (W)
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 24/01/26 Mexico Liga MX Femenil | Atletico San Luis (W) | 2-3 HT 0-3 | Tijuana (W) |
| 17/08/25 Mexico Liga MX Femenil | Tijuana (W) | 1-2 HT 1-1 | Atletico San Luis (W) |
| 21/01/25 Mexico Liga MX Femenil | Atletico San Luis (W) | 2-0 HT 2-0 | Tijuana (W) |
| 14/10/24 Mexico Liga MX Femenil | Tijuana (W) | 6-1 HT 4-1 | Atletico San Luis (W) |
| 22/01/24 Mexico Liga MX Femenil | Tijuana (W) | 3-2 HT 1-1 | Atletico San Luis (W) |
| 03/10/23 Mexico Liga MX Femenil | Atletico San Luis (W) | 0-2 HT 0-2 | Tijuana (W) |
Standings · Mexico Liga MX Femenil · Liga MX, Women 26/27, Apertura, Group B
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Club America (W) | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3 |
| 2 | Chivas Guadalajara (W) | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 3 |
| 3 | Pachuca (W) | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
| 4 | Atlas (W) | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 1 |
| 5 | Tijuana (W) | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| 6 | Necaxa (W) | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 7 | Unam Pumas (W) | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 0 |
| 8 | Atletico San Luis (W) | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 0 |
| 9 | Puebla (W) | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 0 |
Common opponents 7 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Atletico San Luis (W) | Tijuana (W) |
|---|---|---|
| Leon (W) | 2-1 W | 2-1 W |
| Mazatlan FC (W) | 1-0 W | 2-0 W |
| Cruz Azul (W) | 3-2 W | 1-1 D |
| Tigres UANL (W) | 0-2 L | 0-2 L |
| Necaxa (W) | 1-1 D | 6-1 W |
| Monterrey (W) | 0-6 L | 1-2 L |
| Queretaro (W) | 4-1 W | 3-0 W |
| Record vs common | 4 W 1 D 2 L | 4 W 1 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: Tijuana (W) (3 of 7 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Atletico San Luis (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/08 | Toluca (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
1-0 | 1-4 | 6 | 3 | L |
| 25/04 | Leon (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
2-0 | 2-1 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 06/04 | Mazatlan FC (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
0-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 8 | W |
| 02/04 | Cruz Azul (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
1-2 | 3-2 | 9 | 7 | W |
| 29/03 | Santos Laguna (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
2-1 | 2-1 | 5 | 7 | W |
| 23/03 | Tigres UANL (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
0-1 | 0-2 | 8 | 6 | L |
| 15/03 | Necaxa (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
0-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 5 | D |
| 12/03 | Puebla (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
2-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 7 | W |
| 22/02 | Monterrey (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
0-5 | 0-6 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 17/02 | Queretaro (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
1-1 | 4-1 | 5 | 4 | W |
Tijuana (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/08 | Monterrey (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
1-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | L |
| 25/04 | Mazatlan FC (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
1-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 0 | W |
| 06/04 | Necaxa (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
1-0 | 6-1 | 8 | 7 | W |
| 03/04 | Tigres UANL (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
0-0 | 0-2 | 6 | 7 | L |
| 30/03 | Chivas Guadalajara (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 2 | D |
| 22/03 | Queretaro (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
1-0 | 3-0 | 5 | 6 | W |
| 18/03 | Unam Pumas (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
1-1 | 2-1 | 2 | 6 | W |
| 13/03 | Pachuca (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
0-2 | 0-2 | 2 | 2 | L |
| 22/02 | Leon (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
0-1 | 2-1 | 7 | 7 | W |
| 15/02 | Cruz Azul (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
0-0 | 1-1 | 7 | 5 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Atletico San Luis (W) vs Tijuana (W)?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Tijuana (W) win (43%). Probabilities: Atletico San Luis (W) 31%, draw 26%, Tijuana (W) 43%.
How many goals are expected in Atletico San Luis (W) vs Tijuana (W)?
The model expects 3.07 goals (Atletico San Luis (W) 1.4 · Tijuana (W) 1.67), with a 56% chance of over 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Atletico San Luis (W) vs Tijuana (W)?
The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.