Prediction: Leon (W) vs Tigres UANL (W)
Team pages: Leon (W) · Tigres UANL (W)
- Leon (W)1-1Tigres UANL (W)
- Tigres UANL (W)9-0Leon (W)
- Leon (W)2-2Tigres UANL (W)
- Tigres UANL (W)1-0Leon (W)
- Leon (W)2-7Tigres UANL (W)
- Tigres UANL (W)3-1Leon (W)
| Leon (W) | Draw | Tigres UANL (W) | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 15% | 18% | 67% |
| Market | 14% | 20% | 66% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Tigres UANL (W) (rating 1466 vs 1532).
- H2H favours Tigres UANL (W): 4-2-0.
- High corners: 11.3 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 7.2 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Leon (W) | Tigres UANL (W) | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2.8 / 2.3 | 2.1 / 1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1.2 / 1 | 0.9 / 0.7 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 50/10/40% | 30/20/50% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3.2 / 5.9 | 2.7 / 5.4 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4 / 0.1 | 3.2 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Leon (W) 0–2–4 Tigres UANL (W)
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 17/01/26 Mexico Liga MX Femenil | Leon (W) | 1-1 HT 0-0 | Tigres UANL (W) |
| 27/09/25 Mexico Liga MX Femenil | Tigres UANL (W) | 9-0 HT 4-0 | Leon (W) |
| 20/01/25 Mexico Liga MX Femenil | Leon (W) | 2-2 HT 2-0 | Tigres UANL (W) |
| 02/09/24 Mexico Liga MX Femenil | Tigres UANL (W) | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Leon (W) |
| 21/01/24 Mexico Liga MX Femenil | Leon (W) | 2-7 HT 0-3 | Tigres UANL (W) |
| 12/09/23 Mexico Liga MX Femenil | Tigres UANL (W) | 3-1 HT 1-0 | Leon (W) |
Standings · Mexico Liga MX Femenil · Liga MX, Women 26/27, Apertura, Group A
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| # | Team | P | W | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Monterrey (W) | 2 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 6 |
| 2 | Tigres UANL (W) | 1 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 0 | 3 |
| 3 | Leon (W) | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 3 |
| 4 | Toluca (W) | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 3 |
| 5 | Juarez FC (W) | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 6 | Atlante (W) | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 3 |
| 7 | Santos Laguna (W) | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 3 |
| 8 | Cruz Azul (W) | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 3 |
| 9 | Queretaro (W) | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 0 |
Common opponents 5 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Leon (W) | Tigres UANL (W) |
|---|---|---|
| Atletico San Luis (W) | 1-2 L | 2-0 W |
| Toluca (W) | 3-3 D | 1-2 L |
| Club America (W) | 2-4 L | 1-1 D |
| Tijuana (W) | 1-2 L | 2-0 W |
| Puebla (W) | 6-0 W | 8-0 W |
| Record vs common | 1 W 1 D 3 L | 3 W 1 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: Tigres UANL (W) (4 of 5 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Leon (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/08 | Unam Pumas (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
3-2 | 5-2 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 25/04 | Atletico San Luis (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
0-2 | 1-2 | 6 | 4 | L |
| 06/04 | Pachuca (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
1-3 | 4-5 | 5 | 3 | L |
| 01/04 | Toluca (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
3-0 | 3-3 | 7 | 4 | D |
| 28/03 | Unam Pumas (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
0-0 | 1-2 | 6 | 3 | L |
| 24/03 | Atlas (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
1-0 | 4-0 | 7 | 4 | W |
| 17/03 | Mazatlan FC (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
0-1 | 1-3 | 5 | 4 | L |
| 14/03 | Club America (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
1-2 | 2-4 | 4 | 6 | L |
| 22/02 | Tijuana (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
1-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 7 | L |
| 17/02 | Puebla (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
2-0 | 6-0 | 10 | 3 | W |
Tigres UANL (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/08 | Puebla (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
6-0 | 8-0 | 7 | 0 | W |
| 27/07 | Club America (W) Mexico Champions of Champions Women |
0-1 | 1-1 | 2 | 5 | D |
| 04/05 | Toluca (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
0-1 | 1-2 | 7 | 2 | L |
| 01/05 | Toluca (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
1-0 | 1-2 | 6 | 3 | L |
| 25/04 | Monterrey (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
0-0 | 3-0 | 2 | 0 | W |
| 06/04 | Chivas Guadalajara (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
0-2 | 2-2 | 6 | 2 | D |
| 03/04 | Tijuana (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
0-0 | 2-0 | 6 | 7 | W |
| 28/03 | Club America (W) Women’s Friendly |
1-2 | 1-2 | – | – | L |
| 26/03 | Club America (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
0-1 | 0-1 | 8 | 4 | L |
| 23/03 | Atletico San Luis (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
1-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 6 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Leon (W) vs Tigres UANL (W)?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Tigres UANL (W) win (66%). Probabilities: Leon (W) 15%, draw 19%, Tigres UANL (W) 66%.
How many goals are expected in Leon (W) vs Tigres UANL (W)?
The model expects 3.95 goals (Leon (W) 1.27 · Tigres UANL (W) 2.68), with a 56% chance of over 3.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Leon (W) vs Tigres UANL (W)?
The model gives a 59% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-2.