Football · Mexico Liga MX Femenil · 30/08, 01:00

Prediction: Queretaro (W) vs Monterrey (W)

Team pages: Queretaro (W) · Monterrey (W)

Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.28Total
Queretaro (W)0.65
Monterrey (W)2.63
1X2
7% 14% 79%
Queretaro (W) Draw Monterrey (W)
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 53% Both teams to score 50%
Most likely score
0-2 13%
Recent form · 10 last
Queretaro (W) 2-1-7 (W-D-L)
LLWDLLLLWL
Monterrey (W) 6-1-3 (W-D-L)
LDWWWLWWWL
Head-to-head
Queretaro (W) 0–6 Monterrey (W) (6 last)
  • Queretaro (W)0-1Monterrey (W)
  • Monterrey (W)4-2Queretaro (W)
  • Monterrey (W)3-1Queretaro (W)
  • Queretaro (W)1-3Monterrey (W)
  • Queretaro (W)0-3Monterrey (W)
  • Monterrey (W)3-1Queretaro (W)
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Queretaro (W) 1420 · Monterrey (W) 1546
Queretaro (W)DrawMonterrey (W)
Our model6%15%79%
Market7%13%80%
Estimated total (ours) 3.28 goals · Bet365 line 3.5 · -0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 63%model estimate

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Monterrey (W) (rating 1420 vs 1546).
  • H2H favours Monterrey (W): 6-0-0.
  • Cards-heavy: 6.4 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Queretaro (W)Monterrey (W)
Goals for / against (FT)0.6 / 2.72.1 / 1.4
Goals for / against (HT)0.2 / 1.21 / 0.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)0/60/40%50/40/10%
Corners (HT / FT)1.5 / 4.12.7 / 5.3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)4.3 / 0.42.1 / 0

Head-to-head (H2H) · Queretaro (W) 006 Monterrey (W)

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DateHomeScoreAway
18/01/26
Mexico Liga MX Femenil
Queretaro (W)0-1
HT 0-1
Monterrey (W)
26/07/25
Mexico Liga MX Femenil
Monterrey (W)4-2
HT 4-0
Queretaro (W)
15/04/25
Mexico Liga MX Femenil
Monterrey (W)3-1
HT 2-0
Queretaro (W)
03/09/24
Mexico Liga MX Femenil
Queretaro (W)1-3
HT 0-2
Monterrey (W)
21/01/24
Mexico Liga MX Femenil
Queretaro (W)0-3
HT 0-2
Monterrey (W)
10/10/23
Mexico Liga MX Femenil
Monterrey (W)3-1
HT 2-0
Queretaro (W)

Standings · Mexico Liga MX Femenil · Group A

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Toluca (W) 5410 10313
2 Tigres UANL (W) 4400 14112
3 Monterrey (W) 4301 1169
4 Leon (W) 5203 986
5 Juarez FC (W) 4202 456
6 Cruz Azul (W) 4202 6156
7 Atlante (W) 4103 483
8 Santos Laguna (W) 4103 5113
9 Queretaro (W) 4103 3103

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentQueretaro (W)Monterrey (W)
Leon (W) 1-0 W 2-3 L
Santos Laguna (W) 1-2 L 4-1 W
Club America (W) 1-4 L 0-3 L
Tijuana (W) 0-3 L 2-1 W
Tigres UANL (W) 0-6 L 0-3 L
Record vs common 1 W 0 D 4 L 2 W 0 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: Monterrey (W) (3 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Queretaro (W)

LLWDLLLLWL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
22/08 Unam Pumas (W)
Mexico Liga MX Femenil
0-5 0-5 21 L
18/08 Leon (W)
Mexico Liga MX Femenil
0-0 1-0 35 W
09/08 Santos Laguna (W)
Mexico Liga MX Femenil
1-1 1-2 310 L
03/08 Chivas Guadalajara (W)
Mexico Liga MX Femenil
0-0 1-3 24 L
26/04 Santos Laguna (W)
Mexico Liga MX Femenil
0-1 0-3 43 L
05/04 Club America (W)
Mexico Liga MX Femenil
1-1 1-4 56 L
01/04 Puebla (W)
Mexico Liga MX Femenil
0-0 0-0 65 D
30/03 Juarez FC (W)
Mexico Liga MX Femenil
0-0 2-1 84 W
22/03 Tijuana (W)
Mexico Liga MX Femenil
0-1 0-3 76 L
16/03 Tigres UANL (W)
Mexico Liga MX Femenil
0-3 0-6 13 L

Monterrey (W)

LDWWWLWWWL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
22/08 Leon (W)
Mexico Liga MX Femenil
1-1 2-3 63 L
18/08 Santos Laguna (W)
Mexico Liga MX Femenil
3-0 4-1 73 W
09/08 Atlante (W)
Mexico Liga MX Femenil
1-0 3-1 61 W
02/08 Tijuana (W)
Mexico Liga MX Femenil
1-1 2-1 51 W
17/05 Club America (W)
Mexico Liga MX Femenil
0-1 0-3 51 L
15/05 Club America (W)
Mexico Liga MX Femenil
1-0 1-0 34 W
11/05 Pachuca (W)
Mexico Liga MX Femenil
1-1 4-1 52 W
03/05 Cruz Azul (W)
Mexico Liga MX Femenil
1-0 4-0 43 W
30/04 Cruz Azul (W)
Mexico Liga MX Femenil
1-0 1-1 53 D
25/04 Tigres UANL (W)
Mexico Liga MX Femenil
0-0 0-3 70 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Queretaro (W) vs Monterrey (W)?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Monterrey (W) win (79%). Probabilities: Queretaro (W) 7%, draw 14%, Monterrey (W) 79%.

How many goals are expected in Queretaro (W) vs Monterrey (W)?

The model expects 3.28 goals (Queretaro (W) 0.65 · Monterrey (W) 2.63), with a 53% chance of under 3.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Queretaro (W) vs Monterrey (W)?

The model gives a 50% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 0-2.