Football · Mexico Liga MX Femenil · 07/09, 02:06
Prediction: Tigres UANL (W) vs Santos Laguna (W)
Team pages: Tigres UANL (W) · Santos Laguna (W)
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.95Total
Tigres UANL (W)2.98
Santos Laguna (W)0.98
1X2
Tigres UANL (W)
Draw
Santos Laguna (W)
Markets
Over 3.5 goals 56%
Both teams to score 56%
Most likely score
2-0 9%
Recent form · 10 last
Tigres UANL (W)
6-2-2 (W-D-L)
Santos Laguna (W)
3-1-6 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Tigres UANL (W)
6–0
Santos Laguna (W)
(6 last)
- Tigres UANL (W)4-1Santos Laguna (W)
- Santos Laguna (W)0-2Tigres UANL (W)
- Tigres UANL (W)5-0Santos Laguna (W)
- Santos Laguna (W)0-3Tigres UANL (W)
- Tigres UANL (W)7-1Santos Laguna (W)
- Santos Laguna (W)0-7Tigres UANL (W)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Tigres UANL (W) 1574 · Santos Laguna (W) 1448
| Tigres UANL (W) | Draw | Santos Laguna (W) | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 77% | 14% | 9% |
| Market | 88% | 8% | 4% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.95 goals · Bet365 line 4.25 · -0.3
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 78%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Tigres UANL (W) (rating 1574 vs 1448).
- H2H favours Tigres UANL (W): 6-0-0.
- High corners: 10.8 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 6.7 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Tigres UANL (W) | Santos Laguna (W) | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2.4 / 0.8 | 1.2 / 1.8 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.8 / 0.5 | 0.6 / 1.3 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/30/40% | 30/10/60% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.9 / 5.6 | 2.8 / 5.2 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.7 / 0 | 4 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Tigres UANL (W) 6–0–0 Santos Laguna (W)
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 13/03/26 Mexico Liga MX Femenil | Tigres UANL (W) | 4-1 HT 2-1 | Santos Laguna (W) |
| 29/07/25 Mexico Liga MX Femenil | Santos Laguna (W) | 0-2 HT 0-0 | Tigres UANL (W) |
| 15/03/25 Mexico Liga MX Femenil | Tigres UANL (W) | 5-0 HT 1-0 | Santos Laguna (W) |
| 26/08/24 Mexico Liga MX Femenil | Santos Laguna (W) | 0-3 HT 0-1 | Tigres UANL (W) |
| 18/01/24 Mexico Liga MX Femenil | Tigres UANL (W) | 7-1 HT 4-0 | Santos Laguna (W) |
| 22/08/23 Mexico Liga MX Femenil | Santos Laguna (W) | 0-7 HT 0-7 | Tigres UANL (W) |
Standings · Mexico Liga MX Femenil · Group A
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tigres UANL (W) | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 1 | 15 |
| 2 | Monterrey (W) | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 20 | 7 | 15 |
| 3 | Toluca (W) | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 8 | 13 |
| 4 | Juarez FC (W) | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 9 |
| 5 | Leon (W) | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 8 | 6 |
| 6 | Santos Laguna (W) | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 11 | 6 |
| 7 | Cruz Azul (W) | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 16 | 6 |
| 8 | Atlante (W) | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 3 |
| 9 | Queretaro (W) | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 14 | 3 |
Common opponents 4 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Tigres UANL (W) | Santos Laguna (W) |
|---|---|---|
| Pachuca (W) | 2-0 W | 1-2 L |
| Juarez FC (W) | 1-0 W | 2-3 L |
| Club America (W) | 1-1 D | 0-3 L |
| Monterrey (W) | 3-0 W | 1-4 L |
| Record vs common | 3 W 1 D 0 L | 0 W 0 D 4 L |
Better against common opponents: Tigres UANL (W) (4 of 4 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Tigres UANL (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/08 | Pachuca (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
1-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 5 | W |
| 23/08 | Cruz Azul (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
0-0 | 3-0 | 6 | 3 | W |
| 16/08 | Juarez FC (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
0-0 | 1-0 | 8 | 2 | W |
| 11/08 | Leon (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
0-1 | 2-1 | 7 | 5 | W |
| 02/08 | Puebla (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
6-0 | 8-0 | 7 | 0 | W |
| 27/07 | Club America (W) Mexico Champions of Champions Women |
0-1 | 1-1 | 2 | 5 | D |
| 04/05 | Toluca (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
0-1 | 1-2 | 7 | 2 | L |
| 01/05 | Toluca (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
1-0 | 1-2 | 6 | 3 | L |
| 25/04 | Monterrey (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
0-0 | 3-0 | 2 | 0 | W |
| 06/04 | Chivas Guadalajara (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
0-2 | 2-2 | 6 | 2 | D |
Santos Laguna (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/09 | Atlante (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
1-0 | 1-0 | 9 | 5 | W |
| 23/08 | Juarez FC (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
1-2 | 2-3 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 18/08 | Monterrey (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
0-3 | 1-4 | 8 | 3 | L |
| 09/08 | Queretaro (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
1-1 | 2-1 | 3 | 10 | W |
| 04/08 | Club America (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
0-2 | 0-3 | 1 | 5 | L |
| 26/04 | Queretaro (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
1-0 | 3-0 | 12 | 3 | W |
| 06/04 | Atlas (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
0-1 | 1-1 | 2 | 0 | D |
| 03/04 | Pachuca (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
1-0 | 1-2 | 7 | 1 | L |
| 29/03 | Atletico San Luis (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
1-2 | 1-2 | 5 | 7 | L |
| 22/03 | Juarez FC (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
0-2 | 0-2 | 2 | 4 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Tigres UANL (W) vs Santos Laguna (W)?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Tigres UANL (W) win (83%). Probabilities: Tigres UANL (W) 83%, draw 11%, Santos Laguna (W) 6%.
How many goals are expected in Tigres UANL (W) vs Santos Laguna (W)?
The model expects 3.95 goals (Tigres UANL (W) 2.98 · Santos Laguna (W) 0.98), with a 55% chance of under 4.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Tigres UANL (W) vs Santos Laguna (W)?
The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 2-0.